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re: OFFICIAL Week 12 CFB Betting Thread - Vegas Disregards Committee Rankings Week

Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:54 am to
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:54 am to
FYI

No way Bama covers +10
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Can someone rationalize taking Miami so I can feel better betting against Jameis?


What incentive would sportsbooks have to keep the line at FSU -2.5 when 84% of the bets are on FSU? Why encourage bettors to pile on FSU if not for anticipated profit?
Posted by IceColdBeer
Sunbathing in Mission Beach
Member since Jan 2014
1076 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:30 am to
770 win 700 Miss St +6 1st half

100 win 595 3 teamer Mizzu +4.5, Mia +2.5, Miss St +9.5

130 win 2970 3 teamer m/l Mia, Mizzu, Miss St
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91553 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Can someone rationalize taking Miami so I can feel better betting against Jameis?


Seems FSU doesn't wanna put anybody away this year. Can't control a game with the run to save their lives, and aren't afraid to get manhandled on defense. Add Miami's athleticism and ability to pound the ball on the ground and you get the line we have.

Think FSU has em though. An absurd % of the points they've given up have been off turnovers, and 90% of Jameis's INTs have been in the first half, where they've struggled. If he can play smarter I have faith that they can cover. Defensive line acted like they wanted to tackle a RB at times last week too.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16911 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:49 am to
quote:

FYI

No way Bama covers +10



Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:54 am to
quote:

FYI No way Bama covers +10


I actually think Bama has a good chance at this. I believe they should be able to expose the MSU secondary. While Sims isnt the best and has looked bad at times. They have been Jekyl and Hyde with home and away. I believe we will get top notch play out of Sims and Cooper had a field day.

As far as the MSU offense goes, well they have been dominant in most games they have played. But with that said they really havent played a D near as good as Bama. When they played LSU which is best as of now, they were no where near the D they are now to when we faced Moo St.

I think Bama does a pretty good job containing Prescott and makes him throw the ball. I see it as a 35-17 game or somewhere in there. MSU is held to 3 TDs at most and I cant see Moo St slowing down the Crimson Tide offense.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:55 am to
Wasnt planning on Moo St was you? Vegas doesnt give away free money
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68043 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

What is the Deal with the Utah line? Utah +8 at Stanford? Seems too good to be true?


it does. i have doubts
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68043 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

770 win 700 Miss St +6 1st half

100 win 595 3 teamer Mizzu +4.5, Mia +2.5, Miss St +9.5

130 win 2970 3 teamer m/l Mia, Mizzu, Miss St


my man
Posted by IceColdBeer
Sunbathing in Mission Beach
Member since Jan 2014
1076 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:35 pm to
I went for it this Saturday
Not many weeks left

Best of Luck Carson and everyone this weekend
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34226 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:36 pm to
heres what im thinking. let me know what you think


Michigan St - 9
A&M -4
UGA -3
Wisconsin -6
UTEP -6 over north texas
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36727 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:36 pm to
Thinking I'll be on South Carolina, Wisconsin, Texas, & Arkansas in some capacity

Going to wait until I have some free time to figure out how I want to bet those & look at totals.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68043 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:36 pm to
i may add Utah to that ML parlay you have.

50 to win 2500
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68043 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

heres what im thinking. let me know what you think


Michigan St - 9
A&M -4
UGA -3
Wisconsin -6
UTEP -6 over north texas


How'd you get Mich St at 9?? I'd probably have taken it at that

I like Mizzou over A&M

Agree on UGA

Wiscy is tough. I'd take them with a gun to my head though

I like North TExas
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
33200 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:33 pm to
I put 2 Units on Miss st to cover, and I'll probably put another Unit on them straight up.

They are getting 8.5 right now and they are clearly the better team in this game.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68043 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:44 pm to
frick
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:46 pm to
Sooooooo everybody thinks Miss St easy money?
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

They are getting 8.5 right now and they are clearly the better team in this game.


HAHA you are incorrect, sir. The talent level and depth between the two teams isn't even close.
Posted by IceColdBeer
Sunbathing in Mission Beach
Member since Jan 2014
1076 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:59 pm to
Thats why I like the 1st Half more than the full game
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 2:08 pm to
Is everyone still fading LSU bc of the recent doom against Arkansas? Fun fact LSU is 25-1 off a loss the last 10 yrs
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