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re: OFFICIAL CFB bet thread week 8

Posted on 10/18/13 at 4:57 pm to
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25713 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 4:57 pm to
Vegas wants the public on LSU. They trust Bama to cover more than LSU.

I don't see the line being below 7 for sure. A&M was early and had Manziel. Bama has come so far since that game. Take that game away and we have allowed less than 10 points a game.

Our Oline is starting to gel and we have a new stud RB in Drake to go along with Yeldon. AJ is still AJ.

Bama team is getting undersold by the media and everyone.
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31815 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 5:09 pm to
After watching Louisville play so poorly against Rutgers last week, I can't help but think UCF can keep it within 2 TDS. Went ahead and put a unit down on the Knights!
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162126 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

Vegas wants the public on LSU. They trust Bama to cover more than LSU.


Wasn't this the line everyone was using before last year's game? How'd that work out again?
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25713 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 5:29 pm to
Vegas is never wrong? I'm saying Bama lines are inflated every week and LSU will be no different. Disagree?

I'm not saying Bama will cover.
Posted by lsudude24
Boulder, CO
Member since Sep 2005
2340 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 5:35 pm to
Anyone else having problems logging onto 5dimes?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:01 pm to
No problems here
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7267 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:05 pm to
I got my bet on UCF +14 on 5dimes just fine.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:06 pm to
A phenomenal article on the FSU game:

LINK

quote:

Prediction

FSU has the better team but the better team doesn't always win. If this game were to be played in Doak or at a neutral site, FSU would be a healthy favorite. However, this game is in Death Valley and it's one of the toughest places to play. Add in the fact that FSU is in year one of it's new defense and starting a RS Freshman QB, and the outcome is far from certain. However, Winston doesn't play any where near the level of a RS Freshman and the defense has had ample time to prepare. The off week could not have come at a better time for FSU and Clemson is coming off a tough game against BC.

There are certain things beyond FSU's control which probably keep coaches up at night a bit. How will Winston handle his first huge test in a hostile environment? Will Bryant play up to his freakish physical ability? If he does, Clemson will have a great chance to win, because FSU can't afford to double him with Watkins on the other side. He's certainly an X factor. Will Clemson's safeties continue to take poor angles against the run, allowing 30+ yarders, or will they be more focused? Can FSU shut down Clemson's run game and force Boyd to throw the ball 45+ times?

Who knows. In a game of this magnitude with two excellent teams, the smallest of things can make the difference.

Bud's pick: Florida State 34, Clemson 27 | Chance of winning: 58%
This post was edited on 10/18/13 at 6:06 pm
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:20 pm to
So the whole thread is on UCF tonight?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:20 pm to
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:21 pm to
56% of the public is on UCF. I'm beginning to regret capping this game, but I still think UCF gets it done
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:28 pm to
Awe shite. Perfect time for the Ville to roll.
Posted by Joe Mantegna
knoxville
Member since Oct 2007
9570 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

Awe shite. Perfect time for the Ville to roll.


I think UCF wins straight up.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30675 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:32 pm to
Betting Louisville -8 first half.

Studying soccer and CFB games.
Posted by PokerChamp21
Member since Apr 2006
20125 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:33 pm to
UCF has been better in the first halves then in the second.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:34 pm to
Sharp money has been steaming the line towards UCF the past couple of days. I'm getting worried I might be on the wrong side

Something interest I've read is that you can tell whether sharp money or public money is steaming a line based on how Bovada moves their line
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
554 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:41 pm to
Dammit.. Didn't realize everyone here is on UCF tonight. Just placed an unit on UCF +14. I was debating between that and u55.5.

Go knights!
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 6:44 pm to
Line opened at +10.5 for UCF, so there's definitely some value with +14.



FYI: Comparing offensive and defensive yds per play, There is only a .12 yard per play difference between the two. Take that info fwiw.
This post was edited on 10/18/13 at 6:48 pm
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 7:14 pm to
Really no review?
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 7:27 pm to
Good news: UCF will put up some points

Bad news: Game is fixed
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