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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 4
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:55 pm to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:55 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
NC State, UConn, North Texas, ULM and SMU... Pick your favorite three out of that group for this weekend and you'll probably do well.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:55 pm to wish i was tebow
I cant believe this
Who does that shite
Who does that shite
This post was edited on 9/19/13 at 9:56 pm
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:56 pm to PPBeastMode
I hope those son of a bitches choke their food tonight
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:56 pm to ChemE in the OP
Why did I not take Clemson live like I said?
I'll take my win though.
I'll take my win though.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:56 pm to Billy Mays
yeah. 1 they couldnt get a 4th down stop. and 2 that drive took forever.
the whole time I said at 14.5 I take NC State. At 13.5 I take clemson
just a tough loss. game could have gone either way.
the whole time I said at 14.5 I take NC State. At 13.5 I take clemson
just a tough loss. game could have gone either way.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:57 pm to wish i was tebow
Anything below 14 was clemson all day. Can't regret that pick. Although, NC State got fricked and should have easily covered.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:57 pm to wish i was tebow
This game was very Louisville/Kentucky-esq
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:58 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
hay guyz! whatz going on in he...
quote:
I just threw up. I'm not lying
Posted on 9/19/13 at 9:58 pm to TheOcean
yeah Clemson also had their chances to put that game away.
like I said could have gone either way.
when clemson went to 13.5 I had to take them. it was a small play so not killer but would have liked a win obviously.
oh well, off to the weekend
like I said could have gone either way.
when clemson went to 13.5 I had to take them. it was a small play so not killer but would have liked a win obviously.
oh well, off to the weekend
Posted on 9/19/13 at 10:03 pm to wish i was tebow
Yup, Vegas is good - they had this thing capped like a boss.
Either side could've covered... I usually feel worse when I take complete derps like BGSU +3 vs. Indiana last weekend (IU won by 35)
Either side could've covered... I usually feel worse when I take complete derps like BGSU +3 vs. Indiana last weekend (IU won by 35)
This post was edited on 9/19/13 at 10:05 pm
Posted on 9/19/13 at 10:07 pm to wish i was tebow
I should have known better than to fricking back Clemson.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 10:11 pm to TJG210
Thank god for my live bet to recoup almost all of my losses.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 10:26 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
I'm glad most of the guys on this board who were on the wrong side tonight can atleast acknowledge that the huge TD run being called back was a huge break in Clemsons favor. Twitter is an absolute bitch fest that the game was rigged and that Clemson was clearly the better team. Clemsons Offense is light years ahead of NC States at this point, but the defense played a really good football game.
I don't like being on the opposite side of most of you, hopefully it won't happen too much this weekend.

I don't like being on the opposite side of most of you, hopefully it won't happen too much this weekend.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 10:32 pm to dgtiger3
Props to the NC State backers.
Glad I missed placing my bet lol
Glad I missed placing my bet lol
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:03 pm to dgtiger3
Too soon for the sunshine pumping.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:12 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Teaser and small parlay cashed tonight, +$350 on the week.
I'm not really a disciplined unit bettor. Teasers and parlays are more my thing, but they've served me well thus far.
I'm not really a disciplined unit bettor. Teasers and parlays are more my thing, but they've served me well thus far.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:13 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Lol. Sorry should have held off until the morning, actually thought that as soon as I hit submit.
My strategy using my upset rating I showed you is now up to 13-2 since the beginning of last week.
My strategy using my upset rating I showed you is now up to 13-2 since the beginning of last week.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:16 pm to dgtiger3
You mind linking up this weeks excel sheet?
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:35 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
I actually put a ton of work into it earlier this week. It is more thorough than almost anything you can find on the Internet as far as advanced statistics for football. I got inspired on my day off and decided I wanted all of my stats to be completely strength of schedule adjusted so I have a new excel sheet I created that is over 2500 rows long. It pulls stats from other pages and automatically updates itself after I manually update the main source. Feel free to view this rankings sheet I put together for FordFrenzy. It ranks all of my stats 1-125 in each category. 1 being the best 125 being the worst. I will also upload my matchups if I get a chance tomorrow.
LINK
When I say it is completely adjusted based on their opponents. If a team has played against two opponents with good offensive pass protectors it adjusts their pass rush rating. I was pretty proud to see how poorly my sheet thought of Clemsons O Line coming into tonight, it's clearly their biggest weakness.
Also when I say my upset rating is 13-2 I only use it in matchups where the team getting points 'the underdog' has a smaller number than the favorite. Tonight was obviously a play, as is Boise tomorrow.
LINK
When I say it is completely adjusted based on their opponents. If a team has played against two opponents with good offensive pass protectors it adjusts their pass rush rating. I was pretty proud to see how poorly my sheet thought of Clemsons O Line coming into tonight, it's clearly their biggest weakness.
Also when I say my upset rating is 13-2 I only use it in matchups where the team getting points 'the underdog' has a smaller number than the favorite. Tonight was obviously a play, as is Boise tomorrow.
This post was edited on 9/19/13 at 11:39 pm
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