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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 4

Posted on 9/19/13 at 1:54 pm to
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

I honestly think many people are basing the outcome of this game to what NCST has done in the past



This. I'm betting Clemson -13. The only reason I see it close is because it's a thursday night game.
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

The term "square play" is completely meaningless and used only by people who are either bad at betting (via outsmarting themselves) or good at being really smug, or both.



This. I have been thinking of a way to say this. I was told the Louisville game last week was a sucker bet and Vegas is laughing at me.

I won a grand
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16925 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Surprised to see you on that Under after your reply to my earlier post about both teams having the extra week. Why the change of heart?



Because I don't think State can score enough to push it over.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 1:59 pm to
NCST +14 locked in.

Ideally I want the Wolfpack to score first and grab Clemson at -10 or less.
Posted by loweralabamatrojan
Lower Alabama
Member since Oct 2006
13277 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Utah State should be favored over USC IMO. +7 is a good line for them.
Is it going to be the lackluster offense we showed against Wazzu, or the play-action heroes that drubbed BC? I have no idea which USC team is going to show up. I wouldn't touch this game as a bettor.
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

NCST +14 locked in.



YOU GONNA LOSE
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:01 pm to
Glad you can predict the future.
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Glad you can predict the future.




What I meant to say is I hope you lose so I can win. I was listening to NC State coach on XM and he was saying how bad their depth is and how it will take a couple years to get where he wants it.
This post was edited on 9/19/13 at 2:13 pm
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

YOU GONNA LOSE





Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:05 pm to
That works.

I will be looking to get on Clemson at some point tonight if the numbers right.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16925 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:06 pm to
I wish you a push since I got them at -13.5


Hopefully I can use this gif A LOT tonight

Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:17 pm to
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12079 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:19 pm to
I hope he loses just on principle. If you're hoping to get Clemson at -10 why not just wait for that in game line?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:19 pm to
Rooting for everyone... Didn't like 13.5 or 14 but couldn't resist starting a teaser with Clemson -7...
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:21 pm to
Because I think this game is a 7-13 point game. If it looks I could wait and get 7 I will.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16925 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:27 pm to
Shake the haters. I feel where ya at. But I still hope you push that +14 action.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5709 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:29 pm to
Here are my thoughts on the game.
Yall are all gonna lose






Seriously my opinion is Clemson is not as good many people think they are, and they are definitely not as explosive on offense as they were last year. NC State will control the running game and limit Clemson's big play ability which will keep this game much closer than many expect. The unknown of the new NC State coaching staff and the Thursday night HOME dog role are two things that I see as advantages for the Wolfpack, Clemson has all the pressure in the world, their first road game of the season and with a "lofty" number 3 rating. I think they will come out timid. While I think the concerns about the NC State offense are 'fair' this is the same Clemson team that gave up 25 points a game on the road last season. 34-27 Clemson

That being said I would not take NC State at any number below 14.5, I expect my local to have it at 15.

So NC State +15 for me.

Goodluck to everyone in this thread.
This post was edited on 9/19/13 at 2:32 pm
Posted by Ford Frenzy
337 posts
Member since Aug 2010
6915 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

That being said I would not take NC State at any number below 14.5, I expect my local to have it at 15.
+1
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5709 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

This game feels very similar to the Florida St. - Pitt game two weeks ago


Except that the favorite was at home that night.

Feels a bit more like last year FSU at NC State to me.


EDIT: The game was at FSU and I am an idiot. Do not listen to anything I say. Nothing to see here.
This post was edited on 9/19/13 at 2:59 pm
Posted by Memphis
Fenway Park
Member since Jun 2013
6302 posts
Posted on 9/19/13 at 2:45 pm to
might tease over and NC state
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