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re: NFL Week 5 Betting Thread

Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:07 am to
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Week 4 - Blew out a very shitty KC team


FIFY

And it's the same shitty Chiefs team that the Saints let rally for a comeback!

Something, however, just keeps telling me that the Saints are going to pound that arse at home.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:32 am to
Steven Jackson listed as questionable for tonight's game
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:34 am to
I'd be shocked if he didn't play.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30194 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:43 am to
It's all about matchups. KC rallied against us but loses to every other team in the league. Does that make every other team in the league by comparison? Of course not.

Teams have bad games.

Take this fwiw, but Payton and crew will be at the game Sunday night. Prime time...Atmostphere will be electric.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158763 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:52 am to
Payton and crew won't be visible
This post was edited on 10/4/12 at 9:53 am
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Take this fwiw, but Payton and crew will be at the game Sunday night. Prime time...Atmostphere will be electric.


Payton will likely not be shown even on TV. I can see how the team might be pumped up to play in front of him, but I don't think that is what will get them excited for the game. Brees will thrown a TD, but that is far from a guaranteed win. I might take the points in this game, but I probably just won't play it.
Posted by Brageous
Member since Jul 2008
107724 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 11:02 am to
quote:

Payton will likely not be shown even on TV.


I find this extremely difficult to believe.
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 11:06 am to
quote:

find this extremely difficult to believe.


Likely may nto have been the best word. What I mean is the NFL may ask the camera crews to keep the camera off of him. I'm not sure, but I really don't think Payton being there has an impact on the game whatsoever.

The NFL wants as little coverage of him as possible I would think.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30194 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 12:06 pm to
Why is him being visible on TV relavent? It's a big night. Prime time, everyone will know CSP is there, the record on the line. If you think the crowd or the team is going to treat this like they do every other Sunday noon game, then you're crazy.
This post was edited on 10/4/12 at 12:07 pm
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158763 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 4:40 pm to
Hmmmmm tough one to call tonight
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47135 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 5:03 pm to
Remember that NFL Spreadsheet I mentioned a few weeks ago?

Here is the updated location:

NFL Spreadsheet

Sheet 2 is me calculating his line. Home on left, Away on Right.

The best bets are:

Chicago, Minnesota and Houston.

His play tonight is Arizona and the Under.

Feel free to download this and make your own tweaks throughout the season as teams play more and see if you can benefit from it.
This post was edited on 10/4/12 at 5:08 pm
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158763 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 5:57 pm to
Kinda feeling the rams here.

Anyone have the side %s? I'm seeing a little over 60% on zona.
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7265 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 6:32 pm to
quote:

Kinda feeling the rams here.


Just got off the phone with my dad discussing this game. I told him I liked the Rams and he laughed at me. I still feel like taking the Rams though.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158763 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 7:03 pm to
one would think the team that throttled the pats and eagles would be favored by more.....but they're basically a pick.

I'm going to roll with the Rams,

eta:Line down to +1 with the public backing the cards.
This post was edited on 10/4/12 at 7:06 pm
Posted by Brodeur
Member since Feb 2012
4622 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 7:10 pm to
Going with the Rams. 1 thing I've learned is if it seems too good to be true, it probably is. Then again, I've been on a tremendous skid..
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158763 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 7:14 pm to
Posted by Fgiord
America
Member since Nov 2006
4688 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 7:15 pm to
Locked in u38.5 and o7 1st quarter.

Here we go...
Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
24360 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 7:36 pm to
Got under 39.5 and a parlay with zona -2 under Utah +14 and the under
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:01 pm to
Under looking good after the first half. Really been liking the NFL betting market this year. Let's keep it rolling!
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158763 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:03 pm to
Thursday night unders have been $
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