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re: NFL Week 5 Betting Thread

Posted on 10/2/12 at 9:38 pm to
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/2/12 at 9:38 pm to
Arizona ML this Thursday...
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/2/12 at 9:48 pm to
Just take the under. Both teams have solid Ds with shitty offenses.
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 10/2/12 at 9:49 pm to
I hope you bet Arizona ml, you are auto fade
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/2/12 at 10:00 pm to
How the frick am I auto fade? I went 6-1 this past weekend.
Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
24341 posts
Posted on 10/2/12 at 11:05 pm to
There are many people that post in these threads that should be faded, I haven't notice you to be one of them
Posted by ShaqTIGAH
Houston
Member since Dec 2009
549 posts
Posted on 10/2/12 at 11:25 pm to
what method did you use for deposit?
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 10:41 am to
quote:

what method did you use for deposit?


I used my Visa backed debit card. It's free to deposit that way. I haven't cashed anything out yet, so I can't comment on that process, but people here have given them awesome reviews. Their customer service is also top notch.

This post was edited on 10/3/12 at 10:42 am
Posted by BeaumontBengal
Member since Feb 2005
2334 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:37 pm to
I got Ravens -4.5 @ Chiefs. Got it on Monday night and see its moved to -7.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:58 pm to
Call me crazy but Kansas City has been arguably one of the toughest places to play in the league. Not to mention Kansas City is beating teams on the stat sheet. They just turn the ball over too much at times.

First glance, you'd think Baltimore would blow them out by 3 TD's. Lot of people thought that about the Raven's game against the Browns (at home) as well.

If KC is +7, I may take the points. NFL road games are tough, especially at Arrowhead.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:00 pm to
Slow your roll buddy ...

quote:

They just turn the ball over too much at times.



And are playing the Ravens' ball-hawking defense.

quote:

Lot of people thought that about the Raven's game against the Browns (at home) as well.


No one thought that. I'm pretty sure most everyone sided with the Browns in that game.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:12 pm to
When I say everyone, that's not limited to this board/betting thread.

My point is, NFL road games are TOUGH regardless of who is playing. You give me a TD or more worth of points, at a stadium that has been deemed one of the toughest to play in, I'm going to consider it, regardless of the opponent.

If KC takes care of the ball, they should cover. Maybe I'm being crazy, but I just don't like to overract immediately to "to good to be true" lines with teams that should get an "automatic win".


ETA: Interesting stat, blindly betting every NFL underdog since week 1 = 37-22-4 ATS (63%)
This post was edited on 10/3/12 at 2:11 pm
Posted by BeaumontBengal
Member since Feb 2005
2334 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 4:59 pm to
KC has been blown out at home twice already this year. I don't think that changes this weekend. Baltimore is a premier team in this league coming off an extended rest. I think I'll be safe ravens -4.5. Just my opinion though. Any given Sunday...
Posted by BeaumontBengal
Member since Feb 2005
2334 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 5:01 pm to
I went 4-0 last weekend picking favorites (den, sf, ne, cin). 0-1 picking an underdog (nyg). So I think you can win picking favorites, just have to pay attention.
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 10:39 pm to
Rams tomorrow guys
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 11:09 pm to
Thinking about dropping the hammer on Nola this week. They won't shite the bed at home again will they?
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 11:12 pm to
Asking if they'll shite the bed AGAIN is kinda scary when betting.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 11:19 pm to
True
Posted by BasClas
Member since Feb 2007
7881 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 5:48 am to
quote:

Thinking about dropping the hammer on Nola this week. They won't shite the bed at home again will they?




That game makes no sense to me.
How the hell is a 3-1 team a dog to an 0-4 team, even if they are playing in the Dome? I'm pulling for the Saints, but I aint falling for that bet.
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 8:24 am to
Rams are 2-0 at home this season. I like Zona's D, but damn I can't get behind their QB situation.

I may put some down on Rams tonight. Going to look into it a little deeper today.
This post was edited on 10/4/12 at 8:25 am
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/4/12 at 9:00 am to
quote:

That game makes no sense to me.
How the hell is a 3-1 team a dog to an 0-4 team, even if they are playing in the Dome? I'm pulling for the Saints, but I aint falling for that bet.


While the defense has been quite shitty, New Orleans could have very well won all of their games (except @ Carolina).

-Lost by one possession (while driving) to Washington

-Lost by a FG in overtime after a rare offensive implosion in the 2nd half

-Lost by one possession because of a random dropped ball by sproles on third down, then a weird series of penalties after making a kick that would have put them in the lead against Green Bay


I think people are seeing this. 0-4 yes, but one possession away each game from being 3-1. Vegas has Saints' homefield advantage worth 3.5 points so on a neutral field they technically would be half point dogs.

Gotta look deeper than the record sometimes.

ETA: Took the Raiders in week 1 to massively implode for SD to win.

Week 2 - they beat a very crappy Tenn team

Week 3 - Lost at home against their only competition thus far this season Atlanta (27-3)

Week 4 - Beat a very shitty KC team

The Chargers' 3-1 record doesn't look so hot after typing that out. Only thing they have on us, is that they beat Kansas City and we didn't.

This game is closer than it looks.
This post was edited on 10/4/12 at 9:03 am
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