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re: NFL Week 4 Betting Thread

Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:13 pm to
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67800 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

If it's just a $10 bet, I'll just pull for KC -6.5 and my $300.


$50.

I'm on KC in Supercontest, so this is tough. Guess ill be happy either way
Posted by soyeoman
Wallowa mts
Member since Aug 2017
8 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:18 pm to
19-8 heading into MNF
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67800 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:33 pm to
screenshot of plays or gtfo
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26568 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:43 pm to
KC up to -7.5 now. That hook putting it over a TD has me leaning back towards Washington. I love to play the Monday Night game just because but I can't get a good feeling either way on this spread. I haven't seen Washington play a down of football this year.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23518 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:55 pm to
Hunt over 3 catches
$26/20

RB catches and receiving yards, along with running qb rushing yards is how I make most of my money in the NFL. These bets are usually larger for me than spread or moneyline.
This post was edited on 10/2/17 at 2:56 pm
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
53856 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 3:05 pm to
I just have a feeling Washington wins outright
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66769 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 3:53 pm to
anyone have word of chiefs lt eric fisher?

2 o lineman out for kc. im leaning towards the +7.5. crazy things happen on mnf and we havent had a dog cover a national game this week. chiefs win but only by 3 or 4.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 4:18 pm to
New England is -5 against Tampa on Thursday. Most of the bets are on the Pats. Like >70% I believe.

Do you guys think this number rises? Or will we see reverse line movement in the next couple of days? Trying to get the best number. There is no reason on earth that the Pats should be giving that many points on the road against a good Bucs team. It's a short week for the Pats. They aren't going to fix their shitty defense in three days.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66769 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 5:50 pm to
all 3 games against the skins a te has been the opponents leading receiver.

kelce over 67.5

*for anyone that cares, eric fisher is active tonight. chiefs starting LT
This post was edited on 10/2/17 at 6:02 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45229 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

screenshot of plays or gtfo


I've had better runs that than guy in the NFL. I do well in the NFL but break even at CFB

I'm on Was +7
This post was edited on 10/2/17 at 6:21 pm
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
17893 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:35 pm to
Straight
25-20-1

parlay
2-2, +6.6 units

ML
3-4, +.3u

props(ugh...)
9-12-1

Skins +7

Parlay Skins ml + U 48 1/6

Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66769 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:39 pm to


i been looking for something to lean me one way or the other. both teams matchup similarly in stats:
LINK

KC at home since 2015 6-10-1 ATS
WAS on the road since 2015 10-6-0 ATS

-both run offense thru tight ends and utilizing the rb's out of the backfield. a couple of reject qbs.

my take:
the redskins have a fantastic attacking front 7 that are going unnoticed. without chiefs starting center and banged up tackle should be able to get some pressure. alex smith the most sacked qb.

redskins activate tight end reed and rb thompson. redskins top 5 oline has the potential to neutralize chiefs top 5 pass rush. trent williams is a monster.

weird shite happens on monday night. im betting on skins and espn giving some love to grudens brother in a close game. dont care who wins, as long as it is by less than 7.

^^^yea, yea tldr i know. everyone just give their pick. this is what i see. if i am wrong someone out their may be able to see where i went wrong.

skins +7
This post was edited on 10/2/17 at 6:49 pm
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
17893 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:39 pm to
Mr. Thompson O 38.5 rec yds
Posted by Chuckiee
Member since Jan 2007
2604 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:44 pm to
I'm on skins +7
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
10001 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:45 pm to
Washington +7 and ML +280
Posted by cuyahoga tiger
NE Ohio via Tangipahoa
Member since Nov 2011
6121 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:50 pm to
I'm with your boys on the scans PLUS7
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
17893 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:52 pm to
Pryor U 52.5 rec yds
Pryor O 2.5 catches

I'm going to scoop these combo props one of these days.
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
10001 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

New England is -5 against Tampa on Thursday. Most of the bets are on the Pats. Like >70% I believe.

Do you guys think this number rises? Or will we see reverse line movement in the next couple of days? Trying to get the best number. There is no reason on earth that the Pats should be giving that many points on the road against a good Bucs team. It's a short week for the Pats. They aren't going to fix their shitty defense in three days.



Hard to say but the public doesnt see the bad defense. They just see a Bucs team vs a Brady. That and the Patriots usually win the following week after a loss. 5 is a dead number so it doesnt matter. It wont get to 7 and I dont think it comes down to 4 unless there is an injury this week.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45229 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 7:41 pm to
Skins lookin good baws
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23518 posts
Posted on 10/2/17 at 7:48 pm to
Pryor O 48.5
WIN
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