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re: NFL Week 4 Betting Thread
Posted on 10/1/17 at 9:16 pm to BayouBengals03
Posted on 10/1/17 at 9:16 pm to BayouBengals03
I can't do it bc I'm a pats fan but I feel like you have to take the points with them every week until they kil you. That defense is pathetic
1
Posted on 10/1/17 at 9:17 pm to wildtigercat93
Tampa should be giving points, but the Pats are a 4-point favorite instead 
ETA: It helps with perception that the Bucs barely beat New York at home this week.
ETA: It helps with perception that the Bucs barely beat New York at home this week.
This post was edited on 10/1/17 at 9:18 pm
Posted on 10/1/17 at 9:19 pm to BayouBengals03
What the hell, Indy -2h
Posted on 10/1/17 at 9:19 pm to BayouBengals03
Yikes. Take the home dog.
Posted on 10/1/17 at 9:24 pm to BayouBengals03
Pats are a mess. Ever QB has torched them for 300+ yds this year. No pass rush for them.
Posted on 10/1/17 at 9:57 pm to wildtigercat93
quote:
Yes. Didn't buy in this year but testing out how I would do if I did
Been posting my picks in here every week
You cant do that. Making picks with no money on the line isnt the same as making picks with nothing to lose. You will be under alot more pressure unless you dont give a shite aboutt he $1500.
I would never join it. Its basically a $1500 lottery ticket because too many people play it now. There is 2750 entries. Take your $1500 and bet on the games. At least you have a chance to make some money.
Posted on 10/1/17 at 10:02 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
You cant do that. Making picks with no money on the line isnt the same as making picks with nothing to lose. You will be under alot more pressure unless you dont give a shite aboutt he $1500.
I mean I'm still betting these picks
I'm simply picking my "main 5" for the supercontest just to see how I would do since I didn't drop the cash for it
And it's not like I'm trying to brag here. All my picks have been posted before the Thursday games
This post was edited on 10/1/17 at 10:03 pm
Posted on 10/1/17 at 10:03 pm to TheOcean
Contrarian betting method. Very few disciplined enough to keep up
Posted on 10/1/17 at 10:11 pm to wildtigercat93
quote:
And it's not like I'm trying to brag here. All my picks have been posted before the Thursday games
Im not saying anything about your picks. Im saying the $1500 is throwing money away. Unless you can hit 60% you wont win anything. Thats not easy to do all year.
Posted on 10/1/17 at 10:14 pm to saintsfan1977
our Supercontest plays for this week
Saints
Falcons
Chargers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Hoping Hawks and Chiefs pull us out with 3-2. We went 5-0 last week
Saints
Falcons
Chargers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Hoping Hawks and Chiefs pull us out with 3-2. We went 5-0 last week
Posted on 10/1/17 at 10:26 pm to Carson123987
Good luck my man I hope yall in the money. Curious why yall took Atlanta? Bills was one of my best bets this week. I havent been posting plays, been busy, but Im not doing good this year. Playing too many games and been too busy to try and cap so im fading the public, instead of looking at this stuff.
The Bills +8 was easy. Bills have 2 coaches from the NFC South. HC McDermott and the DB coach. Both of those guys know Atlanta inside and out. The stats for passer rating, Bills were much better than Atlanta both offense and defense. Also Bills hd a much better yards per play on offense and defense compared to Atlanta. ATlant also had 4 starters out.
The Bills +8 was easy. Bills have 2 coaches from the NFC South. HC McDermott and the DB coach. Both of those guys know Atlanta inside and out. The stats for passer rating, Bills were much better than Atlanta both offense and defense. Also Bills hd a much better yards per play on offense and defense compared to Atlanta. ATlant also had 4 starters out.
Posted on 10/1/17 at 10:45 pm to saintsfan1977
Nice W for the Seahawks. Colts roster without Luck is pretty rough.
Posted on 10/1/17 at 11:09 pm to ChemE in the OP
wow. i stopped watching after half when the seahawks were down. what the hell happened?
Posted on 10/1/17 at 11:09 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
The Bills +8 was easy. Bills have 2 coaches from the NFC South. HC McDermott and the DB coach. Both of those guys know Atlanta inside and out. The stats for passer rating, Bills were much better than Atlanta both offense and defense. Also Bills hd a much better yards per play on offense and defense compared to Atlanta. ATlant also had 4 starters out.
eh, it's hard to win, much less cover, when you lose the TO battle 3-0, give up a defensive TD, and lose your top 2 WRs in the game.
quote:
Also Bills hd a much better yards per play on offense and defense compared to Atlanta.
not sure where you're getting this, Atlanta was #3 coming into today with 6.5 offensive ypp and Buffalo was #26 with 4.6 yards per play. Buffalo was only .5 defensive ypp better than Atlanta
Posted on 10/2/17 at 1:28 am to Carson123987
quote:
not sure where you're getting this, Atlanta was #3 coming into today with 6.5 offensive ypp and Buffalo was #26 with 4.6 yards per play. Buffalo was only .5 defensive ypp better than Atlanta
Sorry, I didnt explain it well. I take the difference and rank the teams.
Buffalo ypp on offense was 17.12 total offensive yards(rushing and rec combined) per play ranked 22, their defensive ypp was 22.57 ranked number 1
I subtract the off ypp from the defense and get Bills 5.45 which is ranked #3
Atlanta doing the same was ranked #10 with a diff of 1.65
Im in the process of using the numbers to come up with a predicted point spread but I dont expect it to spit results that I can just blindly use. It might be worthless but just something else to look at.
Good luck this year.
This post was edited on 10/2/17 at 1:31 am
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:33 am to HailToTheChiz
quote:
wow. i stopped watching after half when the seahawks were down. what the hell happened?
Same for me.
Posted on 10/2/17 at 8:36 am to PeteRose
Bet Cowherd's Blazing 5 again..
Rams +5.5
Ravens +3
Giants +3
Broncos -3
Chiefs -6.5
3-1 with KC left and 10-4 YTD.
Rams +5.5
Ravens +3
Giants +3
Broncos -3
Chiefs -6.5
3-1 with KC left and 10-4 YTD.
Posted on 10/2/17 at 1:57 pm to LSUAlum2001
my dad just texted me and said we need to pull hard for Washington. Has them in an ML parlay with Carolina and Buffalo. 69/1 
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:06 pm to Carson123987
If it's just a $10 bet, I'll just pull for KC -6.5 and my $300.
Posted on 10/2/17 at 2:07 pm to Carson123987
Ended up 2-3 on my fSupercontest picks this week
13-7 overall
13-7 overall
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