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NFL playoff betting thread

Posted on 1/19/24 at 3:37 am
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
15531 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 3:37 am


I'm taking
Houston +9.5
Green Bay +9.5
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81387 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 4:41 am to
Mike Evans over 70 yds
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33714 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 4:49 am to
Liking the over in the Packers-49ers game
Posted by Brian Wilson
Member since Mar 2012
2016 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 7:43 am to
Houston +9.5 is tempting but I feel Baltimore is going to absolutely dominate the Texans.
Posted by kkhere
Member since Nov 2009
428 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 7:48 am to
I usually hate teasers but will tease down both Baltimore and San Fran this week
Posted by Champs
Geaux Tigers
Member since Feb 2008
11698 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 7:52 am to
Feel like Vegas is begging us to take the Texans at 9.5, so I’m going with Baltimore -9.5
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25273 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 7:53 am to
Chiefs ML. Shawn Hoculi is reffing the game vs the Bills.

In Hoculi games:

quote:

Hochuli has officiated 10 of Kansas City’s games in the Patrick Mahomes era, with the Chiefs going 8-2 in those contests. In the playoffs, KC is 2-0 with Hochuli reffing.


quote:

The Bills were penalized 40 times for 347 yards in the last four games that Hochuli has reffed. That includes this season’s OT loss to the Philadelphia Eagles.


quote:

“Hochuli is known for calling a penalty-filled game,” wrote Chris Owen for WYRK radio’s website. “He’s also the head official for the Bills game in Philadelphia, where the crew missed an obvious horse-collar tackle on Josh Allen, which likely would have resulted in a red zone touchdown.”


quote:

In those two wins with Hochuli and crew officiating, the Chiefs were only hit with nine penalties for 99 yards.


quote:

Chiefs defensive back L’Jarius Sneed removed his helmet when arguing a call with an official on Sunday against the Vikings, which ordinarily draws a penalty flag. The officials told Sneed to put his helmet back on, but didn’t flag him. Now the NFL has fined him.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81387 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:12 am to
Lots of times that apparent bias “flips” as I believe it did in the Saints / Rams NFCCG with Bill Vinovich
Posted by schexyoung
Deaf Valley
Member since May 2008
6534 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:23 am to
Mahomes has won 78% of his games; is it really a big tell that his winning percentage is 80% with one particular ref? I don’t think so.
Posted by questionable
FL
Member since Apr 2008
1017 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:28 am to
All dogs ML parlay
Texans best team in the league right now
Purdy gets exposed
Baker got that dawg in him, spoils the party in Detroit
NFL pulls the strings for the Swifties
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25273 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:32 am to
quote:

Mahomes has won 78% of his games; is it really a big tell that his winning percentage is 80% with one particular ref? I don’t think so.


What about the other data points, or are you just going to ignore those?
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45044 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:38 am to
quote:

The Bills were penalized 40 times for 347 yards in the last four games that Hochuli has reffed.


Ok? How does that compare to their other games?

quote:

In those two wins with Hochuli and crew officiating, the Chiefs were only hit with nine penalties for 99 yards.


Again, how does that compare to other games?

Not very helpful stats without other information.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44742 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:41 am to
KC/BUF U45.5 looks pretty tasty. Both teams have high profile QBs, but they also have very good defenses and KC struggles to score touchdowns in the red zone.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
27672 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:43 am to
I love GB +9.5. I think they win straight up.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25273 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Ok? How does that compare to their other games?


Lower.

quote:

Again, how does that compare to other games?

Not very helpful stats without other information.


Lower.
Posted by oncealurker
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2013
5060 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 9:19 am to
quote:

I love GB +9.5. I think they win straight up.


quote:

dallastiger55


quote:

dallas


Checks out
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36588 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 9:23 am to
Texans +9.5

green bay/sf over
This post was edited on 1/19/24 at 9:24 am
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33001 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 9:47 am to
49ers spread
Chiefs ML
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
8011 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 10:25 am to
Ran into this stat since week 8:

Don’t count out Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers in Detroit this weekend

Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26575 posts
Posted on 1/19/24 at 10:45 am to
Baltimore -9.5
SF -9.5
Tampa +6.5
Chiefs +3
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