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re: Nelly Korda in the SEC
Posted on 7/30/26 at 11:56 am to iwyLSUiwy
Posted on 7/30/26 at 11:56 am to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
Yea, it's pretty safe to say since history tells us they can't make cuts
They’ve had like 4 chances. Men’s major winners miss 4 cuts in a row
quote:
The best comparison to Nelly would probably be when Annika tried in 2003. She was 5-6 time major winner and #1 in the world. She missed the cut by four strokes.
Annika’s game does not compare as well as Nelly’s to the men’s game and that was nearly 25 years ago. It’s really not that great of a comparison at all.
And it has nothing to do with Nelly competing against college kids, who 99% of aren’t even close to Tour players
Posted on 7/30/26 at 11:57 am to lsupride87
In 2023, Lexi Thompson made 6 out of 14 cuts on the LPGA Tour.
She also played in the Shriner’s Children’s Open that year for whatever reason.
She beat Ben Griffin, Si Woo Kim, Andrew Putnam, Peter Malnati, and 30 other Tour players.
Obviously the top of the SEC is really really good. Koivun just won on Tour. Tommy Morrison won a KFT event last week. Luke Potter finished T4 in that KFT event. I do think top 15-25 is generous, but it depends on the week.
Fwiw, the Chevron Championship played at 6900 yards and Nelly finished the tourney at -18 and won by 5.
She also played in the Shriner’s Children’s Open that year for whatever reason.
She beat Ben Griffin, Si Woo Kim, Andrew Putnam, Peter Malnati, and 30 other Tour players.
Obviously the top of the SEC is really really good. Koivun just won on Tour. Tommy Morrison won a KFT event last week. Luke Potter finished T4 in that KFT event. I do think top 15-25 is generous, but it depends on the week.
Fwiw, the Chevron Championship played at 6900 yards and Nelly finished the tourney at -18 and won by 5.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 11:59 am to Dawgsontop34
quote:
Fwiw, the Chevron Championship played at 6900 yards and Nelly finished the tourney at -18 and won by 5.
How many college golfers beat that?
Hint, it ain’t that many
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:00 pm to CPA Yung Boi
had no idea she was Petr Korda's daughter the tennis player
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:04 pm to Dawgsontop34
quote:Tell me what you think Nellys scoring average will be over a season of 7,000 plus yard courses
Dawgsontop34
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:07 pm to CPA Yung Boi
quote:
They’ve had like 4 chances. Men’s major winners miss 4 cuts in a row
Well it's more than four and you know that. And the PGA Tour would give Korda and numerous other a chance in plenty of tournaments if they wanted to. They don't because they wouldn't make cuts.
Throw Korda in a crappy PGA Tour event this week and she would get eat up. 7300 par 70 with five 500+ par 4's, 250 yard par 3, 600+ yard par 5's. She ain't making the cut.
quote:
Annika’s game does not compare as well as Nelly’s to the men’s game and that was nearly 25 years ago. It’s really not that great of a comparison at all.
You're right, Annika actually had a better shot at making a cut than Nelly does. She led the tour in driving distance in 2003, only 7 yards shorter than what Nelly averages now (270 v 277) and Nelly would have to play on a course about 400 yards longer than what Annika did in 03.
quote:
And it has nothing to do with Nelly competing against college kids, who 99% of aren’t even close to Tour players
Agreed. But it's tigerdroppings and the thread shifted. I tend to agree closer to where you think she would finish in the SEC, just not where you think in the PGA.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:09 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Tell me what you think Nellys scoring average will be over a season of 7,000 plus yard courses
It’s really hard to say, but my guess would be somewhere around even par to slightly under. And she’d definitely improve as she played more tournament rounds at that length.
One thing that is for certain, she would almost never eject. These courses aren’t set up to be tough and she’s extremely straight and consistent
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:10 pm to iwyLSUiwy
So you think she would be All Sec and average around 70 for a season scoring average?
Because that’s what top 15-25 looks like in the sec
Because that’s what top 15-25 looks like in the sec
This post was edited on 7/30/26 at 12:11 pm
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:12 pm to CPA Yung Boi
quote:
One thing that is for certain, she would almost never eject.
Ehh… I agree on a lot of your points, but Nelly has ejected in some tourneys over the last couple years.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:16 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
Throw Korda in a crappy PGA Tour event this week and she would get eat up.
quote:
And the PGA Tour would give Korda and numerous other a chance in plenty of tournaments if they wanted to.
You have no idea if this is true or not
And I’d think the opposite is true because the men would be terrified of losing to a woman. But like you, I’ve got no clue.
It’s certainly course dependent. This week wouldn’t be a great fit for her. But a place like Sony, Hilton Head, Travelers, Whydam etc. she’d have a much better shot. Quail or Honda, no shot.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:18 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Tell me what you think Nellys scoring average will be over a season of 7,000 plus yard courses
I think she’d probably be around 71-72ish. Probably wouldn’t start for the best SEC Teams. I do think she could easily start for Kentucky or Mizzou.
I think if Nelly played on a PGA Tour full season, she’d probably make a few cuts, but be one of, if not the worst full time player on the Tour. As you know, you can beat someone on any given week, but lose to them the majority of the time.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:18 pm to lsupride87
quote:
So you think she would be All Sec and average around 70 for a season scoring average?
Because that’s what top 15-25 looks like in the sec
I don't know what she could do for a season, none of us do. The guy said the SEC championship right? I think for one tournament there's a chance Nelly could be mid pack.
There were 86 players in the Men's SEC championship and mid pack, T41 shot even. It played 7K yards. I think it's not crazy to say that the best woman's golfer in the world could shoot even over three days on a 7K course.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:20 pm to Dawgsontop34
quote:
I agree on a lot of your points, but Nelly has ejected in some tourneys over the last couple years.
She’s missed 6 cuts since 2023 and 1 in the last 2 years
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:22 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
There were 86 players in the Men's SEC championship and mid pack, T41 shot even. It played 7K yards. I think it's not crazy to say that the best woman's golfer in the world could shoot even over three days on a 7K course.
She could shoot like 3 or 4 under realistically. That’s ceiling, median is probably somewhere around even to a couple of over par.
The question is how could she do. She could finish like 15th. It’s way more likely she finishes like 50th, but that wasn’t the question.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:27 pm to CPA Yung Boi
quote:
You have no idea if this is true or not
And I’d think the opposite is true because the men would be terrified of losing to a woman. But like you, I’ve got no clue.
They let freaking Lexi Thompson play in the Shriners to get eyeballs on the tournament and she hadn't won a major in like ten years and wasn't nearly as popular as Nelly. You think some shite PGA Tour event wouldn't kick Bill Butts out to let the most popular women's golfer in the world to play? Give me a break.
quote:
It’s certainly course dependent.
Right. When you say she has a "way better than zero chance" what do you mean?
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:29 pm to Dawgsontop34
quote:I think that is far more likely representation of what she potentially “could do”
think she’d probably be around 71-72ish. Probably wouldn’t start for the best SEC Teams. I do think she could easily start for Kentucky or Mizzou.
But the question should be can she make a team moreso than can she be all sec
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:29 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
They let freaking Lexi Thompson play in the Shriners to get eyeballs on the tournament and she hadn't won a major in like ten years and wasn't nearly as popular as Nelly.
Yeah, they knew she had no chance, that’s my point
quote:
When you say she has a "way better than zero chance" what do you mean?
If she plays Sony, there’s a material shot she makes the cut. If you give her a full season of like 20 events, I think it’s a near certainty she makes at least one
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:31 pm to CPA Yung Boi
quote:
She’s missed 6 cuts since 2023 and 1 in the last 2 years
Couple years was wrong. I was thinking about 2024 when she won like 5 straight tourneys (or something along those lines) and then shot a million in the first round at the US Women’s open and a million in the second round at the Women’s PGA.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:31 pm to lsupride87
quote:
I think that is far more likely representation of what she potentially “could do”
But the question should be can she make a team moreso than can she be all sec
She could 100% beat Tommy Morrison over a small subset, including a 54 hole stroke play event. And he just won a KFT event. She has no chance of beating him over a season long race.
You can disagree with that, but you don’t even have the cognitive ability to understand that’s the topic at hand.
Posted on 7/30/26 at 12:35 pm to CPA Yung Boi
quote:
Yeah, they knew she had no chance, that’s my poin
The let her in for viewers, not because she had no shot at making the cut.
quote:
If you give her a full season of like 20 events, I think it’s a near certainty she makes at least one
Yea I'd agree with that. I was going to say %5 chance on a course that is better suited for her. So 1 in 20
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