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Likely rankings if either Okla St, Georgia, Cinci, or Mich loses
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:44 pm
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:44 pm
There’s a good chance either Georgia, Oklahoma State, Cinci, or Mich will be upset this weekend. Here is how I see it playing out for each scenario where just one of those teams loses and the other three win.
According to the betting odds, Okla St is the most likely to lose. If Okla St loses to Baylor, final four is likely:
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Cinci
4. Notre Dame
Georgia is the next most likely to lose. If they do, it’s likely:
1. Bama
2. Michigan
3. UGA
4. Cinci
Cinci is the next most likely to lose, and if they do it’s likely:
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Okla St
4. Notre Dame
Michigan is the least likely to lose, if they do, it’s likely:
1. UGA
2. Cinci
3. Okla St
4. Notre Dame
Any disagreements?
According to the betting odds, Okla St is the most likely to lose. If Okla St loses to Baylor, final four is likely:
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Cinci
4. Notre Dame
Georgia is the next most likely to lose. If they do, it’s likely:
1. Bama
2. Michigan
3. UGA
4. Cinci
Cinci is the next most likely to lose, and if they do it’s likely:
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Okla St
4. Notre Dame
Michigan is the least likely to lose, if they do, it’s likely:
1. UGA
2. Cinci
3. Okla St
4. Notre Dame
Any disagreements?
This post was edited on 11/30/21 at 10:01 pm
11
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:46 pm to Jon Ham
No but there are so many more possible scenarios too. Michigan could easily lose. Multiple teams can lose.
This post was edited on 11/30/21 at 9:47 pm
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:47 pm to Jon Ham
I don't think Michigan is a lock for the playoffs.
While extremely (less than 2% chance) unlikely, I think it would be funny for Notre Dame to win it all once Kelly leaves.
While extremely (less than 2% chance) unlikely, I think it would be funny for Notre Dame to win it all once Kelly leaves.
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:47 pm to Jon Ham
Agreed. It's Notre Dame every time outside of the scenario in which Alabama beats Georgia.
Though this will never happen, a Notre Dame-Michigan championship in Indy would be wild
Though this will never happen, a Notre Dame-Michigan championship in Indy would be wild
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:47 pm to TheWalrus
Crap I forgot Michigan losing scenario. I will add to OP in a moment.
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:48 pm to O
quote:
I don't think Michigan is a lock for the playoffs.
If Michigan beats Iowa, they're in without question. There's no scenario in which Michigan gets left out as the Big Ten champion
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:54 pm to Jon Ham
Gonna be really awkward when Notre Dame wins it all.
Posted on 11/30/21 at 10:00 pm to Bama Bird
quote:
Agreed. It's Notre Dame every time outside of the scenario in which Alabama beats Georgia.
And every time ND does get in, it’s at #4 slot with a first round matchup against UGA.
Kelly did not want another 20+ point postseason loss on his resume (can’t blame him).
Posted on 11/30/21 at 10:05 pm to Jon Ham
Looking over these scenarios, a couple more thoughts:
Cinci has a great shot to play in the National Championship game.
Another UGA/Bama national title game is not as unlikely as we want it to be.
Cinci has a great shot to play in the National Championship game.
Another UGA/Bama national title game is not as unlikely as we want it to be.
Posted on 11/30/21 at 10:26 pm to Jon Ham
quote:
1. UGA
2. Cinci
3. Okla St
4. Notre Dame
Georgia will never ever have a better shot at a title.
Eta and talk about a Cinderella if Cincy plays Georgia like they did last year in the bowl game. Fickell has done an amazing job there
This post was edited on 11/30/21 at 10:28 pm
Posted on 11/30/21 at 11:34 pm to O
quote:
I think it would be funny for Notre Dame to win it all once Kelly leaves.
LSU fans would instantly try to claim that tile as Kelly's.
Posted on 12/1/21 at 7:07 am to Jon Ham
Someone on the CFP committee said they will absolutely take into account Kelly being gone from ND when deciding where they end up at the end. To me, that says they have zero shot at getting in.
Posted on 12/1/21 at 9:33 am to Jon Ham
quote:
According to the betting odds, Okla St is the most likely to lose. If Okla St loses to Baylor, final four is likely:
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Cinci
4. Notre Dame
If this scenario happens I wouldn't be surprised if they keep Alabama at 3 if they lose a close game to UGA. Notre Dame has only beat like 3 teams with a winning record this year, one of those being Toledo. Their resume is super weak
This post was edited on 12/1/21 at 9:36 am
Posted on 12/1/21 at 9:40 am to Jon Ham
quote:
1. UGA
2. Cinci
3. Okla St
4. Notre Dame
Georgia would have 1:10 odds of winning it all with this bracket.
Posted on 12/1/21 at 10:25 am to VolInBavaria
quote:
I wouldn't be surprised if they keep Alabama at 3 if they lose a close game to UGA. Notre Dame has only beat like 3 teams with a winning record this year, one of those being Toledo.
Possible, but I don't see that happening. Notre Dame’s only loss was to Cinci. Bama has a loss to 8-4 A&M. Notre Dame’s strength of schedule is #16, which is respectable ( SOS rankings).
This post was edited on 12/1/21 at 10:26 am
Posted on 12/1/21 at 10:26 am to TomSpanks
quote:
Someone on the CFP committee said they will absolutely take into account Kelly being gone from ND when deciding where they end up at the end. To me, that says they have zero shot at getting in.
Really? That’s not right.
Posted on 12/1/21 at 10:29 am to TomSpanks
quote:he ain’t even a player…
Someone on the CFP committee said they will absolutely take into account Kelly being gone from ND when deciding where they end up at the end. To me, that says they have zero shot at getting in.
Posted on 12/1/21 at 10:45 am to Jon Ham
Baylor should get in over nd with a power 5 conference championship win
Posted on 12/1/21 at 11:00 am to texastiger15
quote:
Baylor should get in over nd with a power 5 conference championship win
Baylor has 2 losses, and one was to 4-5 TCU. ND’s only loss was to Cinci, and ND has a stronger strength of schedule.
Posted on 12/4/21 at 1:09 pm to Jon Ham
oSu on upset alert…
quote:
According to the betting odds, Okla St is the most likely to lose. If Okla St loses to Baylor, final four is likely:
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Cinci
4. Notre Dame
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