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Does a 3 loss Ohio State make the playoffs? Because their schedule is brutal.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 9/28/26 at 1:55 pm
They already played #1 Texas in Austin and lost by 1 point.
The next 5 games include @Iowa. @Indiana. @USC, vs. Oregon in Columbus.
Then they also have their rivalry game with Michigan.
If they survive all of that with 1 loss (Plus Texas) they would still have to play in the Big Ten Title Game.
They are almost guaranteed to lose 1 more, and probably 2 more.
So does 3 losses get them in?
Probably considering the CFP success of the Big Ten over the last 3 years.
The next 5 games include @Iowa. @Indiana. @USC, vs. Oregon in Columbus.
Then they also have their rivalry game with Michigan.
If they survive all of that with 1 loss (Plus Texas) they would still have to play in the Big Ten Title Game.
They are almost guaranteed to lose 1 more, and probably 2 more.
So does 3 losses get them in?
Probably considering the CFP success of the Big Ten over the last 3 years.
This post was edited on 9/28/26 at 3:19 pm
Posted on 9/28/26 at 1:57 pm to dukke v
quote:
Nope. Next question.
Alabama got in last year with 3 losses (including a 14 point loss to 5-7 FSU).
This Oho State team is far more talented than Alabama last year.
Of course Alabama getting blown out by Indiana probably won't help the argument for a 3 loss team getting in this year.
This post was edited on 9/28/26 at 2:58 pm
Posted on 9/28/26 at 1:58 pm to Dawg Collar
If the pick up a 3rd loss in the big ten title game they will still be in. If the lose 3 in the regular season, they’d almost certainly have to win the big ten title to get in.
They’re going to be favored in every game left on their schedule. They aren’t “probably” going to lose 2 more.
quote:
They are almost guaranteed to lose 1 more, and probably 2 more.
They’re going to be favored in every game left on their schedule. They aren’t “probably” going to lose 2 more.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:00 pm to Dawg Collar
I doubt they lose another game. That schedule isn't that daunting
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:03 pm to Mingo Was His NameO
quote:
If the pick up a 3rd loss in the big ten title game they will still be in. If the lose 3 in the regular season, they’d almost certainly have to win the big ten title to get in.
If they lose 2 regular season Big Ten games they probably won't be playing in the Big Ten Title Game.
I think UGA, Texas, Ohio State are clearly the best 3 teams in the country.
Would be stupid to punish Ohio State for scheduling Texas and losing by 1 in Austin.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:05 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
Would be stupid to punish Ohio State for scheduling Texas and losing by 1 in Austin
They’d be punished for losing 2 out of 5 games they’ll be favored by a touchdown or more in.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:06 pm to RLDSC FAN
quote:
I doubt they lose another game. That schedule isn't that daunting
@Texas
@Iowa
@Indiana
@USC
Oregon at home
Michigan at home
Big Ten Title Game
That isn't daunting?
I don't think that word means what you think it means
This post was edited on 9/28/26 at 2:08 pm
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:10 pm to Dawg Collar
I think the only correct answer is that you have to be open to the possibility at this point, and you can examine it more seriously if it happens. I know that’s not a satisfying answer, or much of one at all, but the point of the playoff taking “top 12 teams” is that the line is necessarily relative to what other people have done. So it’s impossible to answer coherently right now if 9-3 vs that schedule “should” get in.
To your point,
• that is a brutal schedule
• the Committee needs to be more open to the idea of taking X-3 or even X-4 teams from the SEC and Big Ten because their schedules are much tougher than everyone else’s
To your point,
• that is a brutal schedule
• the Committee needs to be more open to the idea of taking X-3 or even X-4 teams from the SEC and Big Ten because their schedules are much tougher than everyone else’s
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:11 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
Would be stupid to punish Ohio State for scheduling Texas and losing by 1 in Austin.
Don’t we want teams to win games when they lose by 1?
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:13 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
I doubt they lose another game. That schedule isn't that daunting
@Texas
@Iowa
@Indiana
@USC
Oregon at home
Michigan at home
Big Ten Title Game
That isn't daunting?
Well Texas already happened so not sure why you included that when you were quoting someone who said they doubt they lose another game. And no, Iowa, USC, Oregon, and Michigan is not that daunting at all. We'll see about Indiana, and the title game will depend on the opponent. It's definitely not some crazy difficult schedule though. But granted its at least harder than Indiana's.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:13 pm to Dawg Collar
I don't understand the "will they get in" questions this early in the season. No one knows what the records will be when the season is over.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:14 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
Because their schedule is brutal
That's what Ohio St. fans tell you. This is the first time in awhile that Rutgers or Purdue didn't show up on their schedule so they panicked. They won't lose again until the playoffs.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:15 pm to Dawg Collar
USC is arse
Oregon in Columbus they'll be favored by 8.5
They're favored by two TDs @ Iowa who still can't do anything offensively
@ Indiana will be a tough game
To answer the question though, probably not. Someone brought up Alabama getting in with 3 losses, but Alabama also had a win @ Georgia. Ohio State's opportunity for a win equal to that was squandered away.
There's also the big 12 issue this year. Forget about BYU. Utah and Texas Tech will meet as two undefeated top 10 football teams in the big 12 title, so they are getting in two.
The SEC is getting in 4 or potentially even 5. Vanderbilt was left out with 2 losses. A two loss Texas, LSU, Ole Miss, Florida, Alabama, Georgia is not getting left out.
So if you're doing the math you got
SEC champ
SEC runner up
Big 10 champ
Big 10 runner up
Big 12 champ
Big 12 runner up
Notre Dame
ACC champ- we will say Miami, but in the event of an upset in Charlotte that's another stolen bid
G5
So that's 9 spots that you can pencil in. If the SEC cannibalizes itself and you've got 4 "big name" 2 loss teams that aren't in the conference title, I don't know how OSU gets in over one of them.
I say all that to say it's a futile exercise. Ohio State probably isn't losing again until January and certainly not twice
Oregon in Columbus they'll be favored by 8.5
They're favored by two TDs @ Iowa who still can't do anything offensively
@ Indiana will be a tough game
To answer the question though, probably not. Someone brought up Alabama getting in with 3 losses, but Alabama also had a win @ Georgia. Ohio State's opportunity for a win equal to that was squandered away.
There's also the big 12 issue this year. Forget about BYU. Utah and Texas Tech will meet as two undefeated top 10 football teams in the big 12 title, so they are getting in two.
The SEC is getting in 4 or potentially even 5. Vanderbilt was left out with 2 losses. A two loss Texas, LSU, Ole Miss, Florida, Alabama, Georgia is not getting left out.
So if you're doing the math you got
SEC champ
SEC runner up
Big 10 champ
Big 10 runner up
Big 12 champ
Big 12 runner up
Notre Dame
ACC champ- we will say Miami, but in the event of an upset in Charlotte that's another stolen bid
G5
So that's 9 spots that you can pencil in. If the SEC cannibalizes itself and you've got 4 "big name" 2 loss teams that aren't in the conference title, I don't know how OSU gets in over one of them.
I say all that to say it's a futile exercise. Ohio State probably isn't losing again until January and certainly not twice
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:15 pm to OKBoomerSooner
quote:
To your point,
• that is a brutal schedule
• the Committee needs to be more open to the idea of taking X-3 or even X-4 teams from the SEC and Big Ten because their schedules are much tougher than everyone else’s
100%.
Otherwise you can kiss regular season games like Ohio State vs Texas goodbye.
If a 1 point loss on the road vs #1 Texas keeps you out of the CFP then why schedule those games going forward?
Just schedule a nobody in Week 2 like everyone else.
This post was edited on 9/28/26 at 2:18 pm
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:15 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
@Iowa @Indiana @USC Oregon at home Michigan at home
Mich, usc and Oregon all
Suck this year
Iowa is above average and Indiana is good but not quite what they were last year.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:16 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
schedule is brutal.
quote:
The next 5 games include @Iowa. @Indiana. @USC, vs. Oregon in Columbus.

Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:18 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
If a 1 point loss on the road vs #1 Texas keeps you out of the CFP then why schedule those games going forward?
If you are a blue blood, you really shouldn’t. But you can’t ask this question in a vacuum either way.
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:20 pm to Dawg Collar
I bet they win every game you listed
Posted on 9/28/26 at 2:22 pm to Dawg Collar
quote:
Otherwise you can kiss regular season games like Ohio State vs Texas goodbye
Have you not noticed all cancelations or talk of canceling future big time ooc opponents this year ? Or the fact that Indiana plays absolutely no one out of conference until 2030 ?

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