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DAT 4/27: Mariners (Gonzales) @ Astros (Javier) 7:10 CT

Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:03 am
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60176 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:03 am
Start Castro vs lefty? Use Raley in a high leverage spot?

Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101920 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:05 am to
I think we're going to see Straw at leadoff while Altuve gets a much needed breather after going 3/5 last night.
Posted by Horsemeat
Truckin' somewhere in the US
Member since Dec 2014
13541 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:05 am to
At least the boys are back to .500, right?
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
94553 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:13 am to
quote:

At least the boys are back to .500, right?




2 more wins in this streak and Duster can climb to .500 in his Astros career.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101920 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:13 am to
Some fun facts for this morning while we wait for a night game.


The Astros are tied (with the White Sox) for best run differential in the AL at +21.

The Astros have an 11-6 record against teams with winning records.

The Astros are 0-5 against teams with losing records.

The Astros have an expected record (X-W/L) of 13-9, trailing only the White Sox in the AL by .5 games.

The Rangers still suck.

Tonight is dollar dog night.
Posted by Leonard
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2014
4254 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:13 am to
Choo choo motherfrickers

Posted by texastiger38
Member since Sep 2007
25174 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:25 am to
Winning is fun
Posted by Pnels08
Member since Jul 2014
9179 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 8:53 am to
quote:

The Astros are 0-5 against teams with losing records.



I'm going to be sick
Posted by A Menace to Sobriety
Member since Jun 2018
29118 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 9:10 am to
quote:

The Astros have an 11-6 record against teams with winning records.

The Astros are 0-5 against teams with losing records.


This still disgusts me. Take care of your business against the shitty teams, then we'd probably be the best team in baseball.

frick it, just beat the Mariners. Bring them down to earth and don't give them hope.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101920 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 9:13 am to
quote:

This still disgusts me. Take care of your business against the shitty teams, then we'd probably be the best team in baseball.


Just go 3-2 against those two last place teams and you're at 14-9 and only one game behind the impossibly hot A's.

But no....
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101920 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 9:53 am to
AL West standings going into Sunday's game against the Angels:








We've created an ASSHAT.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
93724 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:01 am to
How’s Tucker doing?

Still pulling the ball straight into the shift?

Great. Good.



Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101920 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Still pulling the ball straight into the shift?


Pulling the ball?

No, he's just striking out or popping up.

That said... Kyle Tucker as a "buy low" candidate in Fantasy leagues.

quote:

Kyle Tucker (OF - HOU)
Remember how I mentioned that Albies had the 3rd lowest BABIP in baseball so far? Well, Kyle Tucker has THE LOWEST BABIP in baseball right now at a meager .145. That atrocius BABIP has caused Tucker to post a .175/.200/.400 slash line so far despite having a lot of pink and red in his savant percentile sliders



On top of that, Tucker has been even better in several departments this season when compared to his breakout in 2020. Tucker's .283 xBA, .550 xSLG, and .357 xwOBA are all career-best marks at the moment and he's cut his strikeout rate for a 2nd straight season.



With all that said, there are two areas that I'll admit that I'm slightly concerned about. Tucker has never been a big walk rate guy, but he's walking at a career-worst 2.4% mark so far this season. This makes sense when you see his swing metrics all higher than last season, showing that Tucker is being more aggressive this season in general. Tucker's O-Swing rate has risen from 31.3% to 36.7%, his Z-Swing from 78.2% to 81.1%, and his swing rate from 50.5% to 56.3%.

This isn't too concerning in general, but Tucker will need to find that balance between patience and aggressiveness. A 2.4% walk rate simply will not get it done. But at the same time, his contact metrics have all remained consistent with 2020 marks or even slightly improved, which is an encouraging sign.

The other area I'm slightly concerned about is Tucker's 37th percentile spring speed and one stolen base attempt on the season. One of the reasons why Tucker has been as highly regarded as he has been was his ability to add 20+ steals annually. The sprint speed with Tucker has never been elite, but he was 72nd percentile in 2019 and 70th percentile last season. It remains to be seen if he turns things around in that department, but at the plate, I'm expecting Tucker to heat up in the near future. And when he does, good luck getting him for a discount via trade.
Posted by Leonard
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2014
4254 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:13 am to
quote:

37th percentile sprint speed


Does this factor in the 2 seconds it takes to slam his bat before jogging to 1st on his pop-outs? Or is that excluded?
Posted by tigers32
Member since Mar 2012
5630 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:14 am to
quote:

The Astros are 0-5 against teams with losing records.

That Detroit series
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76678 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:14 am to
The last part about speed with such a small sample size is quite dumb to even mention but otherwise good accurate info. His defense and base running metrics are good. He's hitting the ball hard. He went oppo for a sac fly and drew a walk last night.

quote:

at the plate, I'm expecting Tucker to heat up in the near future.


Smart people understand this.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101920 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:17 am to
quote:

Does this factor in the 2 seconds it takes to slam his bat before jogging to 1st on his pop-outs? Or is that excluded?


Good question... but the last thing I'm worried about is Tucker's speed.
Posted by Leonard
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2014
4254 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:37 am to
True, I'm always interested in how they sift through all these dudes running

Tucker's chase rate is pretty jarring tho
Posted by LaLadyinTx
Cypress, TX
Member since Nov 2018
6027 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Winning is fun


Let's keep doing it!
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70039 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:44 am to
Did you go to cidercade yet? If I wind up going tonight I might check it out.
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