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re: Coaches Poll history - blantant homerism, conference nepotism and odd voting

Posted on 8/16/12 at 2:58 pm to
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
25273 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 2:58 pm to
I know this isn't coaches, but all the votes are awful. I think Herby had OSU behind Arkansas in his final poll...after the Sugar Bowl

Edit: Nope he just dropped OSU 3 spots from 6 to 9 after that win
This post was edited on 8/16/12 at 3:01 pm
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
40491 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:00 pm to
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26700 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Nick Saban - Voted Okie State 5th


False.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
54829 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

False


who doesn't? Notre Dame? yeah they're gonna matter

enough teams do that FCS games should be treated as exhibitions and not count
Posted by stapuffmarshy
lower 9
Member since Apr 2010
17507 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

I know this isn't coaches, but all the votes are awful. I think Herby had OSU behind Arkansas in his final poll...after the Sugar Bowl

Edit: Nope he just dropped OSU 3 spots from 6 to 9 after that win



shows the media is zero percent better


in some cases worse
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
40491 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:03 pm to
I also like how you left out the pansy 12 coaches, Im sure none of them ever voted a pansy 12 school where it shouldn't be correct?


Posted by Zamoro10
Member since Jul 2008
14743 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

The problem with the poll is not the inherent bias, it's that we have a system that values such a poll.


Truth. Exactly my point in listing the absurdities.

I don't envision the new committee will be something everyone likes but at the very least it should be full of people who actually watch the games and don't have a vested interest. Who knows?
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
40491 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:04 pm to
Also, the SEC is the dominant conference just:































DWI
Posted by Tiger Live2
Westwego, LA
Member since Mar 2012
9902 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:07 pm to
quote:


I don't envision the new committee will be something everyone likes but at the very least it should be full of people who actually watch the games and don't have a vested interest. Who knows?

Why does anyone think a committee will be better. Your still dealing with people, which means bias. Everyone has it whether they want to admit it or not. The BCS formula would be better than a committee IMO. I still say they need to re-add the SOS element to the BCS. Then top 4 make it.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

I don't envision the new committee will be something everyone likes but at the very least it should be full of people who actually watch the games and don't have a vested interest. Who knows?


Well, if you look at the history of NCAA selection committees in other sports, they do a pretty good job. If the football committee behaves like the hoops or lacrosse committee, it will take the job seriously, though it will pathologically hate mid-majors.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
54829 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

though it will pathologically hate mid-majors.
whatever's best for the sport
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26700 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

Why does anyone think a committee will be better. Your still dealing with people, which means bias. Everyone has it whether they want to admit it or not. The BCS formula would be better than a committee IMO.


Exactly. At least with a bigger sample size (coaches poll + media / Harris poll + computers) you actually take out some of the bias (or to be more accurate cancel out bias with bias because of the hundreds of inputs).

With a small selection committee who have their own bias, you will actually amplify the bias problem due to the small amount of data inputs.

I hate it.
Posted by Zamoro10
Member since Jul 2008
14743 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

If the football committee behaves like the hoops or lacrosse committee, it will take the job seriously, though it will pathologically hate mid-majors.


Right...a group, in a professional setting using and arguing results means people are less likely to vote in an absurd homerism way like you can get away with in secret.

There will always be some form of bias...but there's a big difference between bias and vested interest when coaches are voting their team high in the poll and all their opponents high as well.
Posted by Tiger Live2
Westwego, LA
Member since Mar 2012
9902 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:12 pm to
quote:


Well, if you look at the history of NCAA selection committees in other sports, they do a pretty good job. If the football committee behaves like the hoops or lacrosse committee, it will take the job seriously, though it will pathologically hate mid-majors.

In all fairness. I think it is a little easier in baseball and basketball. Of course every year there are teams that are upset at being left out, but for the most it doesn't matter, because everyone knows those team have basically no shot of winning it all. When only 4 teams get in. You can easily make a case where several more teams could win it all.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:20 pm to
True, but look at the tourney seeding in the last 25 years. A 1 or 2 seed (top 8 team) has won something like 20 of the last 25 tournaments, and 24 of 25 have been won by a top 3 seed (arguably only top 10 teams, not bad for sorting through 330 teams or so). The one outlier was a 4-seed, Arizona in 1997.

The tournament committee has properly nailed seeding.
Posted by ToesOnTheNose213
The present
Member since Oct 2007
2028 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

With a small selection committee who have their own bias, you will actually amplify the bias problem due to the small amount of data inputs.



This would be true if selection committee was just a smaller group of current coaches voting, which it is not.

Posted by Tiger Live2
Westwego, LA
Member since Mar 2012
9902 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:28 pm to
They do a pretty good job on seeding for the top teams. You get below the 3 seed and its more iffy. And in baseball remember just a few years ago Fresno St. won it all as a regional 4 seed.
But yea, for the most part you know who the 8-12 best teams are.
Also as a ?? what seed was UCONN when they won just a couple years ago. Were they a top 3? I know they were something like 8 or 9 seed in the Big East tourny
Posted by Tiger Live2
Westwego, LA
Member since Mar 2012
9902 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:29 pm to
quote:


This would be true if selection committee was just a smaller group of current coaches voting, which it is not.

So you lose bias when you stop coaching? When you deal with people, you deal with bias. It's as unavoidable as breathing
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26700 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

This would be true if selection committee was just a smaller group of current coaches voting, which it is not.


What I am saying is with the current system you have coaches (biased), media and others (Harris) biased, and computers (a different kind of bias in creating the programs, but the outcomes are not really biased in the true sense of the word). All of these hundreds of conflicting biased inputs will actually reduce the overall bias of the outcome.

With the selection committee, they will still have people with bias (if they are connected enough to college football to make it on the committee they absolutely will have bias) just fewer of them. I don't see how this is a better. It sounds worse. They may individually have less bias than some coaches with obvious vested interests, but I do not think they will have less cumulative bias than the several hundreds of combined "votes" from coaches, media / others, and computers.

This post was edited on 8/16/12 at 3:34 pm
Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
74021 posts
Posted on 8/16/12 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Nick Saban - Voted Okie State 5th False.
voted them 4th
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