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Started By
Message
re: CFB Betting: Week 6
Posted on 10/3/23 at 8:29 pm to Oilfieldbiology
Posted on 10/3/23 at 8:29 pm to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
I know this is going to shock all of you, but my parlay did not hit last week. Again.
In the immortal words of Marshawn Lynch
I know I’m gonna get got, but imma get mine more than I got got, though
0
Posted on 10/3/23 at 8:43 pm to Winston Cup
quote:No, this puts Texas rated a few points higher than A&M. Bama -7 at home against Texas would make it around 3 or 4 on a neutral depending on how you rate their hfa, and would make it somewhere close to a pick at Texas when you apply hfa the other way.
bama was -7 at home vs UT
bama is -2.5 on the road
if BD is less than 4.5 points of value,, aggie would be favoured over longhorn on neutral field
Bama would be around -10 against A$M at BD based on those two numbers.
This post was edited on 10/3/23 at 8:45 pm
Posted on 10/4/23 at 6:57 am to btown96
quote:
You don't think Washington State +3.5 is a trap? An unranked team vs. a (13) ranked team and you're getting 3.5 points!!
I really don’t buy into the idea of traps. If I did, I wouldn’t be betting about half that list.
Posted on 10/4/23 at 8:03 am to inadaze
quote:
What's your strategy on the parlays?
Spray and pray
quote:
How many games?
Between 5-9
This week I have
Under 44.5 Nebraska Illinois
Over 63 LSU Missouri
Texas -6.5
Under 51.5 BC UCF
Under 59 WSU UCLA
Under 41 Purdue Iowa
+4741 odds
This post was edited on 10/4/23 at 8:05 am
Posted on 10/4/23 at 11:01 am to Oilfieldbiology
Week 6 locked
Jacksonville St +3
Future consideration
New Mexico St -6.5
Liberty -20.5
Louisiana Tech +6.5
Illinois -3.5
Maryland +20
Temple +14
Akron +6.5
Purdue +2.5
Texas A&M +2.5
Florida State -23.5
Miami (OH) -10
Tulsa +3.5
Colorado -4
Southern Miss -1.5
South Alabama -10.5
Miami (FL) -20.5
Fresno St -6.5
Boise St -9.5
Oregon St -9.5
ETA: Downvotes without comments. Nice. At least I post these and don’t claim Ws without proof.
Jacksonville St +3
Future consideration
New Mexico St -6.5
Liberty -20.5
Louisiana Tech +6.5
Illinois -3.5
Maryland +20
Temple +14
Akron +6.5
Purdue +2.5
Texas A&M +2.5
Florida State -23.5
Miami (OH) -10
Tulsa +3.5
Colorado -4
Southern Miss -1.5
South Alabama -10.5
Miami (FL) -20.5
Fresno St -6.5
Boise St -9.5
Oregon St -9.5
ETA: Downvotes without comments. Nice. At least I post these and don’t claim Ws without proof.
This post was edited on 10/4/23 at 4:27 pm
Posted on 10/4/23 at 7:55 pm to Blutarsky
Confirming:
New Mexico St -6.5
New Mexico St -6.5
Posted on 10/4/23 at 11:25 pm to Blutarsky
2-0 to start the week.
My stalker continues to downvote. I guess they don’t like winners.
Confirmed:
LA Tech +6
Liberty -21
My stalker continues to downvote. I guess they don’t like winners.
Confirmed:
LA Tech +6
Liberty -21
Posted on 10/5/23 at 7:20 am to Blutarsky
I really like Texas ML, and ND-6.5
Posted on 10/5/23 at 8:35 am to Gings5
I love the OU spread. I’m taking OU +6 all day. Plus Texas best offensive weapon and best corner probably won’t play
TCU -6 at iowa st
Tech -1 hosting Baylor
Bama money line
TCU -6 at iowa st
Tech -1 hosting Baylor
Bama money line
Posted on 10/5/23 at 9:33 am to dallastiger55
What’s the reason the Bama line keeps dropping? I’m seeing -1.5 now
Posted on 10/5/23 at 10:00 am to Allthatfades
Rumor is Milroe pulled a hammy yesterday
Posted on 10/5/23 at 10:02 am to dallastiger55
quote:
I’m taking OU +6 all day.
I'm shocked to see that you of all people would do that.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 10:06 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Rumor is Milroe pulled a hammy yesterday
No way.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 10:23 am to High C
Don’t shoot the messenger. A Vegas oddsmaker just said it on SiriusXM.
Those guys have everyone on the payroll as sources
Those guys have everyone on the payroll as sources
Posted on 10/5/23 at 10:58 am to High C
quote:
No way.
It has to be true because the line just dropped to a P from Alabama -2.5.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 11:02 am to dallastiger55
quote:
I love the OU spread. I’m taking OU +6 all day. Plus Texas best offensive weapon and best corner probably won’t play
I think Texas lights them up, big time.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 11:17 am to Oilfieldbiology
My free bet ML/Spread parlay:
quote:
LA Tech ML
Maryland +21
Temple +14.5
Akron ML
North Texas ML
Wake Forest +21.5
South Florida -3
Tulsa ML
$65/$40,117.71
This post was edited on 10/5/23 at 11:18 am
Posted on 10/5/23 at 12:41 pm to Blutarsky
quote:
Washington State’s offense outpaces the UCLA offense, but the UCLA defense is far superior. Looks like Vegas likes the better D at UCLA.
I keep seeing this as the line’s justification but just don’t buy it. Their D has benefitted from playing bad teams/O’s + one less game w/ an early bye to skew their ranking.
SD St & Coastal are both dead last in their conferences + they lost to an Utah team that doesn’t have a QB at the moment. (*Utah’s O ranks 128 in total offense right now, and yet they still got in the Red zone multiple times vs UCLA & missed FGs, etc…)… & their 4th game vs a FCS school pads the #s too.
On the flip side, Wash St has blown out 3 much better teams overall and mostly given up yards & points after the games were multi possession leads still late.
They will be lucky if half the stadium is full too for the Noon local kickoff, making “home field adv” a moot point.
This post was edited on 10/5/23 at 12:44 pm
Posted on 10/5/23 at 2:01 pm to BlueWaffleHouse
I have it as Washington St -1.5, so a 4 point swing from the oddsmakers.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 4:30 pm to Gings5
I saw J Pate picked a Louisville upset. I'd feel very confident going with Notre Dame if I knew they planned to up the pressure on Plummer.
I'm just unsure about that. ND doesn't have good sack numbers so far. They should see some reasons to increase pressure on the NC State film. I'm leaning toward the Irish, with a key game plan factor being Al Golden dialing up blitzes to affect the QB. Even if they don't result in sacks, just pressuring and affecting Plummer works really well.
I'm just unsure about that. ND doesn't have good sack numbers so far. They should see some reasons to increase pressure on the NC State film. I'm leaning toward the Irish, with a key game plan factor being Al Golden dialing up blitzes to affect the QB. Even if they don't result in sacks, just pressuring and affecting Plummer works really well.
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