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Message
re: CFB Betting: Week 6
Posted on 10/5/23 at 5:02 pm to inadaze
Posted on 10/5/23 at 5:02 pm to inadaze
quote:
What's your strategy on the parlays? How many games?
I know you didn’t ask me, but with CFB I usually do two or three 2-3 leg parlays with spreads I like. This year I’m also doing a low stakes ML parlay that has been anywhere from 8-14 legs this year. The one I got screwed out of two weeks ago hit 8/9 (Minnesota screw me and The Egg). Last week I hit 13/14 with TCU deciding to go scoreless in the second half. This week my ML is:
+7460 (50% FD boost)
$3 to win $227, all ML
Kansas State
NC State
Central Michigan
UTSA
Alabama
North Carolina
Navy
Colorado
Georgia
South Alabama
Notre Dame
Ole Miss
Oregon State
2
Posted on 10/5/23 at 5:54 pm to High C
Yeah, I used to have success betting 3-game parlays well over a decade ago. That was black market betting through a bookie I never actually knew.
The college game was different back then. I could usually spot some mismatches. I kept up with recruiting and I actually worked for ESPN at the time. I had a free Insider subscription, and I was working on the website, so I was just swimming in info every day.
I had never done a parlay more than three games before this year. It has me thinking about different ways to possibly play it.
The risk to reward ratio is obviously appealing, but the odds are stacked against it mathematically.
It might be a better strategy in the long run to do individual bets if you're hitting more than missing, but never hitting the full parlay. Of course you could always put in a low-risk parlay on top of the singles. It seems like it might be worth playing with some permutations if you're doing more than a few games. Because the odds of hitting start getting really high as you add more games.
The college game was different back then. I could usually spot some mismatches. I kept up with recruiting and I actually worked for ESPN at the time. I had a free Insider subscription, and I was working on the website, so I was just swimming in info every day.
I had never done a parlay more than three games before this year. It has me thinking about different ways to possibly play it.
The risk to reward ratio is obviously appealing, but the odds are stacked against it mathematically.
It might be a better strategy in the long run to do individual bets if you're hitting more than missing, but never hitting the full parlay. Of course you could always put in a low-risk parlay on top of the singles. It seems like it might be worth playing with some permutations if you're doing more than a few games. Because the odds of hitting start getting really high as you add more games.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 6:06 pm to inadaze
quote:
The risk to reward ratio is obviously appealing, but the odds are stacked against it mathematically.
Yeah, I fully understand that. Thus the $3 bet. It’s really fun to follow if it doesn’t get killed early. Plus, my sports betting is strictly for entertainment. I never lay anything that will affect me at all financially if it doesn’t hit.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 6:09 pm to Blutarsky
Fast start for the Liberty Flames! I like this offense.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 7:23 pm to inadaze
quote:
Fast start for the Liberty Flames! I like this offense.
that bad int for their qb, cost me -13 at the half bet
luckily, had $28 on their qb scoring 1st td +700 to get that money back
loaded up on latech/wky over 13 1/2 for 1st q, hit in first 4 minutes.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 7:26 pm to SeeeeK
just took wky - 3 1/2 on live line
and have a bet on wky over 33 1/2 points
added liberty - 18 1/2 on live bet(halftime)
and have a bet on wky over 33 1/2 points
added liberty - 18 1/2 on live bet(halftime)
This post was edited on 10/5/23 at 7:32 pm
Posted on 10/5/23 at 8:55 pm to inadaze
quote:frick Liberty. Cruising in the first half, put up zero points in the second half.
Fast start for the Liberty Flames! I like this offense.
Posted on 10/5/23 at 9:53 pm to red sox fan 13
quote:
frick Liberty. Cruising in the first half, put up zero points in the second half.
nothing, not even a fricking fg
Posted on 10/5/23 at 9:55 pm to SeeeeK
LOL
WKY is going to central florida me. up 35-7, dominating la tech, now, tech getting ball back to go down make it 7, and win outright.
going to bed, this shite is silly, especially liberty
WKY is going to central florida me. up 35-7, dominating la tech, now, tech getting ball back to go down make it 7, and win outright.
going to bed, this shite is silly, especially liberty
Posted on 10/5/23 at 9:59 pm to SeeeeK
Lock of the week has to be UCLA - 3.5
Posted on 10/5/23 at 10:52 pm to red sox fan 13
Made some back with Tech -13.5
Posted on 10/5/23 at 10:56 pm to red sox fan 13
I thought they should've kept running those option plays, and worked the ground game more. But they're 5-0 in their first season in an FBS conference. All things considered, they're doing well as a program.
If you bet on that spread, that's one of those high-odds, big-spread traps. But yeah, if they'd have just duplicated the first half it would've been a 22-point win.
If you bet on that spread, that's one of those high-odds, big-spread traps. But yeah, if they'd have just duplicated the first half it would've been a 22-point win.
Posted on 10/6/23 at 5:39 am to inadaze
Balls Deep on LSU
Posted on 10/6/23 at 9:15 am to Will Cover
quote:
Lock of the week has to be UCLA - 3.5
Whoa, I feel just as strongly about Wazzu +3.5.
Posted on 10/6/23 at 10:37 am to High C
dumb thursday night.
took the 17.5+ points for Liberty in the 1st half, parlayed with 33.5+ points for the game....
score 0 in 2nd half? Lol that makes no sense.
Onto the next....
The play of the night seems to build around Will Howard 1.5 TDs passing.....
What can we parlay with that??
took the 17.5+ points for Liberty in the 1st half, parlayed with 33.5+ points for the game....
score 0 in 2nd half? Lol that makes no sense.
Onto the next....
The play of the night seems to build around Will Howard 1.5 TDs passing.....
What can we parlay with that??
Posted on 10/6/23 at 10:56 am to High C
Georgia Tech screwed me out of a 16 leg ML parlay losing to Bowling Green last week. All other 15 hit. I usually don`t do that well on college, so i was really hoping for that payout.
Posted on 10/6/23 at 12:16 pm to LSU999
I missed a 12 legger last week due to UGA not covering -13.5 
Posted on 10/6/23 at 1:29 pm to High C
quote:
Lock of the week has to be UCLA - 3.5
This falls into an old betting angle, an unranked home team favored over a ranked team take the unranked team.
Posted on 10/6/23 at 2:52 pm to gringeaux
Ivy League battle of the reds tonight on ESPN2 -- Harvard vs. Cornell. Spread has been decreasing throughout the day.
Posted on 10/6/23 at 5:24 pm to inadaze
didn't like the games tonight. alsmot played okie light+ the points.
took cornell + 12 1/2
Okie stt qb, over 223 1/2 yards passing
took cornell + 12 1/2
Okie stt qb, over 223 1/2 yards passing
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