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Started By
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2
Posted on 10/2/18 at 2:16 pm to AlterDWI
Kentucky +5.5 seems too good to be true....
Give me Texas A&M -5.5 then
Give me Texas A&M -5.5 then
Posted on 10/2/18 at 3:35 pm to TexasSinger
Colorado will beat ASU this weekend comfortably
Posted on 10/2/18 at 5:40 pm to AlterDWI
quote:
Auburn/Miss St under 44.5
No explanation needed
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Posted on 10/2/18 at 6:29 pm to AlterDWI
quote:
Auburn/Miss St under 44.5
No explanation needed
Posted on 10/2/18 at 6:31 pm to josh336
Everything i own on LSU ML.
Posted on 10/2/18 at 6:33 pm to 3morereps
Wow a bet that big will move the line
...haha
...haha
Posted on 10/2/18 at 9:16 pm to 3morereps
Concerning the LSU/Florida game, I know there are many factors that play into who wins and who loses, but the below is some interesting information on Florida that stuck out to me:
They have 10 recovered fumbles on the season (that's 2 per game). 8 of those were against FBS schools (2 were against Charleston Southern).
- Against Colorado state, whom they blew out, Florida had 3 fumble recoveries. Won by 38.
- Against Tennessee, whom they blew out, had 4 fumble recoveries. Won by 26.
- Against Miss State, only won by a score, had ZERO fumble recoveries. Won by only 7
- Against Kentucky, who beat them, only had ONE fumble recovery. Lost by 11
When Florida isn't getting 3 & 4 extra offensive drives, they are fighting to stay in games.
Conversely LSU has only lost 3 fumbles all season. Two of which came last week and they still blew out an SEC opponent by 29. I realize it's only Ole Miss, but the point still remains.
Florida is seemingly heavily dependent on turnovers to win, or stay in games. They lead the nation with 14 total (10 fumble recoveries and 4 INT's).
LSU has turned the ball over only 3 times (3 fumbles, no INT's). Say what you want about the LSU QB position, one thing it hasn't been is turnover prone.
I think LSU covers in Gainsville and does so by not turning the ball over thus limiting the Gators' number of offensive drives (aka chances to score points)
They have 10 recovered fumbles on the season (that's 2 per game). 8 of those were against FBS schools (2 were against Charleston Southern).
- Against Colorado state, whom they blew out, Florida had 3 fumble recoveries. Won by 38.
- Against Tennessee, whom they blew out, had 4 fumble recoveries. Won by 26.
- Against Miss State, only won by a score, had ZERO fumble recoveries. Won by only 7
- Against Kentucky, who beat them, only had ONE fumble recovery. Lost by 11
When Florida isn't getting 3 & 4 extra offensive drives, they are fighting to stay in games.
Conversely LSU has only lost 3 fumbles all season. Two of which came last week and they still blew out an SEC opponent by 29. I realize it's only Ole Miss, but the point still remains.
Florida is seemingly heavily dependent on turnovers to win, or stay in games. They lead the nation with 14 total (10 fumble recoveries and 4 INT's).
LSU has turned the ball over only 3 times (3 fumbles, no INT's). Say what you want about the LSU QB position, one thing it hasn't been is turnover prone.
I think LSU covers in Gainsville and does so by not turning the ball over thus limiting the Gators' number of offensive drives (aka chances to score points)
Posted on 10/3/18 at 4:08 am to josh336
UAB +9.5 against LA Tech
I think LA Tech is due for a let down game after playing well at LSU and that come from behind win against North Texas. 9.5 is way too high IMO
I think LA Tech is due for a let down game after playing well at LSU and that come from behind win against North Texas. 9.5 is way too high IMO
This post was edited on 10/3/18 at 4:11 am
Posted on 10/3/18 at 4:17 am to dcrews
Add the fact that I like this LSU defense vs Franks. He’s just not a very good QB
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:22 am to Prominentwon
Franks & Burrow pretty much have the same comp% & pass yards. Franks has double the TDs.
Posted on 10/3/18 at 7:09 am to Azazello
I jumped inn LSU -2.5 thinking it would move to -3 as the weekend got closed. It’s dont the opposite. I don’t know but I’m still in2 units on LSU -2.5 and still feel good about it.
Posted on 10/3/18 at 7:09 am to AlterDWI
quote:
Auburn/Miss St under 44.5
As a rule I don't bet on Auburn games but I like this. Don't see how they get over that number.
Posted on 10/3/18 at 9:16 am to josh336
Added fau -14
This post was edited on 10/3/18 at 9:17 am
Posted on 10/3/18 at 11:49 am to dcrews
quote:
Florida is seemingly heavily dependent on turnovers to win, or stay in games.
Or maybe we just haven't played anyone decent except UK and would have won those games regardless.
I guess we could stop trying to force turnovers and maybe get some more respect.
Posted on 10/3/18 at 12:03 pm to Muthsera
bet the house on Miss St and the Under.
thank me later
thank me later
Posted on 10/3/18 at 5:41 pm to Muthsera
quote:
would have won those games regardless.
Maybe so. But 6 turnovers (4 fumbles, 2 INT) in the Tennessee game gives you 6 extra chances to score and takes 6 chances to score away from Tennessee.
That's a big swing if even only 1 of those turnovers mattered. LSU is exponentially better than Tennessee and will not give Florida extra chances to score.
The two games the Florida offense wasn't given any extra chances to score, they either lost or nearly lost.
Florida is also ranked 85th in the country in rushing defense, allowing 171 ypg on the ground.
Florida's pass defense is stout, ranking 2nd in the country @ 140 ypg. I feel Burrow should be able to overcome that with 2nd/3rd and short situations because of the lackluster run defense.
Not saying Florida is a bad team, but LSU isn't going to turn the ball over like their other opponents and I'm not confident Franks will be able to do enough with limited possessions against this LSU defense.
Posted on 10/3/18 at 5:57 pm to dcrews
okc thunder -1 1H
Posted on 10/3/18 at 5:59 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
okc thunder -1 1H
quote:
CFB bet thread
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:04 pm to dcrews
that might be a bad bet. okc without pg13 and russ.
i posted too soon
i posted too soon
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