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AFC & NFC Playoff Scenario Chart for Week 18

Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:05 pm
Posted by GCTiger11
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Jan 2012
45150 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:05 pm
Credit to Twitter user @Ivan_Urena1 for this pretty neat visual chart for all scenarios for playoff seeding



First up, the NFC. About 32 different combinations.








And then the AFC. All 256 different combinations.












>
Posted by DMagic
#ChowderPosse
Member since Aug 2010
46449 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:09 pm to
quote:

Ivan_Urena1




This post was edited on 1/3/22 at 11:10 pm
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
13946 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:11 pm to
Posted by DawgHorns
Member since Dec 2017
277 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:23 pm to
AFC was wild this season.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
63026 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:33 pm to
Cincinnati just needs to beat Cleveland and have Buffalo beat The Jets and they are the 1 seed?



Eta
shite too many pages.
This post was edited on 1/3/22 at 11:35 pm
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112329 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

Cincinnati just needs to beat Cleveland and have Buffalo beat The Jets and they are the 1 seed?



They would need the Titans to lose to the Texans as well
This post was edited on 1/3/22 at 11:36 pm
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65497 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:56 pm to
Always one of the best threads of the season

Thank you
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65497 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 11:57 pm to
Just need to put it to two feet from the fairway on 9 baw

Tap in birdie
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
13365 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 1:03 am to
What they need to do is create another chart that takes into account the probability of teams to beat one another (via spreads or any other predictive tool).
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12715 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 4:03 am to
For Cincy to get the 1 Seed, they have to beat Cleveland PLUS the following:

Kansas City loss
AND
Tennessee loss

AND Either

Buffalo win
OR
New England loss

The AFC is so wild that you have New England with an opportunity to be either the 1 Seed or the 7 Seed.
This post was edited on 1/4/22 at 4:06 am
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119180 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 7:28 am to
I really hope you didn't sit around and do this yourself.
Posted by WPBTiger
Parts Unknown
Member since Nov 2011
31049 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 8:38 am to
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16397 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 9:09 am to
I know he put the no tie clause in their already, but did read an article the other day that talked about how funny it would be if the league moving LV v LAC to Sunday backfired on the league. Essentially, if Indy loses to Jax, there may be no incentive for LV & LAC to run a play. The winner gets in as the 6 seed, and loser could be out. Edit: if they tie, both teams would get in So, could be just 60 minutes of kneeling the ball

Also, if Jax & Balt win, LV clinches anyway so they'll just sit players
This post was edited on 1/4/22 at 9:59 am
Posted by LSU6262
Member since Jun 2008
7492 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Essentially, if Indy loses to Jax, there may be no incentive for LV & LAC to run a play. The winner gets in as the 6 seed, and loser could be out.


I fail to see how there is no incentive?
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16397 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 9:58 am to
quote:

quote:

Essentially, if Indy loses to Jax, there may be no incentive for LV & LAC to run a play. The winner gets in as the 6 seed, and loser could be out.



I fail to see how there is no incentive?

Because I'm a dumbass that forgot to include the statement that if they tie, both would get in
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
9460 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 1:37 pm to
Do all the division winners like Dallas, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati all sit their QBs? I guess Cincinnati can still get the 1 seed although a long shot.
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12715 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Do all the division winners like Dallas, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati all sit their QBs?

Every one of them has a shot at improving their playoff position and locking up home field advantage through at least the divisional round. Why would any of them sit their QB?

Tampa and Dallas have a shot at the 2 seed, just like Cincy has a shot at the 1 Seed. If you are okay with going on the road at any point before the conference championship, then sure, sit them down. But I don't see how any of them view going on the road in the divisional round as easier than playing at home.

As far as the Vegas/LA game goes, I just can't see 2 divisional rivals rolling over and accepting a tie so that both teams get in the playoffs. But damn would that be funny if they did. How does the NFL respond in that scenario?
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
33568 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Because I'm a dumbass that forgot to include the statement that if they tie, both would get in
I was about to say theres still the incentive of playing the 3 vs playing the 2 but with as wild as the AFC is theres really not much difference.
This post was edited on 1/4/22 at 2:04 pm
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
9460 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 7:29 pm to
Didn’t think about the 2 seed having home field up until the conference championship game. That’s an incentive to play everyone. Would be nuts if Jacksonville defeats Indy. The NFL probably would fine both LAC and LV if they decided just to kneel the ball.
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12715 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

Would be nuts if Jacksonville defeats Indy

I don't know which outcome would be crazier this weekend, but a Denver win Saturday would make the entire weekend wild.

Denver, Houston, Jacksonville, and Miami are probably the most interesting teams this weekend, because they can really throw the entire playoff picture into chaos.
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