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XOM Stock

Posted on 1/14/26 at 9:46 am
Posted by Lee Chatelain
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Oct 2008
12385 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 9:46 am
When should I consider selling? I bought when it was @ $40 - it's up to almost $130. Predicted to hit $150 maybe by the end of 26'

Thoughts.
Posted by Texas Tea 123
Member since Sep 2017
294 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 9:55 am to
I mean if you're looking for $150, I'm not sure that extra 15% from $130 is worth the 200%+ you've already gained. Most of the time, selling a portion of the position when you have these internal questions is prudent.
Posted by JackDempsey
Lake Charles
Member since May 2023
704 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 11:46 am to
No crystal ball here, just a guess. If you are thinking about selling at a good time then right now is a good time. It is at an all time high. It would not surprise me if it was back to 120 before long. Based on the price you got into at you can't go wrong selling now.

I am in it for the long haul for several reasons. Capital gains would be a killer and because I like the quarterly dividend payments .
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
9048 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 11:56 am to
Congrats on the 3X gains. Before you sell, I would point out that your dividend yield is probably close to 10%. Think about that. That is a major yield on an investment that should never go back down to $40 again.

It is currently on an uptrend, with all the moving averages trending up as well while in a bull market.

I really don't see a reason to exit such a great position minus a financial emergency. Take the W.
Posted by broadhead
Member since Oct 2014
2500 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 4:56 pm to
XOM is one you don't sell and just keep long term. It will grow, then split, and rinse repeat.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40062 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 5:12 pm to
I inherited some shares of it a long time ago. It’s split twice and we’ve sold some but only to stay balanced.

My great uncle was an attorney for Esso which then became Exxon. He and his wife had no children and a shitload of Exxon stock. Think that it was part of their bonus program?? He died in 1976 and she in 1993.

I was blessed to inherit some and will always keep at least the same amount I inherited.
Posted by turkish
Member since Aug 2016
2300 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 5:34 pm to
Edit
This post was edited on 1/14/26 at 6:02 pm
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4565 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

XOM is one you don't sell and just keep long term. It will grow, then split, and rinse repeat.


I guess MT sentiment has changed. XOM being dead money threads were on repeat around these parts for the better part of a decade.
Posted by JackDempsey
Lake Charles
Member since May 2023
704 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 6:39 pm to
I guess if it can sustain this price level this year it might split. It has been about 25 years since it last split, I believe. . The CEO seems to be making the right moves lately. It is very surprising that oil is around $60 a barrel and XOM is at an all time high. A very good surprise I might add.
Posted by Everyday Is Saturday
Member since Dec 2025
159 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 8:15 pm to
What is this money to be used for and when?

Don’t buy chit just to buy chit is my life learning. Purpose and timeline places clarity on risk and plan.

Like time and place in a story, book or movie…critical to decision to buy, when to sell, tax consequences and focus on after tax returns. Otherwise, it is just random and hope.

Random and hope strategies are not way to go.
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6680 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 10:37 pm to
RSI is back close to 70. It almost always dumps at 70 RSI.

It did break up out of a 3 yr consolidation band though when oil is sub 60. Makes no sense so who knows
Posted by carguymatt
Member since Aug 1998
Member since Jun 2015
981 posts
Posted on 1/14/26 at 11:26 pm to
just looking at the chart i'd sell now and buy back in later if you like it. I sell stuff on sharp upticks tho but I keep watching them in my ticker. I don't worry about how high it may go after i sell b/c it will probably go back lower than i sold. Will you have to pay taxes on it? it really depends on your goals
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
20568 posts
Posted on 1/15/26 at 5:05 am to
Sell calls at the price you want to exit.

I’m in XOM.
I sold some calls, but they are 145s expiring tomorrow.
I’ll probably sell more calls next week at a higher strike.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58197 posts
Posted on 1/15/26 at 11:05 am to
You bought during the COVID dip too, eh?

I plan on keeping mine for a very long time.
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
28179 posts
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

XOM is one you don't sell and just keep long term. It will grow, then split, and rinse repeat.


That was the case over a decade ago but it’s been relatively flat and certainly underperformed the broader market. They do have some near term activity that should increase profits but I see it flattening by the end of the decade. With oil price being down and chemical margins being crap, I think there are some commodity pricing movements to the mean that could provide a boost over the next few years. But I wouldn’t hold for retirement.
Posted by turkish
Member since Aug 2016
2300 posts
Posted on 1/15/26 at 7:32 pm to
Is that the right way to look at divi yield? The shares are worth some amount of money today, and the yield on that $ is less than about 3%. You could cash out and make a higher yield on those dollars elsewhere. Sure, based on 2020 share price, the yield is a higher %, but that’s not the current value.
Posted by P0SEIDON
Member since Apr 2014
314 posts
Posted on 1/15/26 at 8:52 pm to
That’s how I would calculate it. XOM was a Covid play for me as well. I got in at about $44 a share or so Which had the dividend yield hovering close to 10%. Over the past five years, with DRIP turned on, that has brought my cost basis to about $49 a share.

Currently XOM pays $4.12/share. At a current valuation of $129, yield is 3.19%.

My cost basis at $49 puts the $4.12/share paid at a yield of 8.4%.

Current value means nothing to my cost basis except what my DRIP is buying on dividend payment date.

Where are you suggesting a higher dividend yield than 8.4%?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91413 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 12:27 am to
quote:

I guess MT sentiment has changed. XOM being dead money threads were on repeat around these parts for the better part of a decade.


Recency bias.

Total return from XOM has significantly underperformed the broader stock market over the last 10, 20, 30, and 40 years (I stopped looking), but whatever.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91413 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 12:33 am to
quote:

That’s how I would calculate it. XOM was a Covid play for me as well. I got in at about $44 a share or so Which had the dividend yield hovering close to 10%. Over the past five years, with DRIP turned on, that has brought my cost basis to about $49 a share. Currently XOM pays $4.12/share. At a current valuation of $129, yield is 3.19%. My cost basis at $49 puts the $4.12/share paid at a yield of 8.4%. Current value means nothing to my cost basis except what my DRIP is buying on dividend payment date. Where are you suggesting a higher dividend yield than 8.4%?


What kind of math is this?

Absent tax concerns, this is the wrong way to view it for any real apples to apples comparisons. Your cost basis is immaterial. You have $129 in market value yielding $4.12 per share. Thats all that matters. Hell, buy CVX if you want an even better run company with a higher current yield.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35573 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 5:55 am to
quote:

just looking at the chart i'd sell now and buy back in later if you like it
One of the TA guys I follow is actually big on XOM right now.

I haven’t bothered looking at oil since ~2015 but I’m thinking about getting some exposure.
This post was edited on 1/16/26 at 5:57 am
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