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Message
XOM Stock
Posted on 1/14/26 at 9:46 am
Posted on 1/14/26 at 9:46 am
When should I consider selling? I bought when it was @ $40 - it's up to almost $130. Predicted to hit $150 maybe by the end of 26'
Thoughts.
Thoughts.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 9:55 am to Lee Chatelain
I mean if you're looking for $150, I'm not sure that extra 15% from $130 is worth the 200%+ you've already gained. Most of the time, selling a portion of the position when you have these internal questions is prudent.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 11:46 am to Lee Chatelain
No crystal ball here, just a guess. If you are thinking about selling at a good time then right now is a good time. It is at an all time high. It would not surprise me if it was back to 120 before long. Based on the price you got into at you can't go wrong selling now.
I am in it for the long haul for several reasons. Capital gains would be a killer and because I like the quarterly dividend payments .
I am in it for the long haul for several reasons. Capital gains would be a killer and because I like the quarterly dividend payments .
Posted on 1/14/26 at 11:56 am to Lee Chatelain
Congrats on the 3X gains. Before you sell, I would point out that your dividend yield is probably close to 10%. Think about that. That is a major yield on an investment that should never go back down to $40 again.
It is currently on an uptrend, with all the moving averages trending up as well while in a bull market.
I really don't see a reason to exit such a great position minus a financial emergency. Take the W.
It is currently on an uptrend, with all the moving averages trending up as well while in a bull market.
I really don't see a reason to exit such a great position minus a financial emergency. Take the W.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 4:56 pm to Lee Chatelain
XOM is one you don't sell and just keep long term. It will grow, then split, and rinse repeat.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 5:12 pm to broadhead
I inherited some shares of it a long time ago. It’s split twice and we’ve sold some but only to stay balanced.
My great uncle was an attorney for Esso which then became Exxon. He and his wife had no children and a shitload of Exxon stock. Think that it was part of their bonus program?? He died in 1976 and she in 1993.
I was blessed to inherit some and will always keep at least the same amount I inherited.
My great uncle was an attorney for Esso which then became Exxon. He and his wife had no children and a shitload of Exxon stock. Think that it was part of their bonus program?? He died in 1976 and she in 1993.
I was blessed to inherit some and will always keep at least the same amount I inherited.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 5:34 pm to TDFreak
Edit
This post was edited on 1/14/26 at 6:02 pm
Posted on 1/14/26 at 5:59 pm to broadhead
quote:
XOM is one you don't sell and just keep long term. It will grow, then split, and rinse repeat.
I guess MT sentiment has changed. XOM being dead money threads were on repeat around these parts for the better part of a decade.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 6:39 pm to broadhead
I guess if it can sustain this price level this year it might split. It has been about 25 years since it last split, I believe. . The CEO seems to be making the right moves lately. It is very surprising that oil is around $60 a barrel and XOM is at an all time high. A very good surprise I might add.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 8:15 pm to Lee Chatelain
What is this money to be used for and when?
Don’t buy chit just to buy chit is my life learning. Purpose and timeline places clarity on risk and plan.
Like time and place in a story, book or movie…critical to decision to buy, when to sell, tax consequences and focus on after tax returns. Otherwise, it is just random and hope.
Random and hope strategies are not way to go.
Don’t buy chit just to buy chit is my life learning. Purpose and timeline places clarity on risk and plan.
Like time and place in a story, book or movie…critical to decision to buy, when to sell, tax consequences and focus on after tax returns. Otherwise, it is just random and hope.
Random and hope strategies are not way to go.
Posted on 1/14/26 at 10:37 pm to Everyday Is Saturday
RSI is back close to 70. It almost always dumps at 70 RSI.
It did break up out of a 3 yr consolidation band though when oil is sub 60. Makes no sense so who knows
It did break up out of a 3 yr consolidation band though when oil is sub 60. Makes no sense so who knows
Posted on 1/14/26 at 11:26 pm to Lee Chatelain
just looking at the chart i'd sell now and buy back in later if you like it. I sell stuff on sharp upticks tho but I keep watching them in my ticker. I don't worry about how high it may go after i sell b/c it will probably go back lower than i sold. Will you have to pay taxes on it? it really depends on your goals
Posted on 1/15/26 at 5:05 am to Lee Chatelain
Sell calls at the price you want to exit.
I’m in XOM.
I sold some calls, but they are 145s expiring tomorrow.
I’ll probably sell more calls next week at a higher strike.
I’m in XOM.
I sold some calls, but they are 145s expiring tomorrow.
I’ll probably sell more calls next week at a higher strike.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 11:05 am to Lee Chatelain
You bought during the COVID dip too, eh?
I plan on keeping mine for a very long time.
I plan on keeping mine for a very long time.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:03 pm to broadhead
quote:
XOM is one you don't sell and just keep long term. It will grow, then split, and rinse repeat.
That was the case over a decade ago but it’s been relatively flat and certainly underperformed the broader market. They do have some near term activity that should increase profits but I see it flattening by the end of the decade. With oil price being down and chemical margins being crap, I think there are some commodity pricing movements to the mean that could provide a boost over the next few years. But I wouldn’t hold for retirement.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 7:32 pm to TDFreak
Is that the right way to look at divi yield? The shares are worth some amount of money today, and the yield on that $ is less than about 3%. You could cash out and make a higher yield on those dollars elsewhere. Sure, based on 2020 share price, the yield is a higher %, but that’s not the current value.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 8:52 pm to turkish
That’s how I would calculate it. XOM was a Covid play for me as well. I got in at about $44 a share or so Which had the dividend yield hovering close to 10%. Over the past five years, with DRIP turned on, that has brought my cost basis to about $49 a share.
Currently XOM pays $4.12/share. At a current valuation of $129, yield is 3.19%.
My cost basis at $49 puts the $4.12/share paid at a yield of 8.4%.
Current value means nothing to my cost basis except what my DRIP is buying on dividend payment date.
Where are you suggesting a higher dividend yield than 8.4%?
Currently XOM pays $4.12/share. At a current valuation of $129, yield is 3.19%.
My cost basis at $49 puts the $4.12/share paid at a yield of 8.4%.
Current value means nothing to my cost basis except what my DRIP is buying on dividend payment date.
Where are you suggesting a higher dividend yield than 8.4%?
Posted on 1/16/26 at 12:27 am to lsuconnman
quote:
I guess MT sentiment has changed. XOM being dead money threads were on repeat around these parts for the better part of a decade.
Recency bias.
Total return from XOM has significantly underperformed the broader stock market over the last 10, 20, 30, and 40 years (I stopped looking), but whatever.
Posted on 1/16/26 at 12:33 am to P0SEIDON
quote:
That’s how I would calculate it. XOM was a Covid play for me as well. I got in at about $44 a share or so Which had the dividend yield hovering close to 10%. Over the past five years, with DRIP turned on, that has brought my cost basis to about $49 a share. Currently XOM pays $4.12/share. At a current valuation of $129, yield is 3.19%. My cost basis at $49 puts the $4.12/share paid at a yield of 8.4%. Current value means nothing to my cost basis except what my DRIP is buying on dividend payment date. Where are you suggesting a higher dividend yield than 8.4%?
What kind of math is this?
Absent tax concerns, this is the wrong way to view it for any real apples to apples comparisons. Your cost basis is immaterial. You have $129 in market value yielding $4.12 per share. Thats all that matters. Hell, buy CVX if you want an even better run company with a higher current yield.
Posted on 1/16/26 at 5:55 am to carguymatt
quote:One of the TA guys I follow is actually big on XOM right now.
just looking at the chart i'd sell now and buy back in later if you like it
I haven’t bothered looking at oil since ~2015 but I’m thinking about getting some exposure.
This post was edited on 1/16/26 at 5:57 am
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