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re: Will the markets be back in the green on Monday?
Posted on 3/4/20 at 8:12 am to Shepherd88
Posted on 3/4/20 at 8:12 am to Shepherd88
Lol
Posted on 3/4/20 at 1:24 pm to jimbeam
This was the market reaction when Biden won those northern states


Posted on 3/4/20 at 2:16 pm to castorinho
The market now seems to be in that high volatility state where it is just reacting to whatever pokes it on a given day.
Posted on 3/4/20 at 3:24 pm to PetroBabich
quote:Yep.
The market now seems to be in that high volatility state
Took some off the table today.
Picks from last week were up 10-20%. Gallus gallus domesticus, but had to cash some of that.
We are still in front of some downside news IMO: bigger virus numbers, school closures, supply disruptions, earnings rpts, etc.
Still buying dips at this stage.
Posted on 3/4/20 at 4:01 pm to NC_Tigah
Seems like a day traders wet dream. Market running up and down in huge swings day to day. You’d have to imagine there’s gonna be another big run down at some point when more virus news comes out. Then, right back up cause...why not
Posted on 3/4/20 at 4:11 pm to Athletix
quote:
Seems like a day traders wet dream. Market running up and down in huge swings day to day. You’d have to imagine there’s gonna be another big run down at some point when more virus news comes out. Then, right back up cause...why not
Glass is half empty for you perpetually, isn't it?
Posted on 3/4/20 at 4:25 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Glass is half empty for you perpetually, isn't it?
why do you say that ? it was a very neutral type post? I went back and read a lot of his previous post and they seemed the same to me ?
Posted on 3/4/20 at 4:30 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Glass is half empty for you perpetually, isn't it?
Why you riding my posts so hard? Do you think what I posted is in correct? or is it that I don't have sunshine and rainbows in every post that upsets you? Stop clutching your pearls every time I post
Posted on 3/5/20 at 8:25 am to Athletix
Not really sure why you’re being downvoted. That’s pretty much what’s going on: erratic price action and high volatility.
I have to admit though, as a premium seller, I’m enjoying the increased IV and the $ that come with it. Just have to avoid price moves outside of expected ranges (short strikes), so I don’t get run over as the train goes back & forth.
I have to admit though, as a premium seller, I’m enjoying the increased IV and the $ that come with it. Just have to avoid price moves outside of expected ranges (short strikes), so I don’t get run over as the train goes back & forth.
Posted on 3/5/20 at 8:29 am to Athletix
quote:
You’d have to imagine there’s gonna be another big run down at some point when more virus news comes out. Then, right back up cause...why not
Then right back up because why not??? You mean you wouldn’t expect the market to rebound after an emotional sell off on overblown news?
I guess someone will always be trying to a bigger deal out of something than it really is.
Posted on 3/5/20 at 9:42 am to AMS
quote:
I guess someone will always be trying to a bigger deal out of something than it really is.
And that’s the crux behind why I’m getting downvoted. I truly believe the virus is a bigger deal than you and most other people. Anyone doubting now that we are gonna have 10s of thousands of cases in the US? I get vast majority of people don’t think this virus is a big deal, but do you folks think the public will mimic that view point when the virus is spreading in their area?
We are basically waiting on a vaccine, because there are too many cases worldwide to stop. If you stamp out the virus in one area, what happens when that country opens its border back up? In the case of China, if they truly have eradicated the virus. What happens when they try and reopen travel to the rest of the world? Another infection spread. So, either stay quarantined for months (not economically reasonable at this point), or just deal with the virus as it infects your population. The later is kinda scary, and it’s essentially the route the US is taking.
I don’t think this is the bubonic plague, and all signs point to a mortality rate of .3%-1%. Probably much closer to .3, but with how infectious the disease is and the lack of therapeutic/vaccine, has made me pretty concerned. Unless warm weather can slow this thing down or we whip up a vaccine in the next few months, we are going to see a massive spread worldwide.
Posted on 3/5/20 at 9:45 am to Athletix
100% agree with everything you said... I'm 90% cash including 401k. 
Posted on 3/5/20 at 10:17 am to Zilla
quote:I hear you. It's tough. Bought BA last week at $288 (IMO that is a great price). Then it dropped to $270, bought again, doubling down. Sold that position at $290. Repurchased today at $269. Sitting on a ~$278 cb. Just one of a litany. Crazy market.
... I'm 90% cash including 401k.
This post was edited on 3/5/20 at 10:19 am
Posted on 3/5/20 at 10:57 am to NC_Tigah
BA is one of my best underlyings right now. 54.5 IV at the 100th percentile. Selling 252.5 weekly puts. At 252.5, I don’t care if it gets put to me or not... unless there’s an announcement of a coronavirus outbreak in the Seattle Boeing plant. Ruh roh
Posted on 3/5/20 at 11:29 am to Athletix
quote:
. I truly believe the virus is a bigger deal than you and most other people
We know. I’m saying you are being over emotional. Most of the world isnt cramped in as closely quartered as china. It’s being over blown, with your estimates of .3-1% its like a moderate to severeIsh flu as the worst case.
This post was edited on 3/5/20 at 11:58 am
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