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Talk to me about Amazon stock's future
Posted on 5/11/18 at 2:31 pm
Posted on 5/11/18 at 2:31 pm

how comfortable would you be buying in at this high? the past 3 years is just ridiculous, the cnn forecast has a floor that's still a 6% gains.

What some of you more professional money talker's thoughts on amazon for next couple years?
Posted on 5/11/18 at 2:33 pm to Chad504boy
i mean i use amazon for like everything....and so does everyone i know 

Posted on 5/11/18 at 3:12 pm to Chad504boy
Trust in Jeff Bezos. Amazon will surpass a trillion dollar valuation once they release zero click ordering. They will start sending you items before you even ask for it in packages along with a return box. I think they are an unstoppable force unless regulation or name-calling from the White House change the narrative
Posted on 5/11/18 at 4:20 pm to Chad504boy
Waited for a dip that never came and got in in the high 1200s.
You could wait for a slightly cheaper price, but might as well get in now. Should be fine with a long term plan
You could wait for a slightly cheaper price, but might as well get in now. Should be fine with a long term plan
Posted on 5/11/18 at 5:08 pm to zell_miller
quote:
They will start sending you items before you even ask for it in packages along with a return box.
I don't believe you.
Posted on 5/12/18 at 10:08 am to castorinho
quote:I’m thinking about starting a thread about the platform, but M1 Finance dropped all of their fees for their products (IRAs, stocks, indexes, etc), and seem to be taking the Robinhood route to generate income.
You could wait for a slightly cheaper price, but might as well get in now.
It has a lot cook and useful services (customized ETF’s, customized and customizable “pies” to put into a portfolio), but one of the best features, in my opinion, is you can buy fractional shares of stocks and funds.
So if one can’t afford $1600 to buy one share of Amazon, but has $160 instead (or even $1.60) then you can buy that fraction of a share with the money one can afford to invest.
Posted on 5/12/18 at 11:59 am to Chad504boy
This just in: "The price of the annual Prime membership increased from $99 to $119 on May 11, 2018. The new price will apply to your renewals starting April 4, 2019."
Posted on 5/12/18 at 2:01 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
It has a lot cook and useful services (customized ETF’s, customized and customizable “pies” to put into a portfolio), but one of the best features, in my opinion, is you can buy fractional shares of stocks and funds.
So if one can’t afford $1600 to buy one share of Amazon, but has $160 instead (or even $1.60) then you can buy that fraction of a share with the money one can afford to invest.
not clear on how thst works but typically if your buying fractions doesn't someone else own the stock on paper?
Posted on 5/12/18 at 2:46 pm to oklahogjr
quote:No. You actually own the share, and they’re eligible for dividends. I’m still not sure how to the brokerages create them since dividends, splits, ETF trading, etc. already creates fractional shares. So do they buy those or do they buy a full share then create it themselves since enough people probably make it a short term holding until the full share is eventually sold? The robo advisors have really made it popular so I wonder if it’s easier due to technology.
not clear on how thst works but typically if your buying fractions doesn't someone else own the stock on paper?
Posted on 5/13/18 at 5:58 am to Chad504boy
while i prefer highly profitable dividend yielding stocks...
amzn is still the best in industry...and is a current "strong buy" on zacks.
Last Earnings Report Quarter Ending 03/2018 Report Date Apr 26, 2018...
Reasons To Buy:..
amzn is still the best in industry...and is a current "strong buy" on zacks.
Last Earnings Report Quarter Ending 03/2018 Report Date Apr 26, 2018...
quote:
Sales Surprise 1.73% EPS Surprise 168.03% Quarterly EPS 3.27 Annual EPS (TTM) 6.35 Amazon delivered first-quarter 2018 earnings of $3.27 per share, crushing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $2.05 (168%) and also soared 121% year over year. Net Sales of $51.04 billion comfortably surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $50.17 billion. The figure surged almost 43% year over year and beat management’s guided range of $47.75-$50.75 billion. After adjusting for foreign exchange, revenues increased 36% year over year. North America revenues (60.2% of sales) jumped 46.4% from the year-ago quarter to $30.73 billion. International revenues (29.1% of sales) increased 34.5% to almost $14.88 billion.
Reasons To Buy:..
quote:
Amazon.com is one of the largest e-commerce companies in the world. Although the primary product line was books at first, the company rapidly diversified into a host of other product categories. The current focus is on building video content, primarily for Prime subscribers because the growth prospects in that market are considerable. Product selection, a superior user experience, bargains and customer feedback have helped the company build a strong position for itself in the fast-growing ecommerce market. The growth of the e-commerce industry with consumers increasingly buying things online has proved to be favorable for the company. While the big brands may build their own online stores over time, a platform like Amazon allows discovery by new buyers. Smaller players are far more dependent on Amazon as they don’t have the resources that Amazon has to invest in technology and fulfilment to generate the kind of reach that Amazon can deliver. Moreover, considering opportunities in international markets, the company’s high growth rates are likely to be sustained over the next few years.
quote:
Amazon’s strategy of gradually merging online and offline retail looks promising. It will not only reshape the retail landscape but also help it fend off competition, if it could manage a first mover advantage. It has added online and offline features to its bookstores and is going the same way with innovations such as drive-in-grocery delivery service (AmazonFresh Pickup - order groceries online and collect them from a store nearby) and “cashier-less” stores (Amazon Go – the company’s first brick-and mortar grocery store). We expect online retail sales to decelerate while the overall retail market still holds a lot of potential. So, moves like these will help Amazon tap a large number of customers who prefer to shop offline, while not doing away with the online business. Amazon is the leading provider of cloud infrastructure as a service to enterprise customers.
The Amazon Web Services (AWS) business as it is called generated revenues of $4.6 billion in the third quarter, growing at over 40% year over year in each of the last five quarters. Even more encouraging is the fact that AWS generates much stronger margins than the traditional retail business, which should remain a positive for the company’s profitability as it continues to grow in the mix. AWS is gaining momentum with customers including Adobe, GE Oil & Gas, Kellogg’s, Airbnb, hilips, Pinterest, Spotify, Tata Motors, Unilever, McDonalds, BMW, British Gas, Capital One, US Department of State and USDA Food and Nutrition Service.
Posted on 5/13/18 at 8:45 pm to Chad504boy
No idea, but one big risk as they continue to grow is antitrust policy. Could they become like Ma Bell?
Posted on 5/14/18 at 8:27 am to CivilTiger83
I think about that with Google all the time. What were the stock implications when Bell was ordered to break up? How can one profit from that situation? I think it'll happen with Google in Europe first, then eventually we'll be forced to do it in the States as well.
Posted on 5/14/18 at 8:46 am to NFLU
Zero-click ordering, just wait for it
Posted on 5/14/18 at 9:18 am to zell_miller
Consumers will have to opt in to that and it’s going to really piss a lot off them stuff shows up that they don’t need.
eCommerce still follows the basic rules of offer, consideration, and acceptance in contract law with zero click breaking part of that chain.
eCommerce still follows the basic rules of offer, consideration, and acceptance in contract law with zero click breaking part of that chain.
Posted on 5/14/18 at 10:25 am to Chad504boy
amazon's business is really awesome, and I think they will dominate a whole variety of sectors.
their PE ratio is still ridiculous though. So you really are banking on their growth, or them operationalizing and cutting costs.
i have a friend that works there at a sr position. He started 3 years ago, and his stock options are enough to retire. I told him to cash out and do it, but he won't.
their PE ratio is still ridiculous though. So you really are banking on their growth, or them operationalizing and cutting costs.
i have a friend that works there at a sr position. He started 3 years ago, and his stock options are enough to retire. I told him to cash out and do it, but he won't.
Posted on 5/14/18 at 10:57 am to Chad504boy
I'm buying some next time Trump bring the price down.
Posted on 5/14/18 at 11:11 am to brian_wilson
Pe is ridiculous, but the stock price is more closely correlated to the fcf I believe.
Posted on 5/14/18 at 11:16 am to leoj
amazon is tricky to value, as they are really big but are priced like a smaller, faster growing company. They are making huge investments in a variety of businesses.
the price to cash flow ratio is still really high.
the price to cash flow ratio is still really high.
Posted on 5/14/18 at 12:55 pm to brian_wilson
quote:
i have a friend that works there at a sr position. He started 3 years ago, and his stock options are enough to retire. I told him to cash out and do it, but he won't.
???
Stock has wildly outperformed, but it's up 3.5-4.0x, not 300x.
Posted on 5/15/18 at 1:51 pm to Chad504boy
I see it's red today, what did Trump do now? 

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