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Started By
Message
re: Spec Play - HGRAF
Posted on 3/1/26 at 11:20 am to FieldEngineer
Posted on 3/1/26 at 11:20 am to FieldEngineer
quote:
I don’t understand the price action today at all.
I’m by no means a smart investor but can tell you with conviction this thing is going to be all over the place until they’re loading graphene on trucks to buyers. I wouldn’t be shocked to see $2 or $10 until that happens.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 11:24 am to SquatchDawg
Secretly all the lower share holders are hoping for that $2.
Amirite?
Amirite?
Posted on 3/1/26 at 12:03 pm to JperiodCperiod
quote:
But we still only have 9,000 tons on hand and one Hyperion chamber with two more on the way.
It's about offtake agreements now. Manufacturing capacity isn't a trick. They have it well in hand and doesn't require much capex. Getting listed will be a nice bump but beyond that, it's path to $XX per share is paced by sales.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 12:35 pm to NaturalBeam
quote:
Obviously I hope y’all are right, but what catalysts are you seeing that would double us up in the next month?
I think the acetylene contract is likely to be announced, and hopefully the Houston construction, but is that enough to keep us moving significantly upward? I was thinking those things would likely just hold us around $5-6.
Kerry basically said yesterday they are on track for NASDAQ by the end of June. And it doesn’t sound like any big purchase orders are coming for a few more months. Those are the things (along with institutional investing) that I thought would really get us over double digits. But y’all are thinking we get there even before those things?
Assuming management is competent, they’re likely "managing" how development milestones are sequenced/announced around a listing and share price milestones. In specialty chemicals, it’s common for HOAs or framework agreements to precede formal supply contracts. Only HGRAF knows where they stand in that regard, but I’d expect commercial groundwork to be further along than what’s publicly disclosed - as long as last week's private placement gives them sufficient runway to negotiate from strength.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 12:42 pm to David_DJS
I will be watching to see how many Hyperion units they contract to build. If they ramp up, then they will be anticipating big contracts. If they go slow, I'm worried...
Posted on 3/1/26 at 12:50 pm to Swamp puppy
I just transferred some money into Schwab and looking to buy more tomorrow. I can’t remember exactly but is theres a waiting period to buy HGRAF after the deposit?
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:02 pm to PeteRose
Yeah I’m in the same boat it takes what seems like a week to get settled with Schwab.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:03 pm to Swamp puppy
quote:
And then if you have an emergency, sell some stock.
Ah I see what you meant now….
quote:
If I misunderstood you, I apologize
You didn’t, and not necessary
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:20 pm to meeple
quote:
Yeah I’m in the same boat it takes what seems like a week to get settled with Schwab.
Sucks if you have to wait to buy only to see the price climb up.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 2:14 pm to Jax-Tiger
quote:
I will be watching to see how many Hyperion units they contract to build. If they ramp up, then they will be anticipating big contracts. If they go slow, I'm worried...
Agree.
I think it's been reported that they're $500K per unit. If you know - what's the capacity of a $500K unit, and what's their forecast ASP?
Posted on 3/1/26 at 2:20 pm to David_DJS
one unit can make 10 tons per year per that video the other day
Posted on 3/1/26 at 2:30 pm to Neauxla
From Reddit - Kerry Landis (Hgraf board member) gave a nice preso the other day on HGRAF
I listened to Kerry Landis's presentation at the Metals Investor Forum so you don't have to.
Board member Kerry Landis speaking. Presenting a February 2026 Investor Deck.
*Commercialization has begun o*n the second slide.
Hyperion reactors have 10 tons capacity per year, scale, …”expanding to 30." says Landis.
$500k to make a reactor
1 in full operation for a bit over a year
Graphene sells at between $250k to up to $1m per ton
“We’ll have global reach. The feedstocks are available around the world. We can build the unit wherever we need. We’re gonna use decentralized control of these Hyperion units at the start but as worldwide access grows, we’ll probably have other locations around the world. Strong value proposition. We’ve found that every, about 75 potential customers now. We have found that every test that’s been done with different graphenes with different companies, we have won the test, in fact we are usually 3 or 4 times more efficacious. So the customers are… the purchase orders probably are not far down the line.”
I like this sound of this. For as straightforward and cheap as they make the reactors sound, I’m glad to hear the strategy of simply building up new production locations closer to customers around the world.
2-3 months to make a reactor.
“We can don 10 in parallel” the way he said it, kinda sounds like that number could clearly increase
Love these bits about the GEIC, especially the ending.
“We have a strategic partnership with the GEIC, the Graphe Engineering Innovation Center in Manchester, England, and it’s here where they have acted as a 3rd party independent analyst to take a look at what graphene is the best for a customer. And like I said, in 75 potential customers, we have won every test and like I said 3-4 times more efficacious than other customers \[sic\]. James Baker was the CEO of the GEIC and he has stepped down from that, he was also a professor at the university of Manchester, he stepped down from that, and he has joined our advisory board. At the GEIC is where we came in contact with the US Army Research Lab, they have determined that they want to produce a GEIC in the United States and we have been told that Hydrograph is going to play a key role in that.”
Slide comes up listing industries they could be a part of: lubricants, composites, coatings, cement/concrete , energy storage. “We’re going to address or be available and will provide graphene for all these industries. They two were most focused on at the moment are composites and coatings. Although lubricants, concrete, and energy storage are going to be high on our list also.”
A slide comes up titled *2026: Commercialization under way* with three blurbs.
*Large automotive company: Multiple successful trials completed for automotive composites. Next: Pilot industrial scale-up, followed by commercial scale-up negotiations targeting 2026. Tonnage volumes anticipated.*
*Biosensors: Hawkeye Bio achieves distributor contract and published data in Nature. Next: Production ramp up begins in 2026 with additional biosensors in development targeting 14 different diseases.*
*Technical Fibers: scale up order expected based on repeated results. Next: Pilot industrial scale-up to commence at completion of current trial. Rapidly growing defense interest.*
And Landis says, “And the bottom one, the technical fibers. That’s the military and federal, and we’ve got a large interest in that. So we think that’s going to be pretty big also."
NASDAQ hopefully by the end of Q2.
He ended with what seemed like some late add to his script. Honestly the swerve from dry business presentation to this pump felt out of place. “You may ask yourself, are we done, is this as far as we’re going. Well let me remind you, we’re a patented process, we’re easily scalable, we have a growing customer base, we’ve got about 75 already that are, we don’t have a closed purchased order yet, but we’re getting there and we anticipate that soon. We’re not dependent on any foreign suppliers, we produce the graphene here. We can reduce the reliance on critical minerals such as copper and silver … Hydrograph will play a large part in the buildout of the US Army GEIC in the US. We have a headquarters that is being opened right now in Austin, TX. The NASDAQ listing, we just achieved the metrics that are necessary for NASDAQ listing and we’re expecting to have that closed hopefully by the end of Q2 of this year. And low cap ex, low operating expense. It’s about 20%, so for every $1 of revenue about 20% of it is expended for OpEx and 80% is clear earnings. So as an investor, let me ask you one question. Do you want to buy stock in a company that before or after large purchase orders begin. Before revenue begins to expand at 80% margin. Before the NASDAQ listing where more potential investors come on. Before we announce the contract that we’re near term for an acetylene and oxygen supplier. Before we begin the large production facility where we will put tens if not hundreds of Hyperion units and before we scale up production to begin in earnest.”
I listened to Kerry Landis's presentation at the Metals Investor Forum so you don't have to.
Board member Kerry Landis speaking. Presenting a February 2026 Investor Deck.
*Commercialization has begun o*n the second slide.
Hyperion reactors have 10 tons capacity per year, scale, …”expanding to 30." says Landis.
$500k to make a reactor
1 in full operation for a bit over a year
Graphene sells at between $250k to up to $1m per ton
“We’ll have global reach. The feedstocks are available around the world. We can build the unit wherever we need. We’re gonna use decentralized control of these Hyperion units at the start but as worldwide access grows, we’ll probably have other locations around the world. Strong value proposition. We’ve found that every, about 75 potential customers now. We have found that every test that’s been done with different graphenes with different companies, we have won the test, in fact we are usually 3 or 4 times more efficacious. So the customers are… the purchase orders probably are not far down the line.”
I like this sound of this. For as straightforward and cheap as they make the reactors sound, I’m glad to hear the strategy of simply building up new production locations closer to customers around the world.
2-3 months to make a reactor.
“We can don 10 in parallel” the way he said it, kinda sounds like that number could clearly increase
Love these bits about the GEIC, especially the ending.
“We have a strategic partnership with the GEIC, the Graphe Engineering Innovation Center in Manchester, England, and it’s here where they have acted as a 3rd party independent analyst to take a look at what graphene is the best for a customer. And like I said, in 75 potential customers, we have won every test and like I said 3-4 times more efficacious than other customers \[sic\]. James Baker was the CEO of the GEIC and he has stepped down from that, he was also a professor at the university of Manchester, he stepped down from that, and he has joined our advisory board. At the GEIC is where we came in contact with the US Army Research Lab, they have determined that they want to produce a GEIC in the United States and we have been told that Hydrograph is going to play a key role in that.”
Slide comes up listing industries they could be a part of: lubricants, composites, coatings, cement/concrete , energy storage. “We’re going to address or be available and will provide graphene for all these industries. They two were most focused on at the moment are composites and coatings. Although lubricants, concrete, and energy storage are going to be high on our list also.”
A slide comes up titled *2026: Commercialization under way* with three blurbs.
*Large automotive company: Multiple successful trials completed for automotive composites. Next: Pilot industrial scale-up, followed by commercial scale-up negotiations targeting 2026. Tonnage volumes anticipated.*
*Biosensors: Hawkeye Bio achieves distributor contract and published data in Nature. Next: Production ramp up begins in 2026 with additional biosensors in development targeting 14 different diseases.*
*Technical Fibers: scale up order expected based on repeated results. Next: Pilot industrial scale-up to commence at completion of current trial. Rapidly growing defense interest.*
And Landis says, “And the bottom one, the technical fibers. That’s the military and federal, and we’ve got a large interest in that. So we think that’s going to be pretty big also."
NASDAQ hopefully by the end of Q2.
He ended with what seemed like some late add to his script. Honestly the swerve from dry business presentation to this pump felt out of place. “You may ask yourself, are we done, is this as far as we’re going. Well let me remind you, we’re a patented process, we’re easily scalable, we have a growing customer base, we’ve got about 75 already that are, we don’t have a closed purchased order yet, but we’re getting there and we anticipate that soon. We’re not dependent on any foreign suppliers, we produce the graphene here. We can reduce the reliance on critical minerals such as copper and silver … Hydrograph will play a large part in the buildout of the US Army GEIC in the US. We have a headquarters that is being opened right now in Austin, TX. The NASDAQ listing, we just achieved the metrics that are necessary for NASDAQ listing and we’re expecting to have that closed hopefully by the end of Q2 of this year. And low cap ex, low operating expense. It’s about 20%, so for every $1 of revenue about 20% of it is expended for OpEx and 80% is clear earnings. So as an investor, let me ask you one question. Do you want to buy stock in a company that before or after large purchase orders begin. Before revenue begins to expand at 80% margin. Before the NASDAQ listing where more potential investors come on. Before we announce the contract that we’re near term for an acetylene and oxygen supplier. Before we begin the large production facility where we will put tens if not hundreds of Hyperion units and before we scale up production to begin in earnest.”
Posted on 3/1/26 at 2:39 pm to Neauxla
quote:
one unit can make 10 tons per year per that video the other day
And did he say pricing starts at $250K/mt?
ETA - following post had the answer.
And, if I recall he - said their margin was about 80%.
This post was edited on 3/1/26 at 2:42 pm
Posted on 3/1/26 at 2:49 pm to masoncj
quote:
And low cap ex, low operating expense. It’s about 20%, so for every $1 of revenue about 20% of it is expended for OpEx and 80% is clear earnings.
About to rob a brinks truck.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 7:38 pm to Rendevoustavern
quote:
bout to rob a brinks truck.
I’m also considering some awfully risky, but less felonious paths to more shares.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 8:29 pm to David_DJS
quote:
And did he say pricing starts at $250K/mt? ETA - following post had the answer. And, if I recall he - said their margin was about 80%
Just out of curiosity, how does Dr Sorenson and Kansas st get paid in all of this?
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:23 am to PeteRose
Any guesses on what action we’ll see today?
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:54 am to FieldEngineer
quote:
Any guesses on what action we’ll see today?
We can only guess for now. Hopefully they sign the EPA approval this week and announce something regarding facilities or contracts. I think that’s very optimistic to be expecting something this week but I’ll be refreshing 20 today to check for any spikes.
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:11 am to supadave3
There was some chatter about not being able to make announcements within so many days of the life offering, but said chatter seemed to be unaware of the quick closing window of the offering. This may or may not affect the timing of announcements.
Posted on 3/2/26 at 8:06 am to JperiodCperiod
Which supposedly delays any news until late this week, or early next week.
This should be a good hype week, and a good week to mention it to your friends, should you choose. I mentioned it to a few folks, hopefully, so I don't have to hear "why didn't you tell me?"
This should be a good hype week, and a good week to mention it to your friends, should you choose. I mentioned it to a few folks, hopefully, so I don't have to hear "why didn't you tell me?"
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