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Space X IPO, what are we doing? Baron interview worth the listen

Posted on 6/2/26 at 7:56 pm
Posted by Covingtontiger77
Member since Dec 2015
12187 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 7:56 pm
Baron is the biggest Elon believer of all time.





I did some research and you can buy one of his mutual funds - BPTRX- and it has approximately 30% of its holdings in SPACE X Private shares already.


Buying his mutual fund may be a play here rather than buying Space X n IPO day or soon thereafter.


This post was edited on 6/2/26 at 7:57 pm
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
52597 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 8:13 pm to
Sounds like he is pumping the stock in it's fund.

I don't see much path to near term profitability. With the massive size of the IPO offering, I see a lot of downside after the wave of initial buyers thin out.

I agree with morning star.

quote:

Morningstar initiated coverage of SpaceX with a fair-value estimate of just $780 billion, less than half the roughly $1.8 trillion valuation the company is targeting in its initial public offering.


Yahoo finance

I think the IPO pops up and then it's starts the slow slide downward to a more realistic valuations. But I think it will be slow downward and not violent. Tesla shares may be under more pressure as investors cycle out of it into space x. As most remaining Tesla investors are there for the AI play, which is clearly moving to space X.

Space X is an AI company
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
10382 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 8:21 pm to
It doesn’t seem to be realistically profitable for a long, long time.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
54841 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 8:27 pm to
quote:

think the IPO pops up and then it's starts the slow slide downward to a more realistic valuations. But I think it will be slow downward and not violent


Serious question but do most IPOs operate like this once public? I imagine it's because the investors while it was private want to take profits and let the public hold the bag
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
3864 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 9:18 pm to
Like most huge IPOs, this will likely be a major flop. I’m also perfectly fine missing out if not
Posted by NoMercy
Member since Feb 2007
4763 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 10:30 pm to
With the new fast listing rules that were just put into play on May 1 this thing could ripple the entire market as a huge black hole wealth transfer.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8963 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 10:45 pm to
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41253 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 11:18 pm to
quote:

As most remaining Tesla investors are there for the AI play, which is clearly moving to space X.

Space X is an AI company


Wheel tesla calls and SPCX puts?

Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
12416 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 3:55 am to
quote:

It doesn’t seem to be realistically profitable for a long, long time.


People said the same about Amazon back in the day. It didn’t matter as far as the stock.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
52597 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 6:53 am to
quote:

People said the same about Amazon back in the day. It didn’t matter as far as the stock.


Amazon had massive revenues though and didn't start at a massive market cap. It was grown over time as revenue grew.

Space X is valuation is based on 18B on revenue last year, about the same as auto zone

Before everyone blasts me, I know stock price is based on future growth. But I'm this case hard to see a scenario where it grows into the current valuation even with the almost extreme bull case
This post was edited on 6/3/26 at 6:58 am
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41176 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 8:15 am to
Are Tesla shareholders going to get warrants to buy SpaceX? I heard about this a while ago but nothing recently
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