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Pre-Election Stock Strategy?

Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:33 am
Posted by Grassy1
Member since Oct 2009
6250 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:33 am
Not planning any changes for long term retirement, but in regards to that "play money in the stock market account", what the MB thinking for the next two weeks?
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38648 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:40 am to
its all ball bearings these days.
and plastics
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:43 am to
My prediction is new all time highs....just went long the sp500...if it breaks the current daily spy low then that is my sell stop. Low risk trade.

It can break it by a point or 2 but no more...hit the pivot i was watching.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 10:45 am
Posted by MikeD
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
7209 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:57 am to
I'd wager to say that all election influence is priced in already
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11077 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:01 am to
You can sell volatilty, that's about the only thing you can do to fade the narrative. Maybe buy some lottos on the FAAG stocks or the indices.
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:03 am to
quote:

I'd wager to say that all election influence is priced in already


I hope so because if it hit's my sell stop then I have no clue what happens next. Also.....I am aware that predictions can show us how clueless we can be sometimes but that is mine and I will know quickly if I am wrong.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
30543 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:04 am to
The only thing not priced in is if something unexpected happens with the election outside of Trump or Biden winning and a normal post election process. If a recount occurs, market impact. If somehow the election results go to a court ruling, huge market impact
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:13 am to
I think people fall in love with their large balances.

I am going to sell most of my high growth stocks for profit and buy back in when the price and future look good/more stable.

I absolutely expect all of them to fall a little. It's not just the election either for me. It's the earnings reports all coming out about the same time. Odds are that many high growth stocks won't come back as good as people think like Fastly. I am just playing it safe as my hooks aren't too deep, and I am relatively new so I'd like to see how the market responds to huge events like this. I have been waiting for a good opportunity to change investment applications (to TD Ameritrade), as mine sucks, and this is it for me.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 11:14 am
Posted by AUHighPlainsDrifter
South Carolina
Member since Sep 2017
3076 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:27 am to
quote:

I'd wager to say that all election influence is priced in already


That's impossible without knowing who the winner will be.
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

.I am aware that predictions can show us how clueless we can be sometimes but that is mine and I will know quickly if I am wrong.


Stopped out...I was obviously clueless on this one. They put up a fight but no go.
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:03 pm to
Trump just sent the stock market in a tailspin. I wish he would just keep things to himself sometimes.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51894 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:27 pm to
With what? Fauci hate or taking Sudan off the terrorist list?
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:35 pm to
He said Pelosi doesn't want a stimulus before the election.
Posted by Jp1LSU
Fiji
Member since Oct 2005
2542 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 2:53 pm to
New president will do wonders for the market. If you think otherwise sell.
Posted by nineteeneighty
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2020
219 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 8:18 pm to
Invest x every time we get 1% move down
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