re: OUST - LiDAR for Physical AI and Smart Infrastructure

That’s one hell of an endorsement

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How concerned are yall about an offering/dillution on this one?

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I'm not concerned, but it wouldn't shock me if they issued another secondary or ATM.

I would buy more or go long calls if the stock dropped 15-20% on the news.

There aren't many shares outstanding for a company of its size.
Just over 60 million.
For this to become a 10-15bn dollar company in 3-5 years they may need to issue 20 million more, and that's still a very healthy number of shares. It would still be quite low.
It all depends on how fast they choose to scale, which isn't negative in my view. Just look at NBIS.

10bn market cap at 80m shares is still $125 per share.
~20 million shares / 30% dilution even at $45 per share would yield them 900 million dollars. So they wouldn't come close to diluting that much at those levels. There's simply no need to have that much cash.

No, I'm not really concerned.
Especially since I think they'll be cash flow positive next year. If they dilute, I'd like to see them leverage convertible notes like NBIS. Can probably get a great rate and a fantastic 2032 strike price, which is bullish.

Further explanation, and a good way to frame it:

Claude thinks I'm rushing the 10bn valuation to happen in 2027-28. In reality, this is a 2030 or so valuation, and I'm ok with that.

Correction, this is an expansion as it reads like they were already a customer:

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The agreement marks a commercial expansion of a multi-year collaboration between the two companies. As AIM scales the deployment of its field-proven autonomy kits to deliver on key customer contracts and meet growing market demand, the strategic agreement guarantees a high-volume supply of Ouster’s high-resolution digital lidar sensors.

Building upon this commercial momentum, AIM plans to integrate Ouster’s new Rev8 native color digital lidar into the AIM AI platform to further advance the perception capabilities of its next-generation automated machinery with precise 3D structural data, color point clouds, and industrial-grade imagery to safely accelerate autonomous operations in the complex, unstructured environments.

For AIM, the benefits of Rev8 translate to faster edge-computing, streamlined sensor fusion, and significantly enhanced safety and object-classification capabilities in real-time, high-dust industrial workflows.

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LINK

I like how Rev8 is going into lots of things already. I’m holding this one still, only sold a few shares.

Im waiting for another 10% up day to lock in some CCs

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Am doing cash covered puts to try to buy

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I mean, never getting assigned isn't the worst place to be :)

Im late to this thread. Are yall stick bullish on this stock?