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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted on 11/6/25 at 8:51 pm to
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12379 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

RENs TCoR has doubled on a 30% increase in revenue if I’m reading that right. It’s a lot of admin and marketing but their incremental cost per revenue dollar is increasing.


I am curious what you are looking at on this. I am looking at the Q and I do not see that but you may be comparing other periods.

Keep in mind, the stock price increase drove stock based comp to be $72Million this quarter vs $8 million during 9/30/24 quarter.

But again Iren wasnt even an AI cloud in that quarter ($7 million revenue)
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12379 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 9:06 pm to
quote:

This is exactly the kind of thing I was worried about earlier in the week when I essentially said that announcing a deal like that before earnings is meant to hide the fact that you wouldn’t otherwise have anything to show.

They are hiding the actual EPS.
No matter how I look at it. That’s not good. I’d be thinking twice if NBIS did something similar.


? Again as I said I agree not to put any credence into EPS for IREN as it has a lot of static, but I mean US GAAP is US GAAP. Recognition of unrealized gains and losses on derivative instruments is not optional in any shape or form - it is not like they were trying to trick - I mean should they not follow GAAP? I hope you would expect NBIS to follow GAAP?

And note IREN did not tout EPS at all - in their presentation of highlights (first slide - they did not meantion EPS, and when mentioning net income actually went out of their way to be Unrealized gains on forward and capped calls). They then literally showed on that same page an Adj EBITDA to back it out of EBITDA!

In fact, I do not even see EPS in their presentation at all. Presentation

Further in their press release they did not promote EPS. So I am lost how this is shady or tricky or hiding?

And in terms of 'nothing to show', this board spent a lot of time talking about the incredible growth rates of NBIS - this release shows going from $7.3 million for a quarter to 3.4 Billion ARR - if that is nothing, I would like to see what growth rates, including NBIS, that match or beat that.

Edit: Probably came across crankier then I meant it lol. TLDR, the Company calculated EPS in accordance with GAAP as required and in no way promoted it (others online did). They went ouf of their way to show ADJ EBITDA backing out the GAAP craziness. So I do not see that as tricky or shady - unless I am missing something
This post was edited on 11/6/25 at 9:09 pm
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45892 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

Why are we convinced NBIS will beat so significantly?


they will beat

the market (not stock, tech users) should love NBIS' tech stack

nebius provides incredible offerings with substantial value. i have a hard time imagining substantial players haven't caught on and signed up.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20025 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

am curious what you are looking at on this. I am looking at the Q and I do not see that but you may be comparing other periods.


I was just doing some quick math from BB8’s post. I was also watching football so I may have been comparing wrong columns.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20025 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

Again as I said I agree not to put any credence into EPS for IREN as it has a lot of static, but I mean US GAAP is US GAAP


I think that’s the question.

IREN is based in Australia I believe so their financials as presented aren’t GAAP (also I believe). I didn’t look at their actual financials but I did for NBIS - another foreign company - and they included an estimated “conversion” to GAAP on the last two pages of their financials on their website. Maybe their filings are GAAP.

FWIW NBIS also includes unrealized gains in income that they back out in the GAAP conversion pages.

Also…I’m obviously not an international accountant so could be wrong on this..but I DO know unrealized gains can’t contribute to EPS under gap. Nothing shady…just difference in accounting standards.
This post was edited on 11/6/25 at 9:46 pm
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12379 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

I think that’s the question.

IREN is based in Australia I believe so their financials aren’t GAAP. I didn’t look at their actual financials but I did for NBIS - another foreign company - and they included an estimated “conversion” to GAAP on the last two pages of their financials on their website.

FWIW NBIS also includes unrealized gains in income that they back out in the GAAP conversion pages.


IREN reports in GAAP. They could IFRS and reconcile but they do not. It is US GAAP.

Again, compliant as can be - even taking the step as an international company to go full US GAAP.

10Q

See Note 2 Basis of Presentation.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20025 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 9:57 pm to
Hey…fair enough. Looks legit.

Since NBIS had to provide an adjustment to to GAAP in their financials, basic unrealized gains aren’t normally included in income and they’re a foreign company I assumed wrong.

Also I want to look at these filings. Thanks for the link!

ETA: their financial instruments are prepaid contracts and derivatives for managining their BTC exposure.
This post was edited on 11/6/25 at 10:01 pm
Posted by Craft
Member since Oct 2019
1244 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 5:23 am to
I’d rather start day red
Posted by reds on reds on reds
Member since Sep 2013
4951 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 5:43 am to
Pain.
Posted by AuBeerStud
Michigan
Member since Feb 2013
520 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 6:49 am to
Today looks ugly.

I’m liquid and probably gonna stay that way until the government opens.
This post was edited on 11/7/25 at 6:51 am
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
4030 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:20 am to
Im at bargaining/acceptance
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45892 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:28 am to
Be greedy when others are fearful
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27795 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:43 am to
It looks like the market is skittish about AI. Bad news? Sell. Good news? Still a sell. I don't think it's just over valuation. I think a lot of people are rooting for AI to fail. They think of AI and they think it will eliminate everyone's job and we'll end up with Skynet.

I had that conversation with a guy at a bar a couple of weeks ago. He was an older fellow who was afraid computers were going to take over the world. He was worried about his grandchildren not being able to find a decent job. He was hoping that all the AI companies go bankrupt. I told him that it wasn't just AI companies using AI. I said everyone was going to be using it in some capacity. Companies, individuals, etc... Even if they didn't know it.

I don't think many people even know what AI is and what it can accomplish. I don't think AI folks have done a good job in communicating that with the public at large.

The CEOs of these large companies need to spend time educating people that AI can do more than create fake photos and videos. It will do more than self driving cars and coding. They need to educate people on how AI can help workers be more productive, not just eliminate their jobs.

Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61408 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:45 am to
I can’t imagine their reporting would not be defensible. But I quit accounting after 201.
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45892 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:54 am to
Quite the paradox we find ourselves in.

Either AI “succeeds” and potentially millions are out of work and consumer spending cliff dives and defaults sky rocket

Or AI “fails” and the entire stock market and US gdp collapses
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24573 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Edit: Probably came across crankier then I meant it lol.
Not at all. You are the accountant aren't you.
I appreciate any and all education.

This is what I needed to hear. I'm just not as informed as you are. Not even close:
quote:

Recognition of unrealized gains and losses on derivative instruments is not optional in any shape or form - it is not like they were trying to trick - I mean should they not follow GAAP? I hope you would expect NBIS to follow GAAP?

Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20025 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 8:35 am to
I’ve resigned myself to just letting it ride for the next month as the market has turned and my exposure doesn’t become an issue until the end of Nov. and I really just need NBIS above $120. Which seems crazy given where we were but that’s the world we’re in.
Posted by CheesyF
Member since May 2017
535 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 8:37 am to
nose dive
Posted by Craft
Member since Oct 2019
1244 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 8:39 am to
frick
Posted by itsbigmikey
NASHVILLE
Member since Aug 2018
460 posts
Posted on 11/7/25 at 8:42 am to
Nibbling down here
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