re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

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Not so fast my friend.

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Sorry I was being a bit sarcastic. We are totally fricked short term.
Me more so than you as I don’t have the desire nor the time to day trade it.

These beats and fades are totally demoralizing.

so collective thinking here why do we think NBIS has been more acutely hit in this downturn than others? Outside the two deal announced companies yesterday. It's clearly risk off and most risk based stocks are down, but it seems more acute for NBIS - specifically compared to core weave, and other plays. Yeah I know a higher beta, but it just seems more disproportionate.


And in the back of my mind, I have recollection of the kind of feistiness displayed by the C suite last week - not saying is correlated, but I really hope that event on the sixth happens and management gets in front of this a little bit - because again it seems disproportional

edit: looking closer I need to walk back when I said about coreweave - it's move has been comparable

What this tells me is that there is a lot of manipulation of this stock before earnings comes out to scare retail out of so that institutional investors can load up on it as we get closer to the earnings date.

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What this tells me is that there is a lot of manipulation of this stock before earnings comes out to scare retail out of so that institutional investors can load up on it as we get closer to the earnings date.

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I hope so, but this is an attack on the entire industry. Look at all those beats and raised guidance, but stocks dropping. The reason NBIS is probably most affected, is exactly why it went up like it did. Low average volume and a lot of insider and institutional control. This same thing happened week of October 13.

But if the forces behind this retreat on Friday afternoon, could be extremely good on earnings beat.

That’s how I’m playing it though.

What do you think the rang will be tomorrow? $110 to 98 with most being 100 to 103?

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What do you think the rang will be tomorrow? $110 to 98 with most being 100 to 103?

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This sounds about right. I’d guess this gets down fairly low on open, near $100-101, don’t think it gets too much below $100 if at all. That’s going to be my buy for the day trade as of now. Obviously it depends on what I’m seeing at the time. Should get back to $106-108 area, don’t think $110 would be back in the cards and then downward trend again. That’s how I’m thinking about playing it with day trades

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Why do I feel like this is setting up perfectly for an awesome next week?

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Let me just say, this is much better timing than had our earnings been this week, looking at others.

It did hurt a bit taking the lump, but had I not sold off everything at $115-$116, I’d probably be down another 300-400k at open tomorrow with zero hope of recover with the strike prices I had

Now, I feel like we can load up on much lower strike prices, but some further out dates with higher strike prices and be poised for a good earnings.

Going to be interesting how the industry plays out through the holiday season though

Crypto crashing like hell. Everything’s going down faster than a Bangkok hooker.

Wow…quite the overnight reversal

Crypto bounced back up a bit too