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Started By
Message
re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:16 pm to IT_Dawg
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:16 pm to IT_Dawg
Let me understand this, you dropped $957,000 on call options?
1. **10/31 $130c**: 100 contracts @ $12
- Cost = 100 × $12 × 100 = $120,000
2. **10/31 $135c**: 160 contracts @ $9
- Cost = 160 × $9 × 100 = $144,000
3. **11/21 $140c**: 200 contracts @ $12.50
- Cost = 200 × $12.50 × 100 = $250,000
4. **11/21 $145c**: 60 contracts @ $11
- Cost = 60 × $11 × 100 = $66,000
5. **11/21 $150c**: 260 contracts @ $9
- Cost = 260 × $9 × 100 = $234,000
6. **12/19 $150c**: 110 contracts @ $13
- Cost = 110 × $13 × 100 = $143,000
Now, sum the costs:
$120,000 + $144,000 + $250,000 + $66,000 + $234,000 + $143,000 = $957,000
**Total cost**: $957,000
1. **10/31 $130c**: 100 contracts @ $12
- Cost = 100 × $12 × 100 = $120,000
2. **10/31 $135c**: 160 contracts @ $9
- Cost = 160 × $9 × 100 = $144,000
3. **11/21 $140c**: 200 contracts @ $12.50
- Cost = 200 × $12.50 × 100 = $250,000
4. **11/21 $145c**: 60 contracts @ $11
- Cost = 60 × $11 × 100 = $66,000
5. **11/21 $150c**: 260 contracts @ $9
- Cost = 260 × $9 × 100 = $234,000
6. **12/19 $150c**: 110 contracts @ $13
- Cost = 110 × $13 × 100 = $143,000
Now, sum the costs:
$120,000 + $144,000 + $250,000 + $66,000 + $234,000 + $143,000 = $957,000
**Total cost**: $957,000
2
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:16 pm to JetsetNuggs
quote:
I so badly want to buy more but my cost avg is $46 and it'll jump quite a bit at this point
So will your share count and profit….not sure why the avg price matters when adding shares….
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:17 pm to JetsetNuggs
If you think this thing is gonna keep going up then your average doesn't matter. More shares = more profit
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:19 pm to IT_Dawg
The pullbacks recently have me acting like a bitch but I guess just taking out of the huge profit I already have wouldn't matter
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:19 pm to Covingtontiger77
Correct.
Just passed $1.5M (value) in NBIS holdings a few minutes ago
Right there when it hit $132, I have $400,000 in shares and $1.25M in options
Just passed $1.5M (value) in NBIS holdings a few minutes ago
Right there when it hit $132, I have $400,000 in shares and $1.25M in options
This post was edited on 10/9/25 at 2:22 pm
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:27 pm to IT_Dawg
This stock is bananas
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:31 pm to meeple
Not even on AVG volume 
Holy shite what a day. Biggest day of my life again.
Holy shite what a day. Biggest day of my life again.
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:31 pm to IT_Dawg
a man with conviction
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:38 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
Biggest day of my life again.
And here's to many more...
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:39 pm to Jax-Tiger
That just shows to go you that it can happen at any time.
Remember, we opened up in the red...
Remember, we opened up in the red...
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:42 pm to Jax-Tiger
quote:
That just shows to go you that it can happen at any time.
Remember, we opened up in the red...
My quote exactly this morning
quote:
Maybe we can start in the red for once and pop way up afterwards. Maybe that’s what we need
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:43 pm to Jax-Tiger
damn. what a day
Posted on 10/9/25 at 2:48 pm to DawgCountry
Holy cow this guy lays out his opinion on what NEBIUS may be thinking with regard to their stake in Clockhouse. Lawd, boys we have us a monster here.
X link
X link
quote:
I think $NBIS is about to pull off one of the smartest financial-engineering plays EVER ?? Nebius faces a unique dilemma: It runs one of the highest-return-on-capital businesses on earth, every dollar they can invest into new capacity compounds insanely fast. But they also own 28 % of ClickHouse, one of the few assets globally compounding just as fast. So what do you do when your own business and your biggest investment are both rocket ships? You get creative. Here’s what I think happens next
ClickHouse valuation path May 2025 Series C ? $6.35 B post-money. ARR grew $50 M ? $96 M ? ~$200 M in 12 months. Customers doubled 1 000 ? 2 000+, adding 100–200 per month (accelerating!!). If growth continues, IPO in 12 months = $30–50 B valuation.
Nebius stake value $NBIS owns 28 % ? at $40 B IPO ˜ $10.8 B stake (net of minor dilution).
The play Instead of selling, Nebius can raise $4–5 B in non-dilutive debt against its ClickHouse stake. That gives them billions in dry powder while keeping full upside. ?? Turning capital into capacity AI-grade builds cost $20–25 M per MW ? 160–250 MW new capacity (probably way to pessimistic...). Each MW produces $5–6 M ARR for Nebius ? $800 M–$1.5 B extra ARR once online.
Valuation impact Applying a 20–25× ARR multiple (fair for Nebius’ growth + margins, which puts them in the top 1% of data center companies!!): That’s +$15–35 B market-cap uplift, or +50–120% return on the current stock price, without dilution
Why this is a Nebius-only flywheel Capital ? Capacity ? ARR ? Valuation ? More Capital. Most bare-metal providers can’t replicate this. Nebius’ full-stack model, value-added software, and customer experience make the economics unique.
Simplified: They could turn a $10.8 B ClickHouse stake into $25–45 B total company value, with 0 dilution or selling 1 ClickHouse share. Pure magic enabled by superior team -> superior execution -> superior product = superior results.
This post was edited on 10/9/25 at 2:49 pm
Posted on 10/9/25 at 3:05 pm to Covingtontiger77
Undoubtedly the best day I've ever had in my brokerage account:
Roth was only up 18.68% today
Roth was only up 18.68% today
Posted on 10/9/25 at 3:12 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
Undoubtedly the best day I've ever had in my brokerage account:
That is awesome, and it goes to show you how different options are from shares.
Still doesn't match up to 9/8/25 for me. Of course, I'm about 90% shares. I did make about $50K in calls (unrealized) and about $12K in calls sold.
I consolidated all of my calls to 11/21 and 3/20. I decided on 3/20 instead of 2/20 because I'm hoping Clickhouse announces an IPO in early 2026.
My options are:
11/21 - $130x30
11/21 - $135x30
03/20 - $150x20
03/20 - $160x10
This is probably the most I've ever had tied up in calls with NBIS.
This post was edited on 10/9/25 at 3:14 pm
Posted on 10/9/25 at 3:14 pm to Covingtontiger77
ok i'm in at 132.48
counting on y'all
counting on y'all
Posted on 10/9/25 at 3:17 pm to cgrand
Posted on 10/9/25 at 3:19 pm to Jax-Tiger
quote:
I did make about $50K in calls (unrealized) and about $12K in calls sold.
I've trimmed calls on the way up. Still holding 40 11/21 $130.
I may lose 1,000 shares tomorrow.
500 at 132 and 500 at 134.
I'm thinking that I will just wait for a dip or buy LEAPS with the proceeds.
Ideally, I will be able to buy back all the CCs in the morning.
I'm getting conservative!
Posted on 10/9/25 at 3:26 pm to bayoubengals88
We need to get a timestamp on the candle for the late afternoon jump and see if it lines up with IT buying $950k of call options.
Posted on 10/9/25 at 3:32 pm to SquatchDawg
quote:
lines up with IT buying $950k of call options.
To be fair, it was roughly $640k in calls at the time. The guy earlier figuring my cost avg included ones I’ve held for a while and was strictly my ownership costs, not value
And that cost average changes as I buy and sell them throughout the days. It’s why the guy worried about his cost avg per share going up doesn’t matter…..
If you make $10k on a stock and then sell it, it drops .50 and you buy back…your average price is higher but you own a LOT more and vulenis way up….so as it rises you recognize exponential gains on it
This post was edited on 10/9/25 at 3:37 pm
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