re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted by Jax-Tiger

Vero Beach, FL

Member since Jan 2005

27773 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 11:55 am to IT_Dawg

quote:
Got 30 for $9.10 on the dip, a little too early

Turns out that I was a bit early, too. Hopefully we're both selling in the first week of November...

Posted by IT_Dawg

Georgia

Member since Oct 2012

26681 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:00 pm to Jax-Tiger

Back to $95!!! What a fricking call

She’s got some legs to run some more end of day here

This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 12:01 pm

Posted by LChama

Member since May 2020

4013 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:05 pm to IT_Dawg

Bought 100 at 86.30 and 100 premarket at 98.40. Lets roll.

Posted by bayoubengals88

Member since Sep 2007

24536 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:06 pm to IT_Dawg

I failed to unload at the bell. I didn't like the prices of my options.
I ended up selling a few and converting to shares a few minutes later.

I then rolled up and out to generate cash with which I bought a few more shares.

Those contracts went up and I sold and bought a few more around $92

Still holding 15 Jan 26 $100s and 20 March 26 $110s.

I'm not displeased with how I've played it today as I have now caught up to the initial pop that lasted about 15 seconds. Alas, my Roth is up a lot today.

This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 12:07 pm

Posted by IT_Dawg

Georgia

Member since Oct 2012

26681 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:09 pm to bayoubengals88

Nice job!! That’s one helluva day!!!

Approaching the high of the day!!! I was excited when I sold this morning, can’t believe buying back earlier actually worked

normally that backfires on me

Okay - she is on fire right now!!!

This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 12:12 pm

Posted by HogPharmer

Member since Jun 2022

3719 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:15 pm to IT_Dawg

Absolutely kicking myself for not picking up some $90 calls this morning when it dipped!

Posted by Jax-Tiger

Vero Beach, FL

Member since Jan 2005

27773 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:17 pm to bayoubengals88

quote:
Alas, my Roth is up a lot today.

You're missing 4 or 5 digits in the front, there...

Posted by bayoubengals88

Member since Sep 2007

24536 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:21 pm to Jax-Tiger

quote:
You're missing 4 or 5 digits in the front, there...

All in time

Posted by SquatchDawg

Cohutta Wilderness

Member since Sep 2012

19994 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:28 pm to IT_Dawg

I bought some calls at the dip after liquidating at open and was sweating down to $86.

Need more FOMO into the close. I might sell them all for the day and see what happens over the week.

ETA I don’t even want to look at it until 3pm.

This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 12:32 pm

Posted by IT_Dawg

Georgia

Member since Oct 2012

26681 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:35 pm to SquatchDawg

quote:

ETA I don’t even want to look at it until 3pm.

I'm feeling kinda crazy right now....If this gets back down to $95, I might buy 50 $105 Expiring next Friday. I think this puppy is going to step up every single day for a while

Posted by bayoubengals88

Member since Sep 2007

24536 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:42 pm to IT_Dawg

quote:
.If this gets back down to $95, I might buy 50 $105 Expiring next Friday. I think this puppy is going to step up every single day for a while

Put the drink down! At least go 10/17!
I'm kidding. It's on the move. That's for sure.

Posted by SquatchDawg

Cohutta Wilderness

Member since Sep 2012

19994 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:42 pm to IT_Dawg

I’ve got a few $100’s at the dip before and after earnings that are up bigly already. Going to be hard not to sell for a future dip.

And of course being a dumbass some 9/12 that have been all over the place that I’m dumping at 3pm regardless. Those are up 25% at this moment.

ETA sold all but my 11/21 100s with the pull back from $97. Bird in hand….

This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 1:10 pm

Posted by Jax-Tiger

Vero Beach, FL

Member since Jan 2005

27773 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:44 pm to UnluckyTiger

quote:
For shits and gigs, what could you NBIS OGs see this bad boy at by 2030?

I see myself retired by then, having sold off all of my NBIS sometime in 2027, after it has become no fun - so big that multi-billion dollar deals no longer move the needle....

Posted by IT_Dawg

Georgia

Member since Oct 2012

26681 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 1:13 pm to bayoubengals88

quote:
Put the drink down!

I can’t!!!! LFG!!!!

frick it….just bought 25 contracts $105 exp 9/16 for $3.20

This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 1:17 pm

Posted by sonoma8

Member since Oct 2006

8138 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 1:25 pm to IT_Dawg

Treat ya’ self IT!! Def gonna pour up when I get home today! All BS aside…. Where do you and 88 see this stock end of 2026 conservatively?

Posted by IT_Dawg

Georgia

Member since Oct 2012

26681 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 1:27 pm to sonoma8

quote:
Where do you and 88 see this stock end of 2026 conservatively?

Was about to OT and say 350, but honestly, it depends on shite like today

I am going to play this like it’ll be 250 Christmas 2026

Posted by bayoubengals88

Member since Sep 2007

24536 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 1:38 pm to sonoma8

quote:
Where do you and 88 see this stock end of 2026 conservatively?

Conservatively, $200.

Right now, fair value is around $150+ according to a criminally low 2026 ARR estimate of 3.75bn.
That's my conservative plug and play number. Grok says that 4.25bn is more realistic.

3.75 x 10 = 37.5bn market cap.
10 would be the price to sales ratio, which again, is arguably low relative to peers.
That gives you $156.86
I'm arguing that's the current fair value for a low end ARR estimate for 2026.

So yeah, $200 is fairly conservative for the end of next year.

This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 2:38 pm

Posted by bigjoe1

Member since Jan 2024

1837 posts

Posted on 9/9/25 at 1:49 pm to bayoubengals88

Hope I don't jinx you baws but I joined the party. Sold a few 9?19 puts with at an 80 strike for $1.05.