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re: Housing: WTF?

Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:17 am to
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
6550 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Stop spreading misleading information.


The housing market hasn't crashed. I'm not the one spreading misleading info then having to come back and correct myself. I'm just as shocked as the original poster about the housing market. It's still going strong for the most part. Wishcasting for 4 years about a 'crash' (and being wrong) doesn't change anything. Telling us it will be a slow decline (duh) doesn't change anything. Yes, the housing market will eventually correct and level out but there isn't a poster on here who knows when that will happen. Could be next month could be next year could be 3 years. Predicting this and it taking 4 or 5 years to happen doesn't make you a sage.
Posted by Artificial Intel
Member since Jan 2023
210 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:27 am to
Can’t tell who is better, you or el guacho?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35314 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:29 am to
quote:

but realistically people shouldn’t be spending more than double their gross income on a home.


So the median American family should have a house budget capped at about 140k?

Lol ok.
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28340 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:30 am to
quote:

My house has dropped $39k this year, according to Zillow.


In most areas Zillow’s estimates aren’t worth dick, as a real estate agent I shudder when I hear, “but Zillow said”. Unless you live in a completely homogenous area, those things are often grossly wrong.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75187 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:36 am to
Redfin is more accurate than Zillow?
Posted by thegreatboudini
Member since Oct 2008
6452 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:43 am to
quote:

Good luck sending those 2-3 kids to college.


529 is flush, bud. That's easy to capture, too.

Stop having $1,000 car payments.
Posted by thegreatboudini
Member since Oct 2008
6452 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:44 am to
quote:

quote:childcare

That was going to be my next rebuttal to this Narnia scenario.


Childcare is cheap when the wife stays home.
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
22352 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 11:44 am to
quote:

So the median American family should have a house budget capped at about 140k? Lol ok.


It doesn’t seem like a bad rule for people in the 50% of income and lower, but seems a little restrictive for those in the top 25% (130k a year or more). Food, gasoline, health insurance, cars, cell phones, etc are basically the same for both families. Leaving the top 25% with much more “wiggle” room or discretionary spending.

I think a max for a top 25% is closer to 3 times gross income.
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
16162 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

529 is flush, bud.
I guess I’m hoping for better than LSU.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

Water ~ $200


Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
16162 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

when the wife stays home.
then you wouldn’t be making 200k gross in our little hypothetical scenario.
Posted by thegreatboudini
Member since Oct 2008
6452 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

then you wouldn’t be making 200k gross in our little hypothetical scenario.




incomes are substantially higher outside of Louisiana.

And I would never let my kids get educated in Louisiana like I was. I agree, much better out there.
This post was edited on 3/17/23 at 12:36 pm
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33403 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Bro have you seen the roads?
I've seen you driving on them, yes.
Posted by KCkid
Kansas City, Mo.
Member since Oct 2015
133 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 1:01 pm to
Re-sale Market still strong in KC. I was let go from a large home builder in November. About 25 percent of company. They are still sitting with huge inventories in this market. However, I started with another company the following week specializing in more multi family homes. That business is booming out of sight. We can’t build them fast enough. I purchased a resale home last week after months of looking and getting outbid. I noticed that this house had been on the market for 30 days so I underbid the listing price and got it. Don’t know if that’s a sign of what’s going on out there, But I hadn’t seen it happen until this one.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
16968 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

There simply isn't enough housing supply in this Country.

In my area there are 6x as many homes up for sale compared to a year ago. I go in and look at new listings with most being bought in the last 2 to 3 years.

People are buying and trying to flip for a profit. It's a game of chicken right now.
Posted by SaintsTiger
1,000,000 Posts
Member since Oct 2014
1120 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 1:22 pm to
Happening right now. Wake up and smell the coffee brother.

quote:

Home prices fell in February below year-ago levels for the first time since 2012, Redfin said Friday. The decline could offer a glimpse of what’s to come in closely watched existing-home sales data expected Tuesday. The median home in February sold for $386,721, Redfin said. The price is 1.2% below year-ago levels, the first monthly year-over-year decline since February 2012, according to the brokerage’s data.


Barrons - need subscription




Posted by Lightning
Texas
Member since May 2014
2300 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

quote:
Water ~ $200





I love that gif

Probably should have clarified that my water bill includes water, sewer, garbage and drainage costs.
Posted by SaintsTiger
1,000,000 Posts
Member since Oct 2014
1120 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

Probably should have clarified that my water bill includes water, sewer, garbage and drainage costs.


Or you just take a lot of baths
Posted by SaintsTiger
1,000,000 Posts
Member since Oct 2014
1120 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

In my area there are 6x as many homes up for sale compared to a year ago. I go in and look at new listings with most being bought in the last 2 to 3 years. People are buying and trying to flip for a profit. It's a game of chicken right now.


Little Rock?
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
6550 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

1.2%




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