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re: Dow set to fall 350 points after bond market flashes a recession warning

Posted on 8/14/19 at 12:39 pm to
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 12:39 pm to
Most people on this site are ignorant to the market and only care about the average 10y return on there mutual fund statement. Best to stick to the topics they understand.


Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
12993 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 12:42 pm to
buying time baws
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
5986 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

buying time baws


Anyone buying today? If so, what are you picking up? AMD looks like a gift here under 30..

ETA: And I also think money will be coming into equities when you can get a better return on dividends than 10 year bond yields.
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 1:02 pm
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123945 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Most people on this site are ignorant to the market
quote:

the average 10y return on there mutual fund statement
Do tell.
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12310 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:07 pm to
All in on baba earnings baw
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72707 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Damn forgot about him


me too. he did not last long here tho. he was an aubbie like you.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123945 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Anyone buying today?
Adding to a few positions: GS, JPM, TWLO, FMC. Sold half our VIX last week, and the rest today.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

And I also think money will be coming into equities when you can get a better return on dividends than 10 year bond yields.
If you're right money should be pouring into stocks now.

Today the 10 year bond has a yield of 1.58%.

The average dividend yield of stocks in the S&P500 Index was 1.88% as of the end of last month. Because the S&P500 had dropped since 7/31/19, the dividend yield is higher now than it was then.

LINK
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
10948 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:45 pm to
Trade wars and constant priming always come home to roost.

They apparently stopped teaching Economics at Wharton and the like.. long ago.
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 1:46 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:47 pm to
It wasn't enough for you to post your shite on the Poli Board so you decided to bring it over here???
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24159 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 1:50 pm to
The volatility in the market right now is nuts. CNBC said the average daily change in the Dow has been ~470 pts in the last week or so of trading.
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 2:03 pm to
is it filtering into options pricing?
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26580 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 2:09 pm to
I believe that the VIX (volatility index) is calculated by the relative pricing of a string of call and put options. If that is the case, then yes, the options market is definitely reflecting the volatility.
Posted by weagle99
Member since Nov 2011
35893 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

said the average daily change in the Dow has been ~470 pts in the last week or so of trading.


How does that compare to previous markets when we are now at 26,000 though?

Is it linear?
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35402 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

How does that compare to previous markets when we are now at 26,000 though?

Is it linear?



People like to flash these headlines because we’ve had a 10 year raging bull run. Everyone should go back and research, historically, how often we average 5,10,20% drops

S&P is down 6% from recent highs


Just remember “down like an elevator, up like an escalator”
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 3:27 pm
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35402 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

The volatility in the market right now is nuts. CNBC said the average daily change in the Dow has been ~470 pts in the last week or so of trading.





They need to learn to read a chart or to do basic math
Posted by TigerBait1971
PTC GA
Member since Oct 2014
14865 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 3:29 pm to
I don't know shite about the stock market.

Should I cash out my 401k and invest in chickens and tobacco yet?
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35402 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

don't know shite about the stock market.

Should I cash out my 401k and invest in chickens and tobacco yet?




Bitcoin and weed stocks


ETA: not real advice
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 3:32 pm
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123945 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

The volatility in the market right now is nuts.
Lower volume, larger moves. VIX was moderately high.
Posted by Brobocop
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2018
1905 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 3:33 pm to
Stay long on LVVV baw!!
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