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Can someone explain or fact check this tariff related tweet?

Posted on 4/2/25 at 10:42 pm
Posted by hikingfan
Member since Jun 2013
1708 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 10:42 pm
This post was edited on 4/2/25 at 10:49 pm
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
34209 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

Trade deficits aren’t tariffs, right? And that doesn’t mean we are being taken advantage of, the other country likely just has goods that we don’t have, no? Looking for a fact-based answer, not a political o
My impression is that it all comes back to dollar dominance. These countries desperately need USD so they trade their goods for our paper. The USD and the offsetting debt-based consumerism is our export. Again, this is what I’ve gleaned from people smarter than myself but I think it’s the gist.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
47215 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 11:07 pm to
His chart says currency manipulation and trade barriers. It's clear it's not a reciprocal tariff as claimed.

Plenty of theories on how they came up with the numbers, mostly related to trade deficit which seems pretty stupid.

But here we are
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
47215 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 11:30 pm to
They confirmed it

Official government reciprocal tariff formula

quote:

Reciprocal tariffs are calculated as the tariff rate necessary to balance bilateral trade deficits between the U.S. and each of our trading partners. This calculation assumes that persistent trade deficits are due to a combination of tariff and non-tariff factors that prevent trade from balancing. Tariffs work through direct reductions of imports.
Posted by hikingfan
Member since Jun 2013
1708 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 12:52 am to
How did the administration let this get out the way it did? Is this all just to bring countries to the negotiating table?

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Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38370 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 1:02 am to
quote:

How did the administration let this get out the way it did?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89380 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 5:21 am to
My best guess is that they knew the formula was bullshite so they just cut it in half as a guess.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
51948 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 6:10 am to
That guy seems to be making a bigger deal out of this than it should be
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5384 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 6:29 am to
quote:

That guy seems to be making a bigger deal out of this than it should be


Nope. This was sold on being a reciporcal tariff. Not a "reciporcal trade imbalance" tariff.
This post was edited on 4/3/25 at 6:33 am
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
19996 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 6:38 am to
currency manipulation should absolutely be treated the same as tariffs.
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5384 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 6:41 am to
quote:

currency manipulation should absolutely be treated the same as tariffs.


We know how they did the calculation. There is nothing in the calculation in regards to "currency manipulation".
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
19996 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 7:44 am to
quote:

We know how they did the calculation. There is nothing in the calculation in regards to "currency manipulation".


A big part of trade imbalances in many countries are highly impacted by the currency manipulation.
Posted by Bunsbert Montcroff
Phoenix AZ / Boise ID
Member since Jan 2008
5669 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Reciprocal tariffs are calculated as the tariff rate necessary to balance bilateral trade deficits between the U.S. and each of our trading partners. This calculation assumes that persistent trade deficits are due to a combination of tariff and non-tariff factors that prevent trade from balancing. Tariffs work through direct reductions of imports.

so we're going back to mercantilism, yay
Posted by CastleBravo
Rapid City, SD
Member since Sep 2013
451 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 1:26 pm to
Can someone explain why its bad to want to have a manufacturing base here in the US?

Seems kinda bad to be reliant on foreign despotic countries for our basic security needs.

What is wrong with more self reliance?

It seems like people are just upset that their stock portfolio is down a little bit. That, along with with the globalist NGO propaganda network turned up to 9, is driving the current "tariffs bad" narrative.
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
37478 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Can someone explain why its bad to want to have a manufacturing base here in the US?


1) Factories aren't just going to spring up tomorrow.
2) Land to build on is more expensive here.
3) Labor is more expensive here.
4) Speaking of labor with automation it's not going to create some humungous pool of jobs.
5) Because of the higher expenses here goods won't be cheaper but likely more expensive.

That's off the top of my head.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9505 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 1:55 pm to
What are we importing from Lesotho?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
450286 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Can someone explain why its bad to want to have a manufacturing base here in the US?

Why do you assume we don't?



I mean we're not #1 anymore, but we're more than double what #3, is.

Posted by jacobforpresident
BR
Member since Sep 2009
63 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 2:11 pm to
Nothing is wrong with self reliance. Nothing is wrong with strategic tariffs implemented for the purpose of protecting industries key to national security.

That's not what tariffs on cars from Mexico and Canada do. That is not what a 32% tariff on Swiss watches does.
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
4195 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

This was sold on being a reciporcal tariff.


Not just a reciprocal tariff, but a "discounted" reciprocal tariff.
Posted by CastleBravo
Rapid City, SD
Member since Sep 2013
451 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

1) Factories aren't just going to spring up tomorrow.


Factories take time to build. So that makes wanting new factories here bad?

quote:

2) Land to build on is more expensive here.


Depends on where, doesn't it?

quote:

3) Labor is more expensive here.


Paid labor is cheaper than slave labor, agreed. By your logic, slave labor is good while paid fair-wage labor is bad. Plus I would argue paid labor might take more pride in their work than slaves.

quote:

4) Speaking of labor with automation it's not going to create some humungous pool of jobs.


More high-wage technician jobs than no-skill production jobs. That is good right? Sounds like these state of the art automated manufacturing plants would be a good thing to have here. Who said anything about 1950's style "humungous pool of jobs"?

quote:

5) Because of the higher expenses here goods won't be cheaper but likely more expensive.


So your main point seems to be "cheap stuff good".

Personally I would rather buy durable goods that lasts longer than cheaply made goods that need to be replaced every 2 years.

But maybe you like the current state of planned obsolescence that we currently have.

None of your points has any positive impact other than "cheap stuff good".

Try again.
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