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Message

BofA moves derivatives from Merrill to an insured subsidiary - a symptom?
Posted on 10/19/11 at 8:33 pm
Posted on 10/19/11 at 8:33 pm
Help me understand the risks here. I'd like to know this Board's thoughts on the likelihood that this LINK signals more trouble for BofA, and the US economy. It may also be relevant for the replies that it appears these derivatives are from their European market...and unless I'm mistaken, appear to now be insured by US taxpayers.
Am I wrong to be alarmed that this below quote looks like a financial game of "hot potato" ?
Am I wrong to be alarmed that this below quote looks like a financial game of "hot potato" ?
quote:
The Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. disagree over the transfers, which are being requested by counterparties, said the people, who asked to remain anonymous because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly. The Fed has signaled that it favors moving the derivatives to give relief to the bank holding company, while the FDIC, which would have to pay off depositors in the event of a bank failure, is objecting, said the people. The bank doesn’t believe regulatory approval is needed, said people with knowledge of its position.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 8:54 pm to Willie Stroker
quote:
the FDIC, which would have to pay off depositors in the event of a bank failure
Which essentially means another tax payer funded bailout?
Posted on 10/19/11 at 10:13 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Which essentially means another tax payer funded bailout?
How much of FDIC insurance is paid by the banks themselves vs straight from the taxpayers?
Posted on 10/20/11 at 1:45 am to ProjectP2294
quote:
How much of FDIC insurance is paid by the banks themselves vs straight from the taxpayers?
100% comes from the banks.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 6:21 am to ProjectP2294
quote:
How much of FDIC insurance is paid by the banks themselves vs straight from the taxpayers?
And they are wanting to be insured immediately without having paid any premiums. Although the issue should rest solely on the legal definition of what is an insured deposit.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 7:32 am to Poodlebrain
quote:BofA doesn't pay FDIC premiums?
without having paid any premiums.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 7:46 am to LSURussian
quote:
100% comes from the banks.
Doesn't the FDIC basically have a line of credit with the Treasury?
Posted on 10/20/11 at 8:10 am to LSURussian
quote:
Yeah, so?
So BoA's derivative swap (estimated to be $53 Trillion) to an FDIC insured accounts (or whatever the technical term is) puts the risk on the lender to the FDIC, the Treasury (i.e. taxpayer).
I don't see why the FDIC simply can't say no to this?
Posted on 10/20/11 at 8:14 am to GumboPot
quote:No, it doesn't.
puts the risk on the lender to the FDIC, the Treasury (i.e. taxpayer).
A loan is not a grant.
If the FDIC borrows from the Treasury, which it has several times in the past, it either raises the deposit insurance premium banks pay or assesses a special assessment which the banks pay to pay off the loan.
Either way the taxpayers are not on the hook for the loan. The banks are. I thought you knew this.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 8:29 am to LSURussian
quote:
Either way the taxpayers are not on the hook for the loan. The banks are. I thought you knew this.
What I question is the magnitude of the swap and the risk that it carries. The article states BoA carries $53 Trillion in derivatives. And granted, much of these derivatives are hedged against each other so the net risk is less than $53 trillion. I do not recall the article stating how much BoA is going to shift into insured accounts. And given that the FDIC currently insures $7 Trillion in deposits isn't the concern that a BoA failure will overwhelm the FDIC and set off a chain of events?
Posted on 10/20/11 at 8:43 am to GumboPot
The notional value of derivatives is misleading and only impresses uninformed people not familiar with finance.
I read the article and it's clear the author has no clue what he's writing about. He doesn't even go into a breakdown of the derivatives. They could all be interest rate swaps, for all we know, and the risk of loss on those compared to their notional value is miniscule, especially in the current interest rate environment.
Don't go all Drama Queen on us. Leave that to Toddy on the Poli Board.
I read the article and it's clear the author has no clue what he's writing about. He doesn't even go into a breakdown of the derivatives. They could all be interest rate swaps, for all we know, and the risk of loss on those compared to their notional value is miniscule, especially in the current interest rate environment.
Don't go all Drama Queen on us. Leave that to Toddy on the Poli Board.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 8:50 am to LSURussian
quote:
Don't go all Drama Queen on us. Leave that to Toddy on the Poli Board.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 9:28 am to LSURussian
Its not like derivatives are fdic insured anyway. Put them in whatever opco you want, if the holdco declares bk derivative counterparties are first in line. I really hate the notional reference, its an absolutely meaningless number. Its like saying Michael Ford ran for 300 feet in a win against X.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 9:34 am to kfizzle85
quote:I think the (unfounded) concern is if the derivatives bring down the bank due to losses on the derivatives, then the FDIC fund would suffer.
Its not like derivatives are fdic insured anyway.
Of course the implication in the article is the FDIC is covering the notional amount of the derivatives which is just laughable.
My guess is the attempt to transfer the derivatives to the bank has nothing to do with risk but with income taxes. The bank probably has some loss carry forwards while Merrill has taxable income generated from the derivatives position.
The taxable income can be lessened if the bank can apply that income against its loss carry forward position.
Just a guess......
Posted on 10/20/11 at 10:31 am to kfizzle85
quote:
I really hate the notional reference, its an absolutely meaningless number. Its like saying Michael Ford ran for 300 feet in a win against X.
It's actually more akin to saying "offense X ran plays with a notional value of 3500 yards" while ignoring the fact that extreme success on any given play is very unlikely, which is why that same offense only actually GAINED 350 years.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 10:45 am to Tiger JJ
You can't throw "notional" into a simile about football man. 
Posted on 10/20/11 at 11:06 am to kfizzle85
Sure you can. In theory, any play run from your own 1 yard line has a "notional value" of 99 yards. Just like a $100M IR swap you and I enter into against each other at 4% has a notional of $100M. But in reality, the prospect of actually collecting those 99 yards/$100M (i.e. the full notional) is highly highly unlikely. Sure, the offense might run for 5 yards. And sure, rates might go up several hundred basis points. But that doesn't change the fact that the notionals wildly overstate the risk.
Posted on 10/20/11 at 11:16 am to Tiger JJ
Dude I'm not questioning your theory, it was a grammatical comment. 
Posted on 10/20/11 at 11:46 am to LSURussian
quote:
If the FDIC borrows from the Treasury, which it has several times in the past, it either raises the deposit insurance premium banks pay or assesses a special assessment which the banks pay to pay off the loan.
The last I checked $3.9B in the FDIC fund is inadequate to cover $6.5T in insured deposits no matter how it is spun. BAC has > $1T in deposits per the article. The FDIC fund currently is at .06% reserve ratio level when historically it has been 1.35%, no matter how you view it is a very weak form of insurance given the fact that even reputable banks are tired of paying for the sins of crooks/bad mgt at TBTF institutions. Last I saw the FDIC had a $100B line with the Treasury. Say BAC fails and member institutions can't/won't pay grossly inflated assessments or premiums, the the T line is eaten through, then the taxpayers are the last line of defense. Is BAC ever going to be weaned from the teats of FDIC member institutions and taxpayers?
FDIC stats
In case anyone didn't get the memo, I hate f'n BAC and everything it represents although I don't feel this way about the majority of the industry. WTF has this company done for past shareholders that they f'd over while collecting their bonuses?
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