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re: ABNB (Airbnb) raises IPO to $56-$60 per share

Posted on 12/10/20 at 11:48 am to
Posted by TulaneLSU
Member since Aug 2003
Member since Dec 2007
13608 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 11:48 am to
Friends,

Any predictions for what today's high for ABNB will reach? I will say 202.

Yours,
TulaneLSU
Posted by TTownTiger
Austin
Member since Oct 2007
5349 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:16 pm to
202 is a big number assuming it opens at 150-ish. That's a 35% increase immediately. Not impossible - Snowflake spiked 40% after opening before it started coming back down.

I didnt follow the Dash opening, but I dont think it was near that big of an initial rush. Maybe 10% increase after opening before dropping? Correct me if I am wrong on that.

Point is: Based off of previously hyped openings, I have no clue .
Posted by Tecade12
Member since Oct 2016
191 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:40 pm to
opened at $146
Posted by tigersint
Lafayette
Member since Nov 2012
3568 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:42 pm to
So is there any way for any of us to buy stocks at IPOs or do you have to basically be an institution to have any chance?
Posted by TulaneLSU
Member since Aug 2003
Member since Dec 2007
13608 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:43 pm to
Friend,

Got in at 148. We shall see how the day goes. Thanks to our Mizzou friend's advice, this ABNB stock is gravy. Up to $160 now. I'm out if it hits $200 today.

Edit: I got cold feet at 162 and sold all. Made a grand in fifteen minutes though. Time to visit GoFundMe.

Yours,
TulaneLSU
This post was edited on 12/10/20 at 12:51 pm
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86308 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:43 pm to
You can also have a lot of money.

But you wouldn't be able to sell for a while. Which typically, you wouldn't want to anyway.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24993 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:49 pm to
IPO pricing is whack. These firms leave millions (or billions) in fundraising on the table.
Posted by tigersint
Lafayette
Member since Nov 2012
3568 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:50 pm to
So is ABNB overvalued currently or are y’all still buying?
Posted by TulaneLSU
Member since Aug 2003
Member since Dec 2007
13608 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 12:52 pm to
Friend,

I bought at 148 and sold at 162 fifteen minutes later. I will buy some later when it dips, maybe a few weeks after covid puts more fear in the travel industry.

Yours,
TulaneLSU
Posted by Thecoz
Member since Dec 2018
3828 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 1:22 pm to
IPO through Fidelity requires a 100k entry I think...not sure how others do it..
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46365 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

I bought at 148 and sold at 162 fifteen minutes later.

Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2879 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 2:49 pm to
I bought it near its high oh well that is what you get for chasing a stock on the way up. Lets just hope its got more climbing to do in the next few days.
Posted by AUHighPlainsDrifter
South Carolina
Member since Sep 2017
3213 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

I bought it near its high oh well that is what you get for chasing a stock on the way up. Lets just hope its got more climbing to do in the next few days.


Don't feel too bad...I've missed more than a few opportunities by NOT chasing a stock on it's way up.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
23311 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 4:00 pm to
Airbnb is now worth more than Marriot, Hilton, and Hyatt combined...that doesn't seem possible. Good for them.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46365 posts
Posted on 12/10/20 at 4:03 pm to
Airbnb reported just $1.34 billion in revenue in the third quarter and generated $4.81 billion in revenue in 2019 prior to the pandemic.

In other words, the stock opened at a valuation of around 20.8 times normalized sales. Airbnb also reported a normalized net loss of $674 million in 2019.

Airbnb's Competition: For comparison, legacy hotel stock Marriott International Inc (NASDAQ: MAR) reported $5.37 billion in revenue and net income of $1.27 billion in 2019 prior to the pandemic.

The stock currently trades at a price-to-sales ratio of just 3 and has a market cap of only $41.2 billion.

Hilton Hotels Corporation (NYSE: HLT) reported $3.77 billion in revenue and $881 million in net income in 2019. The stock trades at 5 times sales and has a market cap of $29.1 billion.

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE: H) had $2.56 billion in revenue and $766 million in net profit in 2019. The stock trades at just 2.5 times sales with a $7.3-billion market cap.

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc (NYSE: WH) generated $1.43 billion in revenue and $157 in net income in 2019. The stock trades at 3.5 times sales and has a $5.3-billion market cap.

In other words, Airbnb generates $4.81 billion in normalized annual revenue at a net loss of $674 million and has a market cap of around $100 billion.

Marriott, Hilton, Hyatt and Wyndham generate $13.13 billion in normalized annual revenue at a net profit of $3.07 billion.

Those four hotel companies have a combined market cap of just $82.9 billion, far lower than Airbnb’s.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
23311 posts
Posted on 12/11/20 at 7:56 am to
Man did you copy and paste that or research it on your own? Certainly seems like they are overhyped I agree. I just don’t see that much growth for them to make investors happy. They aren’t going to just increase revenue or profit 10 times.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Member since Sep 2012
25418 posts
Posted on 12/11/20 at 8:12 am to
I know it's just anecdotal but man I hate airbnb. Have tried it three times and have had three awful experiences.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
23311 posts
Posted on 12/11/20 at 8:38 am to
quote:

know it's just anecdotal but man I hate airbnb. Have tried it three times and have had three awful experiences.




With the company or with the hosts? The company is horrible for customer service. Just bottom of the barrel. The app and their business model is great if everything you need is within their normal operations. But my issue is that their business of lodging in a 3rd party is not ‘normal’ very often.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Member since Sep 2012
25418 posts
Posted on 12/11/20 at 8:42 am to
quote:

With the company or with the hosts?


I would say once with the company and the other two times with the hosts.

Yeah the company customer service is basically non existent. I think at one point AirBNB was a good value compared to a hotel. Now whenever I have checked, it seems like they are pretty comparable and even if it's a little more, I would rather just go with the hotel as I know what I am getting.

These experiences are only based on AirBNB's in the US in a major city.
This post was edited on 12/11/20 at 8:45 am
Posted by Thecoz
Member since Dec 2018
3828 posts
Posted on 12/11/20 at 10:59 am to
Host can sell 15 percent of stock ASAP
If bought ipo through places like fidelity need to hold a few months (I think 90 days)

I will watch for the next few months.
Priced for perfection at this moment.
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