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50bp in the cards

Posted on 11/10/26 at 10:50 am
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
6711 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 10:50 am
Inflation hot fed has it on the table, seems like this is a never ending game
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
42508 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 10:55 am to
im not sure what you are referring to
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
6711 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 10:56 am to
Fed talked about if this cycle inflation was hotter, moving from 25bp to 50bp hikes
Posted by Suntiger
STG or BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
36888 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:24 am to
Inflation above target.
Last job numbers up.

Seems like a no brainer as rates should have been raised several months ago. Inflation is killing the middle class.
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
6711 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:30 am to
Middle class are also suffering from high rates as well. No winning
Posted by Mohican
Member since Nov 2012
7185 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 11:52 am to
So this is what a bear market feels like huh? Literally nothing but bad news after bad news. An all-out assault on markets.

Might as well start carpet-bombing Iran today.
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
9547 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:15 pm to
I’ve been predicting 50 for weeks.

The Fed is acting too slow (due to politics). Inflation still hot.

Midterms are over. The Fed is going in dry come December.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
89115 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:18 pm to
They should have raised last month
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
51918 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:20 pm to
higher interest rates will also bring some fricking sanity back to the equity market. Must less risk strategy taking and risky investments

slow down the gamification of the stock market by offering a legitimate alternative and far less risky option. Young people see nothing but a game, rigged against them

I know it sucks trying to buy a house but this is going to take some time to work through a sane market. In the interim you could be saving a good deal of money in a safe investment with real returns. Higher interest rates are a net positive to the middle class as they also make it easier to save
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 12:34 pm
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
16567 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:27 pm to
Dam that covid shutdown really screwed the whole world not just the U.S. The funny thing is i had covid last week and already feeling better. I'd say looking back maybe we should have taken a little longer to frick out about a basic cold. Feel like the world as we knew it will never be the same again. Well the prices on most everything anyway.
This post was edited on 11/10/26 at 12:30 pm
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
6711 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:28 pm to
Viruses mutate baw, your old vaccine or previous Covid changed the new one
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
51918 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

I'd say looking back maybe we should have taken a little longer to frick out about a basic cold. Feel like the world as we knew it will never be the same again. Well the prices on most everything anyway.
100% agree. This country in particular went insane. Everyone handled it poorly. Does not bode well for the next crisis
Posted by SulphursFinest
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2015
12472 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:41 pm to
Does this mean I’m likely not buying a bigger house in two years?
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
6711 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 12:44 pm to
This means you’re losing the house in 2 years with adjustable rates
Posted by Walter White Jr
Member since Aug 2021
754 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 1:35 pm to
I’m looking to buy a new house in 12-14 months for my growing family. Oof
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
23271 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Everyone handled it poorly.

Democrats handled it masterfully.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
16567 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

This means you’re losing the house in 2 years with adjustable rates

It's funny you mention this because my 2.25% 30 year fixed is the only thing keeping me going.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
21138 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Dam that covid shutdown really screwed the whole world not just the U.S.


It was the $2T that the govt dumped into the economy (and are still dumping) on top of artificially low interest rates since 2008 that screwed everything up.

Banks are fricked. They’re holding treasuries that are paying zilch and keep going down in value as rates climb. Why keep money with BOA at 0.5% when my money market is paying close to 4% on cash?
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
51918 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

It was the $2T that the govt dumped into the economy
yes and it will take time to move all that money thru the economy. And deal with its inflationary pressures. And deal with the mind boggling capital expenditure for the AI buildout. And deal with the eye watering deficit left behind. Higher interest rates create a safe haven, you and I can lend our cash out for guaranteed returns that are significant. It’s a big deal

We have got to end this war, stabilize the oil markets and global trade partnerships and lower price inflation. And it’s got to be done now. This administration has been a disaster for the American economy no matter what “Biden did”
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
9547 posts
Posted on 11/10/26 at 4:28 pm to
If history repeats itself, the Fed will come down with the hammer right when oil prices plummet due to the end of the conflict in Hormuz. Also, commodity prices - such as grains, milk, pork, lumber - are falling hard (will also help cool the CPI).

What will happen is the Fed will overshoot its attempt to bring down inflation, and we could drop into the deflation zone.

Stay tuned.
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