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re: West Virginia 14-6 in games decided by 2 runs or less

Posted on 6/5/25 at 6:57 pm to
Posted by beauchristopher
Member since Jan 2008
69793 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 6:57 pm to
quote:

Yep, I said this when they were playing last weekend.


Were you also saying LSU should want DBU over Little Rock?

Regardless who it is all the teams left can be a threat.
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3905 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

I would rather have played Clemson


I don’t necessarily disagree with you on that point, but it wouldn’t be based on this particular stat. Clemson was 19-4 in games decided by 2 runs or less. If anything, this suggests WVU had a little luck compiling the record they did, much like Clemson did before it caught up with them.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
38650 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 7:18 pm to
LSU is 12-7 in those games. 6 of the losses to SEC teams and 9 of the wins vs SEC teams.

So there is not a great difference there.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
6346 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 8:04 pm to
You guys are ridiculous....all the "I know they didn't play a tough schedule" BUT

They didn't. They are a good team. They are not an elite team. They can win, but LSU will have to pitch badly or hit badly, or both.

Quit trying to make this anything else. LSU is the biggest favorite to advance to Omaha. LSU is more talented and at home. LSU hasn't lost a series all year at home. LSU SHOULD win.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
80629 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

Quit trying to make this anything else. LSU is the biggest favorite to advance to Omaha. LSU is more talented and at home. LSU hasn't lost a series all year at home. LSU SHOULD win.

Mr know it all over here
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
6346 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 8:16 pm to
Yeah.....I know it all. I know that LSU is more talented, and is at home where they haven't lost all year, and have two dominant pitchers.

I also know that any team can win, and that includes WV. LSU is the biggest favorite for a reason. That's all I know.
Posted by Tigerpride18
Lakewood Colorado
Member since Sep 2017
31125 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 8:47 pm to
we've only got one loss when leading going into the 8th inning. I think it was just being up but it may have been 2 runs or more
Posted by ProudTigerTom
Lake Charles
Member since Oct 2016
176 posts
Posted on 6/5/25 at 9:08 pm to
"So in games where LSU scores more than 3 runs over what their opponent scores..... LSU wins."

THIS
Posted by GruntbyAssociation
Member since Jul 2013
7182 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 7:46 am to
quote:

Were you also saying LSU should want DBU over Little Rock?


You don’t want to play the hot team. WV is scorching right now. It’s like UNC last year when we played them. Emphasis on hot team right now. People on here purely looking at statistics don’t know baseball.
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
6567 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 7:56 am to
quote:

You don’t want to play the hot team. WV is scorching right now. It’s like UNC last year when we played them. Emphasis on hot team right now. People on here purely looking at statistics don’t know baseball.

Isn’t every or most teams in supers hot? They did win a regional after all.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
2323 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 8:07 am to
I'm just saying he hasn't been built up to throw 109 pitches in a game
__________

How so?
Posted by rynelsu
georgia
Member since Aug 2007
9 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 8:14 am to
You are as hot as your next pitcher’s start. I like the chances of our next 2 starts over theirs
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
6346 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 8:31 am to
Yeah, it is like UNC last year, except for the talent levels of each team. Damn guys.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
6346 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 8:33 am to
You damn sure aren't going to play a slumping team fresh out of a Regional win....lol
This post was edited on 6/6/25 at 8:34 am
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26018 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 9:04 am to
quote:

we've only got one loss when leading going into the 8th inning.


Also we are 38-2 when leading after 6.

Another stat I found interesting for this weekend: we are 31-4 when our opponent fails to hit a homerun. WV only has 2 homeruns over their last 6 games. They average a hair under 1 per game.

We are 28-4 when we make 0 errors in the game. We are 19-2 when our opponent makes 2+ errors.

Our magic number in runs scored is 6.
When we score at least 6 runs we are 37-1.
When we score less than 6 runs we are 9-14.
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3905 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 9:11 am to
quote:

WV is scorching right now.


4-3 and 13-12 wins over Kentucky is scorching? They had a good road win over Clemson in the regional, but Clemson also lost 16-4 to Kentucky, so how much was WVU and how much was Clemson playing poorly? Obviously they aren’t in a slump winning the regional, but I wouldn’t say they are scorching either. I would put their performance on the low end of the regional winners. Prior to regionals, they were 2-6 over their last 8 games.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
30467 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 9:14 am to
quote:

They aren't beating Anderson or Eyanson.

LSU*
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
76147 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 9:28 am to
quote:

Our magic number in runs scored is 6. When we score at least 6 runs we are 37-1. When we score less than 6 runs we are 9-14.


39-2 when we score 5 or more runs.

2-1 when scoring 5

the record doesn’t start to tip the other way till we get 4.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26018 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 9:48 am to
quote:

39-2 when we score 5 or more runs.

2-1 when scoring 5

the record doesn’t start to tip the other way till we get 4.


Thanks for that. The breakdown on the stat sheet started with 6 runs.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
76147 posts
Posted on 6/6/25 at 9:53 am to
0 Runs 0-1
1 Run 0-1
2 Runs 3-3
3 Runs 1-2
4 Runs 3-6
5 Runs 2-1
6 Runs 2-0
7 Runs 4-1
8 Runs 5-0
9 Runs 0-0
10+ Runs 26-0

we are also 38-5 when opposing teams score 5 or less.

5-3 when they score 6

3-7 when they score 7 or more.



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