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re: Throwing off Game 1 is not a new concept.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 1:19 pm to DeathValley85
Posted on 5/28/25 at 1:19 pm to DeathValley85
Whoever the guy was who first came up with the term "throwing off" or "pitching off" has to be a pretty smug little fella this time of year.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 1:26 pm to Alt26
And won the whole dam shiboozal
Posted on 5/28/25 at 2:37 pm to JimTiger72
quote:
Just because we did it in 2023 doesn’t mean we have to do it again
Yea I mean why would Jay follow that formula? Nothing good came from that season…… oh wait.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 2:42 pm to DeathValley85
I don’t think either decision is bad. If you throw 1a or 1b against UALR, and they go deep into the game, it’s a matter of saving a bullpen. You then have all arms available for the winners game bracket. You assume Eyanson could go 7+ against DBU, then you have your whole bullpen for Game 3 and the if necessary game.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 2:45 pm to DeathValley85
If your top two pitchers are truly 1A and 1B with little-to-no performance drop off between them, then I'd hold the best lefty/righty lineup matchup for probable game 2, which would be a much more difficult game (Dallas Baptist).
Not sure what the best matchup is from these two pitchers for DBU, but that's the strategy I'd take.
ETA:
If you have a clear #1 with a fairly big dropoff to #2, I throw them first to get in the winners bracket.
Not sure what the best matchup is from these two pitchers for DBU, but that's the strategy I'd take.
ETA:
If you have a clear #1 with a fairly big dropoff to #2, I throw them first to get in the winners bracket.
This post was edited on 5/28/25 at 2:46 pm
Posted on 5/28/25 at 2:54 pm to PurpNGold1985
quote:
Why wouldn’t you throw an ace when our bats have scored like no runs the last 2 games against SEC competition.
Who is the ace? I know who will be a higher draft pick, but is Anderson really out-performing Eyanson to the point he's our clear ace?
(couldn't find league only stats, so this is all games)
Anderson -
W/L: 8-1
ERA: 3.54
RA9: 3.64
WHIP: 1.079
HR: 14
SO9: 14.7
BB9: 2.4
SO/W: 6.04
IP/PGS: 5.9 (innings pitched per game started)
Eyanson -
W/L: 9-2
ERA: 2.77
RA9: 3.09
WHIP: 1.150
HR: 4
SO9: 13.3
BB9: 3.3
SO/W: 4.03
IP/PGS: 6.01
Anderson has better strikeout/walk numbers, but Eyanson can grind through innings and has allowed fewer runs and home runs.
Again, I would figure out who matches up best against Dallas Baptist lefty/righty lineup splits, and pitch the other guy in game 1.
Not a hill I'll die on though, Jay obviously knows what is best.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 3:02 pm to DeathValley85
Since winning against Little Rock seems to be all but a foregone conclusion if I was Jay I would throw whichever one of our aces he feels has the best chance of pitching a complete game which is probably Anderson. While getting into and staying in the winners side of the bracket is important and I feel confident either one of our aces is more than a match for whoever we get game 2 the potential to save pitching through game 1 provides an opportunity for a nice little insurance policy if game 2 doesn't go our way for whatever reason.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 3:02 pm to DeathValley85
It will be Eyanson against UALR imo.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 3:38 pm to DeathValley85
Doesn’t matter who we pitch. If this team can’t hit the ball or even come close to it it’s very hard to win scoring 0 runs on 2 hits.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 3:45 pm to im4LSU
quote:
Yea I mean why would Jay follow that formula? Nothing good came from that season…… oh wait.
Suboptimal decisions have positive outcomes all the time
Posted on 5/28/25 at 3:50 pm to Chad504boy
So give us your pitching game plan since you are so smart and know what’s best over a national champion coach.
Dumbass
Dumbass
Posted on 5/28/25 at 3:51 pm to honeybadger07
So if LSU goes out in the bottom of the 1st and puts up a 10 spot do you just throw your mid week guys after AE/Kade throw 1 inning?
Posted on 5/28/25 at 4:03 pm to DeathValley85
If we had a a better 3rd. Everyone so inconsistent
Posted on 5/28/25 at 4:07 pm to DeathValley85
It’s not that it’s the only viable option. Jay has shown his philosophy on the matter. Win game 1 at all cost. That means pitching your Ace! Maybe he will do something different this year but I’m not holding my breath.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 4:52 pm to honeybadger07
Not use Kade against the shitty 4 seed that lsu has no business losing to
This post was edited on 5/28/25 at 4:54 pm
Posted on 5/28/25 at 6:01 pm to JimTiger72
I'll trust Jay not some buffoon on a message board.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 6:25 pm to Fun Bunch
The best situation when you're playing like the 230th ranked team, then likely the team with 14th highest CWS title odds DBU, higher than a handful of 1 seed CWS title odds, the very highest 2 seed CWS title odds, is that you pitch your better ones 2nd and 3rd game, and not 1st.
In the 0.1% chance lose game 1, I'd still stand behind JJ because:
230th best team in CB
vs
14th best team in CB
It's called being smart.
LSU drew one of the worst regionals, if not the worst, in my opinion. 6th seed should play 27th best team, not 14th. 33-6=27.
In the 0.1% chance lose game 1, I'd still stand behind JJ because:
230th best team in CB
vs
14th best team in CB
It's called being smart.
LSU drew one of the worst regionals, if not the worst, in my opinion. 6th seed should play 27th best team, not 14th. 33-6=27.
This post was edited on 5/28/25 at 6:29 pm
Posted on 5/28/25 at 6:32 pm to Saunson69
quote:
LSU drew one of the worst regionals, if not the worst, in my opinion. 6th seed should play 27th best team, not 14th. 33-6=27.
after 16, they don’t really rank them like that.
never have.
go look at the 3 & 4 seeds Vandy drew as the #1 overall seed.
brutal compared to what we got.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 6:34 pm to Sailin Tiger
You want to waste the #3 draft pick against a team that was ranked 230th in rankings, but pitch a worse pitcher against a team that has the 14th highest odds to win the CWS? and then an even worse pitcher to likely play again the 14th highest CWS title odds team again?
That 14th highest CWS title odds is seen by the smartest book setters as more likely to win the CWS than a handful of 1 seeds and has the best odds of any 2 seed, and we save our worst starting pitchers for them?
You save your pitchers for the 14th highest CWS title odds, and you pitch your 3rd vs the 230th ranked UALR.
In the 0.1% chance we lose, then that's how it plays out. Because there's a whole hell of a lot higher chance than 0.1% chance that you lose with your 2nd and 3rd vs DBU, more. Exponentially higher than 0.1%.
When you're looking at 0.1% chance of loss vs maybe 30-35% chance loss. You go with your aces on the 30-35% chance of loss.
That 14th highest CWS title odds is seen by the smartest book setters as more likely to win the CWS than a handful of 1 seeds and has the best odds of any 2 seed, and we save our worst starting pitchers for them?
You save your pitchers for the 14th highest CWS title odds, and you pitch your 3rd vs the 230th ranked UALR.
In the 0.1% chance we lose, then that's how it plays out. Because there's a whole hell of a lot higher chance than 0.1% chance that you lose with your 2nd and 3rd vs DBU, more. Exponentially higher than 0.1%.
When you're looking at 0.1% chance of loss vs maybe 30-35% chance loss. You go with your aces on the 30-35% chance of loss.
This post was edited on 5/28/25 at 6:37 pm
Posted on 5/28/25 at 6:42 pm to Saunson69
quote:
Because there's a whole hell of a lot higher chance than 0.1% chance that you lose with your 2nd and 3rd vs DBU, more. Exponentially higher than 0.1%.
agreed it’s higher than 0.1%
but we’ve already beat them in their home town throwing midweek guys.
now we’re most likely playing them at The Box, at night, with either Anderson or Eyanson on Saturday.
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