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This is what my model thinks of LSU's schedule

Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:55 am
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
261 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:55 am
This will change week to week

(MODEL column)
Posted by im4LSU
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2004
34724 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:57 am to
You’re going to get downloaded for this…
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
47621 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:59 am to
Did you seed your model with the history of SEC ref calls against LSU?

Think things like Vadal Alexander pulling the Bama guy off the pile calls.
This post was edited on 9/11/26 at 8:00 am
Posted by ROPO
Member since Jul 2016
3475 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:01 am to
Not asking for the secret sauce but what does your model take into account?
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
261 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:09 am to
For week 1 predictions, it uses coach ratings (which is its own model that rates coaches going back to 1870 - head coach, OD, and DC), player ratings from the previous year (which is also its own model), and recruiting rankings. By week 5-6, these factors are almost completely diluted and it's just based on results from the current season.

The entire purpose of the model to predict spreads/scores - that's it.
This post was edited on 9/11/26 at 8:10 am
Posted by Jetstream 2000
Member since Jan 2021
304 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:19 am to
Cool model. Have you found it to be fairly useful?
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
261 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:20 am to
quote:

You’re going to get downloaded for this…

I hope it does get downloaded. Go to fanbaseu.com
Posted by GregMaddux
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2011
18806 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:21 am to
Posted by Holy Tiger
Member since Jan 2026
151 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:22 am to
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
261 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:35 am to
Yes. If you go to the site, go to The Lab, you can see past game predictions compared to Vegas.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
26179 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:51 am to
If we can get through Ole Miss and A&M unscathed it’s going to be a hell of a season
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
36574 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:15 am to
The model shows Rice with really high odds of covering this weekend against ND. I'll be following up on that one.
Posted by brewhan davey
Audubon Place
Member since Sep 2010
33416 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:22 am to
Posted by BrianKellysbuyout
Member since Nov 2025
2197 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:24 am to
Go on ahead and lock me in with a 10 point Bama win. I'll take that right now.
Posted by Deadmanshand
Member since Jun 2026
319 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:28 am to
People are giving Ole Miss too much credit. LSU will beat them by at least 3 scores. They barely beat a bad LSU last year, and now they have inferior coaching and roster.
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
261 posts
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:48 am to
The model really likes Texas right now. But again, it's heavily based on roster at the moment. This will quickly dilute over the next couple weeks and ratings will be based more on results.
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