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This is what my model thinks of LSU's schedule
Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:55 am
Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:55 am
This will change week to week
(MODEL column)

(MODEL column)

Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:57 am to MilkJug
You’re going to get downloaded for this…
Posted on 9/11/26 at 7:59 am to MilkJug
Did you seed your model with the history of SEC ref calls against LSU?
Think things like Vadal Alexander pulling the Bama guy off the pile calls.
Think things like Vadal Alexander pulling the Bama guy off the pile calls.
This post was edited on 9/11/26 at 8:00 am
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:01 am to MilkJug
Not asking for the secret sauce but what does your model take into account?
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:09 am to ROPO
For week 1 predictions, it uses coach ratings (which is its own model that rates coaches going back to 1870 - head coach, OD, and DC), player ratings from the previous year (which is also its own model), and recruiting rankings. By week 5-6, these factors are almost completely diluted and it's just based on results from the current season.
The entire purpose of the model to predict spreads/scores - that's it.
The entire purpose of the model to predict spreads/scores - that's it.
This post was edited on 9/11/26 at 8:10 am
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:19 am to MilkJug
Cool model. Have you found it to be fairly useful?
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:20 am to im4LSU
quote:
You’re going to get downloaded for this…
I hope it does get downloaded. Go to fanbaseu.com
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:35 am to Jetstream 2000
Yes. If you go to the site, go to The Lab, you can see past game predictions compared to Vegas.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 8:51 am to MilkJug
If we can get through Ole Miss and A&M unscathed it’s going to be a hell of a season
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:15 am to MilkJug
The model shows Rice with really high odds of covering this weekend against ND. I'll be following up on that one.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:24 am to MilkJug
Go on ahead and lock me in with a 10 point Bama win. I'll take that right now.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:28 am to MilkJug
People are giving Ole Miss too much credit. LSU will beat them by at least 3 scores. They barely beat a bad LSU last year, and now they have inferior coaching and roster.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 9:48 am to Deadmanshand
The model really likes Texas right now. But again, it's heavily based on roster at the moment. This will quickly dilute over the next couple weeks and ratings will be based more on results.

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