re: There’s no negative to not starting Skenes

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Why do you want to limit Skenes innings?

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I want to take a chance of not needing him tomorrow at all so we have him for game 1.

If you’re going to start him and make him unavailable for the champ series, then let the beginning of the game tomorrow play our first.

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This is kinda BS. Skenes will be Skenes whether he starts or comes in after an inning or two.

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Tell me you know nothing about pitching at the highest levels without telling me you know nothing about pitching at the highest levels

Skenes is a machine based on precision, fine tuning, routine, and rhythm. You don’t get dominance like that without structure and routine. Even on 5 days rest tomorrow his routine is still out of balance. He has to start

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I’ll say what I said already. If Skenes pitches 5+ innings tomorrow, I think we win. Whether that’s 1-5, 2-6, 3-7, etc, we win.

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Do you just not understand probabilities and risk? There is a real difference between being 60% likely to win a game and being 80% likely to win a game. So if you are confident we win if Skenes pitches 5 innings, but more confident that we win if he starts and pitches the whole game, then there is an actual negative to not starting him.

There is also a difference between not having any negative consequence and being a good idea. Lots of good ideas have negative consequences (especially potential ones) which happen to be outweighed by the good consequences. But it is extremely rare to find a proposition with "NO negatives". An increased risk of losing, even a slight or remote one, is still a negative consequence to not starting Skenes. You obviously seem to be claiming that you think it would be a good idea, and you could potentially be right (you aren't). But that still wouldn't mean that there are no negatives to not starting him. Because there clearly and obviously are.

Skenes starts tomorrow and we get to final. If we take even 1 of 2 over the weekend, you can bet Skenes could be the deciding factor in the tie break on 4 days rest. Book it!

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So his routine is already off, but starting will somehow make tbat better?

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No silly it just won’t make it WORSE like bringing him in off the bench would. You do understand routine and mechanics both mental and physical and how they affect precision right?

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If we take even 1 of 2 over the weekend, you can bet Skenes could be the deciding factor in the tie break on 4 days rest. Book it!

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This. Just have to win one against UF with Floyd/Ack/Hurd then Skenes can finish them game 3.

You don't frick around here, you start your ace.

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If we don't start Skenes then we are hamstringing ourselves and making it harder to win a Championship. It makes zero sense not to pitch him if his arm is fresh on short rest. And if he is the athlete we know he is, then its ready and you work him hard for a week and a half long period at the end of the season.

I'll guarantee he wants to pitch tomorrow. Its the reason he chose LSU over other schools. It would be unfair to what is arguably the best pitcher in LSU history to not let him pitch when he is ready and its an elimination game.

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Hence why I said you don't frick around and you start him.

That would be a monumental failure of a decision that would be remembered forever. If you lost and missed the title series with skenes on the bench it would be unforgivable. Please stop.

No. In your situation the starter would have to be on too short a leash. When do you pull him? First walk? First run? 2 out 3 run homer after an otherwise decent pitching 1st inning but a couple guys got on base?

Putting skenes out there pits a lot of pressure on wake. If we go up early with skenes dealing on the mound I like the odds of them falling apart in desperation.

Well be fine for Florida and we only have to win 1 of the first 2 to get to skenes pitching in game 3. We have to win tonight to even have that chance.