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The do we have talent or not argument can be explained simply

Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:14 am
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:14 am
We have elite talent in some areas - back 7 of the defense for instance is as elite as anyone in the country

What we lack is elite depth. When Devin White or Jacob Phillips goes out the defense takes a big hit. Those guys are elite. The guys behind them are good and have a chance at being elite next year with improvement but they aren't seasoned yet.

The way to become a truly dominant program is to have elite depth. We probably easily win the UF and TAMU games if the drop off from our starters to backups was minimal. But we don't have guys of that caliber just sitting on a shelf somewhere. It hurts to lose guys like Fehoko and Fulton because we lack elite depth.

This can only be established through better recruiting and better player development.

The offensive side of the ball is another story. I think we have above average talent on offense that just wasn't seasoned this year. If the returning guys can make strides we'll have some elite talent on offense as well.



Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
93678 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:17 am to
quote:

The way to become a truly dominant program is to have elite depth. We probably easily win the UF and TAMU games if the drop off from our starters to backups was minimal.

I'm not arguing, but asking honestly. Do you believe A&M or Florida has that elite depth? Or am I misinterpreting your point there? (Which is highly possible)

Eta: dumbass grammar
This post was edited on 11/30/18 at 10:18 am
Posted by Fonzarelli
Dallas
Member since Jan 2015
3972 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:18 am to
Stopping the exodus of juniors who aren't ready to go pro probably helps with depth
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
45118 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:19 am to
Fehoko is not elite. He is a good college player but far from elite
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8428 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:20 am to
quote:

I'm not arguing, but asking honestly. Do you believe A&M or Florida has that elite depth? Or am I misinterpreting your point there? (Which is highly possible)


A&M and Florida don't, which is why we played coin flip games on the road with them.

Bama does, which is why they've consistently beaten us and other programs over the last 8 years.
Posted by tiger nutz
Madison
Member since Oct 2005
911 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:22 am to
I agree with you that we do have some elite talent.

Here is my take on it. If you watched the LSU vs Bama game and didn't see a big difference in talent at every position on the field except the defensive backfield then you are blind. Florida, Auburn and Texas A&M all have equal talent to LSU and all 3 of those games were toss ups. I see Florida, LSU & A&M all getting better in the next few years with Auburn staying about the same. MS State was pretty close talent wise to us this year but I don't see that staying that way. I predict a decline at Moo St with the new coaching staff. Georgia had more talent than us this year and we upset them.

If you can't see any of this then take your Tiger shades off and come back to reality. I think this coaching staff will recruit better than the last coaching staff but let's see if they can put it together and make a run. The next 2 to 3 years should tell us what we need to know and if it doesn't improve then we make a change but give these guys a chance before throwing them under the bus.
This post was edited on 11/30/18 at 10:25 am
Posted by Chimlim
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jul 2005
17712 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:24 am to
quote:

Stopping the exodus of juniors who aren't ready to go pro probably helps with depth


This is a huge part. Imagine how great our defense would be next year if Greedy Williams and Devin White return. We really need to start by limiting juniors leaving early.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Stopping the exodus of juniors who aren't ready to go pro probably helps with depth



Absolutely
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Fehoko is not elite. He is a good college player but far from elite


Right. My point though is you still need depth and at the very worst he provides that. When you lose a guy like that and you don't have elite depth it will hurt you.
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
9345 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:28 am to
quote:

I'm not arguing, but asking honestly. Do you believe A&M or Florida has that elite depth?

I posted this in another thread, but it’s relevant here as well: Since 2012, LSU averages a #7 class. Keep in mind that these classes have been much better defensively than offensively.

UF averages a #10 class, LSU is 4-3 against them. A&M averages a #12 class. LSU is 6-1 against them (not counting the Cotton Bowl because that was a previous recruiting class).

So the averages make sense to me. The closer those average recruiting rankings get, the more games will be toss-ups. People seem to think that the staff’s #1 job is to win all of your toss-up games. That may be true in the NFL where there’s much more talent parity. But in college the staff’s #1 job is to minimize toss-up games through recruiting.
Posted by CalTiger53
California
Member since Oct 2011
9036 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:29 am to
Amen, top 5 recruiting classes every year which address all positions of needs is the only solution.
This post was edited on 11/30/18 at 11:19 am
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22154 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 10:46 am to
quote:

The guys behind them are good and have a chance at being elite next year with improvement but they aren't seasoned yet.


Yea, no team in the country except for maybe Alabama (and even then, only at some positions) have seasoned elite players sitting behind other seasoned elite players. This is silly.
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
93678 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:05 am to
Yeah, I don't necessarily agree 100%, but at least the OP is written in a way that presents a discussion and not an immediate argument or attack. I think it's a solid post.
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
16420 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:09 am to
There wasn't a huge drop off in the 1st half vs Bama when Queen was in for Devin. Just sayin.'
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43811 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:12 am to
Are you under the impression that multiple schools have elite talent backing up elite talent? That's the case for one, MAYBE two, programs.

This was dumb.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:13 am to
quote:


A&M and Florida don't, which is why we played coin flip games on the road with them.

Bama does, which is why they've consistently beaten us and other programs over the last 8 years.



That's really it in a nutshell
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:16 am to
quote:


This is a huge part. Imagine how great our defense would be next year if Greedy Williams and Devin White return. We really need to start by limiting juniors leaving early.



Obviously not what he's talking about

Think undrafted Kevin Tolliver could have helped our defensive depth this year? Those are the guys we're talking about.

With our offensive line injuries and problems at RT do you think undrafted Toby Weathersby would have helped?

If those 2 undrafted guys come back it might be an 11-1 season
Posted by AshLSU
Member since Nov 2015
12868 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:16 am to
How many SEC teams have multiple first, second, or even third round NFL draft players on their starting Oline?
Posted by AshLSU
Member since Nov 2015
12868 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Amen, top 5 recruiting classes every year which address all positions of needs is only solution.



You’re not going to get this at LSU. There is only 1 place where it has happened over a significant length of time. That should tell you (and the NCAA) all it needs to know about what is really going on at said program.

We would get bailed by the NCAA if we used those same tactics to land that kind of recruiting class every year.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2004
7178 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 11:19 am to
Really surprised to see so many downvotes in response to what appears to me to be a pretty cogent breakdown of where LSU stands talent-wise. As I basically agree with the OP, I will just add a few observations:

1. The OP is not saying our talent sucks. Far from it! But the question is how close we are to being elite and I think the OP has it about right. And by the way, we're a lot close than most. We have a team that could win roughly half its games or more against all but about 2 or 3 teams on a neutral field while also being subject to close losses against good but not great teams, particularly if on the road.

2. I don't think the OP, at least in the post, is seeking to criticize the coaches or nominate them for the College Football Hall of Fame. Instead, he's addressing talent. This may seem obvious to many but I think some on this board take any discussion of issues with talent as necessarily having a subtext that is either pro or anti-Orgeron.

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