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Message
1
Posted on 2/19/25 at 1:54 pm to lsusteve1
quote:We lost to Arkansas after the Ole Miss loss.
ain't a streak until you win 3 in a row.
That Ole Miss loss was inexcusable
Posted on 2/19/25 at 3:07 pm to drizztiger
quote:
We lost to Arkansas after the Ole Miss loss.
Two winnable games would have cemented post-season play(NIT MInimum) and NCAAT bubble consideration with the two recent wins.
There is no way they beat a red-hot Florida team but I will still irrationally hope.
Posted on 2/19/25 at 3:22 pm to mdomingue
quote:I was only commenting on the streak being 3 games and posters bringing up Ole Miss loss. Seems the Arky loss just vanished from memory.
Two winnable games would have cemented post-season play(NIT MInimum) and NCAAT bubble consideration with the two recent wins.
There is no way they beat a red-hot Florida team but I will still irrationally hope.
We are no where close to the NCAAT bubble. I'm glad we beat OU and USCe, but they are 3-23 in the SEC. However, if the SEC can get enough teams in, then we can make the NIT as one of the two auto-qualifiers. USCe is out of the running imo, so we need 13 SEC in the NCAAT for us to be guaranteed an NIT bid - or 12 teams and finish above USCe and probably OU being our next best chance. Also means we're likely going to have to pull off an upset in these last 5 games.
I don't see us getting an at-large to anything. Win the SECT and we're the NCAAT auto-qualifier. Finish in top 2 of SEC standings behind the NCAAT teams and we're NIT auto-qualifier.
Posted on 2/19/25 at 3:39 pm to drizztiger
quote:
We are no where close to the NCAAT bubble. I'm glad we beat OU and USCe, but they are 3-23 in the SEC.
I was saying if we had won those two games and were now a 5 win SEC team. we would be in the bubble conversation but the brutal end stretch of the season would probably end that hope but we would be positioned for an NIT autoQ.
quote:
finish above USCe and probably OU being our next best chance.
Yeah but that is predicated on 12 SEC teams getting in. Not sure that will happen, though I do understand it is not out of the realm of possibilities.
quote:
Also means we're likely going to have to pull off an upset in these last 5 games.
Yeah, that is what we need to make the NIT almost a done desl. I don't see who that would be unless a team just comes out flat for some reason.
quote:
I don't see us getting an at-large to anything.
I don't know if we should get an at-large NIT invitation but the NIT is often about matchups and ticket sales so I am never sure what to expect for NIT at-large invitations.
I would love a streak, but #2 Florida seems like an inauspicious opponent for that purpose.
Posted on 2/19/25 at 3:40 pm to drizztiger
quote:
We are no where close to the NCAAT bubble
Right now? No. Nowhere close.
But let's have a wild discussion for the sake of having a wild discussion. While the chances of Margot Robbie standing my bedroom, naked, like on the Wolf of Wall Street, are higher (maybe significantly), let's say LSU beats Florida and Tennessee. Or maybe beats Tennessee and Kentucky. Or even Florida, Miss. St. and A&M. The would still finish well below .500 in SEC play. But if you look at the current Bracketologies, Arkansas (4-8 in SEC) and Georgia (4-9 in SEC) are on the bubble. Georgia has 2 Q1 wins (St. John's and Kentucky). Arkansas has three (Michigan, at Kentucky, at Texas). LSU has 1 (at OU) but is only one spot away from having two (K-State is 76th in the current NET with winnable games left on the schedule).
LSU has the Nos: 4, 5, 26, 14, 16 NET ranked teams left on their schedule. All Q1 games. Wining just a few of those would jump LSU ahead of a lot of teams in the NCAAT conversation. Again, incredibly unlikely they win 1, let alone multiple games in that stretch. But the absurd strength of the SEC has made teams even at the bottom of the league standings potential "bubble" teams.
Posted on 2/19/25 at 6:25 pm to Alt26
quote:
Wining just a few of those
I'll be wining and dining IF that happens
Posted on 2/19/25 at 8:17 pm to Alt26
quote:
But if you look at the current Bracketologies, Arkansas (4-8 in SEC) and Georgia (4-9 in SEC) are on the bubble. Georgia has 2 Q1 wins (St. John's and Kentucky). Arkansas has three (Michigan, at Kentucky, at Texas). LSU has 1 (at OU) but is only one spot away from having two (K-State is 76th in the current NET with winnable games left on the schedule). LSU has the Nos: 4, 5, 26, 14, 16 NET ranked teams left on their schedule. All Q1 games. Wining just a few of those would jump LSU ahead of a lot of teams in the NCAAT conversation. Again, incredibly unlikely they win 1, let alone multiple games in that stretch. But the absurd strength of the SEC has made teams even at the bottom of the league standings potential "bubble" teams.
I’ve been saying for weeks that a 6 win SEC team would make the tournament. Most mocked that idea. Most thought you had to get to at least 8 wins. The strength of schedule is being recognized. Winning 6 games in this league, thus not achieving 20 wins, is like winning 12 in most leagues, with well over 20 wins. I think LSU will win one of the remaining games and end up 4-14. In nearly any other league, they would’ve been had a winning record.
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