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re: LSU's "Golden Nugget" BIG Games Lines OUT

Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:30 pm to
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
61751 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

very interesting that UGA is the closest team that is favored to beat us. even Vegas knows they are losers.


Not really since it is a LSU home game.
Posted by Xenophon
Aspen
Member since Feb 2006
42593 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:32 pm to
wasnt LSU favored in every game last year?
Posted by JW
Los Angeles
Member since Jul 2004
5155 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:09 pm to
yes ... from what i recall

notable games

-12.5 vs va tech
- 6 vs Fla ?
- 16.5 vs miss st
- 7 vs bama
- 7 vs UK
- 9.5 vs Auburn (that may be wrong)
- 7 vs UT
- 4 vs tOSU
- 16.5 vs USC
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60684 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:47 pm to
quote:

Stanford was a 41 point underdog to $C, so maybe.


I'd be willing to bet (pun intended) that there was a hellova lot more money bet on USC -41, than on Stanford +41
Posted by TrojaninLasVegas
Las Vegas
Member since Aug 2005
1262 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:54 pm to
quote:

I'd be willing to bet that there was a helluva lot more money bet on USC -41 than on Stanford +41..


Actually, I believe the line opened @ USC -43. That means the money came in pretty heavy on Stanford for the line to move two whole points. That is a big move here in Vegas. The line adjusts based on the betting, so there is seldom a game where there is that great a disparity on betting a point spread.
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
61866 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 12:08 am to
Looks like I'll be making some money on LSU this year.
Posted by Six3
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
610 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 8:39 am to
LSU +3 vs South Carolina looks very TRAPPY... as you guys have shown, WHO WOULDNT TAKE LSU and the POINTS?

Lines like that scare me. Guess we'll see how that number will shape up as that game nears. But if it is still around that number, TRED LIGHTLY!

The Alabama line makes alot of sense... Vegas feels LSU will win, so they make the moneyline, not the spread, UNATTRACTIVE, so bettors wont pay the all that juice to have LSU just win and not cover.
This post was edited on 8/4/08 at 8:39 am
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
61866 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 8:40 am to
quote:

LSU +3 vs South Carolina looks very TRAPPY... as you guys have shown, WHO WOULDNT TAKE LSU and the POINTS?


Considering I predict LSU to lose that game, classic trap game in the same exact mold as Kentucky last year, I'd have to tease it to bet that one. LSU +9 is attractive though.
Posted by lsurulz1515
Member since Mar 2007
7822 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 9:25 am to
LSU
Auburn -3.5

LSU
Florida -10

LSU
South Carolina -3

Georgia -2.5
LSU

Alabama
LSU -7.5

LSU -7
Arkansas
This post was edited on 8/4/08 at 9:26 am
Posted by Towelie
America's Wang
Member since Aug 2007
19214 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 9:30 am to
I'd buy LSU +10 at UF
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12264 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 9:47 am to
Does anybody have a link showing all the 50+ big games they have identified?
Posted by lakeviewtiger
BC
Member since Jul 2005
2437 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 10:03 am to
I wouldn't concern myself to much with spreads. The Auburn and South Carolina games are being considered toss-ups. The 3 points are being given for playing at home. The books aren't saying that those teams are better, they are just factoring in home field. Conversely, the books are saying the UGA will be almost a TD better than LSU and UF is a TD better. These lines will surely move once our QB establishes himself and the rest of the team lives up to expectations. No sense to bet these games now.
Posted by sportsinfogeauxlsu
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2006
6300 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 11:11 am to
Starting a new QB in the SEC is certain to make you a preseason dog to any decent team in our conference.
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