re: LSU v. Alabama -- BCS NGC 01/09/12 @ Mercedes-Benz Superdome

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I. Oklahoma State could receive a .950 score from the computers if they receive two No. 3 votes from the computers. Alabama would then likely receive a .930. Using the released Coaches’ Poll statistics, the breakdown would be as such:
Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
? Alabama Crimson Tide .930 ??? .9485 ???
? Oklahoma State Cowboys .950 ??? .9268 ???

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For Oklahoma State to be No. 2, the following would need to occur:
Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys .950 +.0015 .9268 ???
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .930 Score .9485 ???

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The equivalent of five votes — a total vote share of .0015 — would need to separate Oklahoma State from Alabama in the Harris Poll to give Oklahoma State to No. 2 spot. Anything less and Alabama is on its way to the title lgame.

II. Oklahoma State could receive a .960 score from the computers if they receive just one No. 3 vote from the computers. Alabama would then likely receive a .920. Using the released Coaches’ Poll statistics, the breakdown would be as such:
Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
? Alabama Crimson Tide .920 ??? .9485 ???
? Oklahoma State Cowboys .960 ??? .9268 ???

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For Oklahoma State to be No. 2, the following would need to occur:
Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys .960 Within .0183 .9268 ???
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .920 Score .9485 ???

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The equivalent of 53 points — a total vote share of .0183 — could still be between Alabama and Oklahoma State, and the Cowboys could be No. 2. Anything more and Alabama is on its way to the title game.

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