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re: LSU Paths to SEC game simplified

Posted on 11/13/24 at 7:25 pm to
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26892 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 7:25 pm to
quote:

Bama is not losing. The end.


Someone didn’t read.

LSU doesn’t need Bama to lose.
Posted by tiger81
Brentwood, TN.
Member since Jan 2008
20248 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 7:29 pm to
We will beat the Aggies in a rematch..... I guarantee it.
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
54689 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 7:49 pm to
With this team's deficiencies, you sure you want them in that game?
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
21752 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

the least likely scenario out of all of this is us winning out

Which games are we losing, and why?
Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12309 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 1:25 am to
This is wrong. We need way more to go down. Tiebreakers between 3 or more teams are done with a round robin using head to head records.

The real path… (LSU must win out)

Week 12: Arkansas, USCe, UGA all win
Week 13: Auburn over A&M, Florida over Ole Miss, UK over Texas, Oklahoma over Alabama
Week 14: Texas over A&M, Vandy over Tennessee

This puts LSU vs UGA in SECG
Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12309 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 1:28 am to
LSU would not lose on tiebreakers unless they are one of two SEC teams with 3 losses. Only way in is a massive 3 loss tie
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
1685 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 6:08 am to
quote:

This is wrong. We need way more to go down. Tiebreakers between 3 or more teams are done with a round robin using head to head records. The real path… (LSU must win out) Week 12: Arkansas, USCe, UGA all win Week 13: Auburn over A&M, Florida over Ole Miss, UK over Texas, Oklahoma over Alabama Week 14: Texas over A&M, Vandy over Tennessee This puts LSU vs UGA in SECG


Well you’re wrong so….
Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12309 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 12:38 pm to
The tiebreakers are so confusing, I was wrong.

To be fair, based on tiebreaking rules, all we need is to win out, Alabama and Tennessee lose at least once in SEC game
This post was edited on 11/14/24 at 12:40 pm
Posted by purplengold1
Illinois
Member since Feb 2009
5374 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 12:48 pm to
It is pretty wild that if Texas loses this weekend and all other favorites win this weekend, LSU controls their own destiny. Doesn’t seem like it should be possible.
Posted by TeamCKennedy
Southern Illinois Baws
Member since Feb 2018
1351 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 12:52 pm to
Absolutely we want to get to that game. We could play our best game ever and win a SEC title. Regardless how bad we are, we should root to get to the Championship game
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3632 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

2. We have no business in the SECCG


Let’s think about the scenarios that would put LSU in the SECCG. No, LSU has not played consistently this year, but if they are tied for 1st or 2nd in the conference at 6-2 having played opponents with the best overall conference record amongst the tied teams, why would they have no business being there? (I think your first point is the key here since winning out will be a tall order given their inconsistency, but this scenario assumes they do.) Let’s look at the resumes of the other potential 2-loss teams:

Alabama - Do they belong with a loss to Vandy?

A&M - LSU, SC and A&M traded wins. A&M looked almost as bad against SC as LSU did against Bama.

Texas- Their losses would be respectable, but who have they beaten?

Georgia- They looked really bad against an Ole Miss team LSU beat.

Tennessee- Do they belong with a loss to Arkansas and needing OT to beat Florida?

Ole Miss- In addition to losing to LSU, they lost to Kentucky.

Everyone has been inconsistent. It’s not just LSU that’s looked awful at times.
This post was edited on 11/14/24 at 1:28 pm
Posted by Effthatnoise
Lake Charles
Member since Dec 2011
374 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

Absolutely we want to get to that game. We could play our best game ever and win a SEC title. Regardless how bad we are, we should root to get to the Championship game


Thank you good sir. Tired of hearing these pussies, who are afraid of their own shadow, wanting to avoid playing in an SEC championship for a playoff bid because they are afraid of a potential blowout. I miss the old school fan’s mindset that loved being the underdog and playing spoiler. If we don’t dominate every single minute fans lose their minds and want to quit on the season. It’s almost always the people that are terrible at their own jobs, sucked at high school sports, and play point the blame at others for all their problems…

Skip the SEC Championship…. lol wtf people…

Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
6146 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 4:12 pm to
This is like plotting Kamala's path to the white house.
Posted by LSUgrad88
Member since Jun 2009
7836 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

None of this shite matters if we face plant against Vanderbilt because DJ Chester can’t block, Nuss can’t stop giving the ball to the other team, and our defensive backs couldn’t tackle someone to save their mother
.

What’s your damn point? All of the above scenarios are reliant on LSU WINNING OUT. That would indicate we will have to at least play better than the teams we play. The OP wasn’t guaranteeing it or even implying it. He’s just pointing out the math.
Posted by LSUgrad88
Member since Jun 2009
7836 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

Everyone has been inconsistent. It’s not just LSU that’s looked awful at times.


I’m sorry Mike. This is the Rant; and it’s no place for common sense takes like yours. Please ban yourself. And me too while you’re at it.
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
16864 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 4:45 pm to
Is this right?

quote:

Win out, Tenn Loses to UGA (Nico out), Arkansas beats Texas or Mizzou (Brady Cook out for the year supposedly. It is @Arkansas)
Posted by BigNastyTiger417
Member since Nov 2021
4220 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 6:05 pm to
All that is needed is:

UGA beat Tennessee & LSU win out.

Top 3 tie breaker metrics can’t be used. The 4th metric is: “Cumulative Conference winning percentage of all Conference opponents among the tied teams”

LSU is (by far) #1 and get into the SECCG.
Posted by UnluckyTiger
Member since Sep 2003
39259 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 6:39 pm to
Don’t think that is correct. Arkansas need to beat Mizzou.
Posted by QB
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2013
5903 posts
Posted on 11/14/24 at 6:40 pm to
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
16864 posts
Posted on 11/15/24 at 10:52 am to
Can we bump this for some clarity?

What does LSU need to happen to get in?

1. Win out
2. UGA beat UT
3. Arkansas beat Mizzou? (very unlikely)

Is that one scenario?

Any other paths?
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