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Posted on 1/2/20 at 10:00 pm to ctiger69
bigly
Posted on 1/2/20 at 10:13 pm to Bigkat80
What is the line at this time at your locations...was think of driving over and putting a couple of grand on the Tigers. Thinking of going this Saturday...
Posted on 1/2/20 at 10:32 pm to HubbaBubba
There is so much more involved than this extremely high level, petty analysis
Posted on 1/2/20 at 10:37 pm to ctiger69
45-20 Tigahs
Posted on 1/2/20 at 10:39 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
LSU for the year met or beat the spread 9 out of 14 games
Meh, when you have Arkansas backdooring a 43-pt spread, does it really say anything about LSU's strength to cover against Clem's Son?
This post was edited on 1/2/20 at 10:41 pm
Posted on 1/2/20 at 10:51 pm to fblainen11
Honestly shocked that the spread was that low, given the high probability of covering it, out of a 100 times..
My calculations has LSU covering the spread 37 times in a simulated exercise... or 37% of the time... More interesting is when LSU covered... 23 times was greater than 12 points...
So, 23% of simulations, LSU beat Clemson by 12 points or more. That's roughly 1/4 of all simulations (25%). Thus, the spread should have accounted for this and be around 9 to 10.5.
Bet the spread... Hell I gave 14 in every game since Bama and have had it in hand by halftime in every game. I have made GOOD coin betting as of late on LSU and giving more than the actual spread. More than enough to fund my trip to New Orleans and 4 TICKETS!!! Make bold bets..Enjoy the show!...Collect your earnings.. Place your bets as if Michael Jordan was playing... Never been more confident in an individual player determining the outcome of a game before it happens.
JB=MJ.
My calculations has LSU covering the spread 37 times in a simulated exercise... or 37% of the time... More interesting is when LSU covered... 23 times was greater than 12 points...
So, 23% of simulations, LSU beat Clemson by 12 points or more. That's roughly 1/4 of all simulations (25%). Thus, the spread should have accounted for this and be around 9 to 10.5.
Bet the spread... Hell I gave 14 in every game since Bama and have had it in hand by halftime in every game. I have made GOOD coin betting as of late on LSU and giving more than the actual spread. More than enough to fund my trip to New Orleans and 4 TICKETS!!! Make bold bets..Enjoy the show!...Collect your earnings.. Place your bets as if Michael Jordan was playing... Never been more confident in an individual player determining the outcome of a game before it happens.
JB=MJ.
This post was edited on 1/2/20 at 10:54 pm
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:25 pm to ctiger69
Lol this looks like our board before the OSU game.
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:43 pm to irvchilichill1
Fly high Brother & …. 
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:44 pm to ctiger69
twice over easy
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:47 pm to ctiger69
LSU wins this game by 17.
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:47 pm to lsusince60
LSU will lose (which I do not believe), or cover the spread with room to spare.
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:51 pm to ctiger69
They will score in the 40's for sure.
LSU 45
Clemson 31
LSU 45
Clemson 31
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:52 pm to ctiger69
LSU by 15
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:53 pm to ctiger69
I wouldn't bet money on it. Because I don't want to risk being unhappy with a 4 point win.
This post was edited on 1/3/20 at 12:54 pm
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:54 pm to ctiger69
I think (and hope) that LSU with hand Clemson a good old fashioned arse whipping.
Posted on 1/3/20 at 12:56 pm to lsusince60
The Rant...God Love Ya'll.
Recency bias! OU is not one of the Top 15 teams in the country and because we hammered an overmatched team, ergo, we beat Clemson by 20. You gotta be kidding me.
Our defense cant stop Clemson under ANY circumstance. Etitenne is the best back we have seen since Najee harris and I think Etienne is faster and and better. This is the 2nd best group of WRs we have seen all year and just go watch what CeDe did to our safeties....Clemson will find mismatches all day long in that secondary.
Finally, every single mobile qb has had some limited success extending plays vs LSU all year long. And I think TL will have some success moving the chains.
Now, whether Lawrence can execute and depending on if all 3 Clemson WRs are healthy, is really what you are gambling on.
Personally, I do not see any circumstance (other than KEY injuries) that this game doesn't get OVER 70. Nobody has held LSU under 450 yards which should equal around 35-45 points with some red zone execution and I don't see how we keep Clemson UNDER 28
I think this is a shootout with the better Red Zone team coming out on top.
LSU 47 Clemson 38
LSU 41-Clemson 37
Around those scores. LSU gets the edge because htey siply do it every single week under Burrow!
Recency bias! OU is not one of the Top 15 teams in the country and because we hammered an overmatched team, ergo, we beat Clemson by 20. You gotta be kidding me.
Our defense cant stop Clemson under ANY circumstance. Etitenne is the best back we have seen since Najee harris and I think Etienne is faster and and better. This is the 2nd best group of WRs we have seen all year and just go watch what CeDe did to our safeties....Clemson will find mismatches all day long in that secondary.
Finally, every single mobile qb has had some limited success extending plays vs LSU all year long. And I think TL will have some success moving the chains.
Now, whether Lawrence can execute and depending on if all 3 Clemson WRs are healthy, is really what you are gambling on.
Personally, I do not see any circumstance (other than KEY injuries) that this game doesn't get OVER 70. Nobody has held LSU under 450 yards which should equal around 35-45 points with some red zone execution and I don't see how we keep Clemson UNDER 28
I think this is a shootout with the better Red Zone team coming out on top.
LSU 47 Clemson 38
LSU 41-Clemson 37
Around those scores. LSU gets the edge because htey siply do it every single week under Burrow!
Posted on 1/3/20 at 1:12 pm to ctiger69
63-28
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