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re: ESPN analytics gives Bama a 70% chance of winning

Posted on 11/4/24 at 10:51 pm to
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
34432 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 10:51 pm to
If we're gonna be honest, it sounds about right.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:03 am to
quote:

The ugly loss @ Aggy went straight to the bone, in the minds of the AI team at ESPN.


my gosh you are cringe
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:05 am to
If we are being honest, it doesn't sound right at all. Bama has lost a lot of players, are weak on the OL and DL, and their secondary has not performed well this year. Milroe has been bad almost every game he has had pressure this year, and LSU will provide that. LSU has the third longest win streak in the nation at home, and, we are playing at night.....probably gotta go back to 2021 for us to lose a night game. Finally, Saban isn't on the sidelines anymore, and it shows.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:08 am to
quote:

Hate to say it but this is a bad matchup for LSU. Will have to play a flawless game and when can you say LSU has come close to that all season.


okay, I'll bite......what makes this a bad matchup for LSU in Tiger Stadium at night? I'd love to hear your reasoning, because I'm completely the opposite. Bama OL has a weak LT on the OL and is suspect there, thus why Milroe has struggled so much against pressure this year. Bama does not have a normally dominant DL, and their secondary is weak. Outside of the 17 year old WR, they are hurting at WR. Saban isn't on the sidelines.

Your reasoning?
Posted by countrytiger60
Larose
Member since Sep 2018
4101 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:46 am to
what was the percentage when they were supposed to beat Vandy!
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
71182 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:53 am to
Every week coaches rely on analytics only to lose.
Posted by geauxcoco
Greenville, SC
Member since Apr 2007
11847 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:09 am to
Seriously, those numbers boggle my mind. A 70% chance? Such a load of shite. This will be the fourth game in a row we have been the underdog. It’s at night, we are the better team, crowd is ready to show Daboer what he signed up for, it’s a playoff elimination game and we have revenge on the mind. These analytics are shite.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59560 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:23 am to
is this the same analytics that had us at #3 at the end of the 2019 season?
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:28 am to
quote:

This will be the fourth game in a row we have been the underdog. It’s at night, we are the better team,


you mean against Bama? Because we were not underdogs to Arkansas. This is our third time to be underdog this year though, OM, A&M, Bama.

It is, however, surprising that the line has gone to Bama -3. I am not seeing it. I am seeing it as a pick em'. Obviously, either team could win the game.
Posted by geauxcoco
Greenville, SC
Member since Apr 2007
11847 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:36 am to
Yes, we were an underdog to Arkansas. Go look it up.
Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
7501 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:40 am to
Doen't look good
Posted by TheDeathValley
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2010
19934 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:55 am to
ESPN analytics and power rankings are often dogshit
Posted by Barbellthor
Columbia
Member since Aug 2015
10599 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:04 am to
Based on bama's nonexistent secondary or Milroe's complete implosion as a passer?
Posted by HattiesburgTiger5439
Hattiesburg ms
Member since Sep 2023
917 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:10 am to
We better pray for TN Milroe and not Ga Milroe. If we get that Ga milroe we're in trouble
Posted by crash1211
Houma
Member since May 2008
3602 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:36 am to
For LSU vs Ole' Miss they had the following.

The model gives Ole Miss a 67.8% chance to win, which means LSU has a 32.2% chance to pick up the upset at home.

Posted by PenguinPubes
Frozen Tundra
Member since Jan 2018
11664 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:41 am to
Incoming saban rat poison quote
Posted by Honestabe1809
Tampa
Member since Oct 2014
391 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:43 am to
totally fair.

Kellly does not have this team where the need to be, IMO.

The good news is we'll see Saturday.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
51577 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:45 am to
quote:

Will have to play a flawless game

Not even close. LSU has never played a flawless game and has won four National Championships. They just have to make less mistakes than Bama, which will be a lot.
Posted by nola2269
New orleans
Member since Nov 2018
507 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:53 am to
He really just needs to stop doing one major thing. Number one stop throwing it every first down. Number two stop running it every second down. And the number three stop throwing it short of the sticks every third down. #keystosuccess
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
7033 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:12 am to
Alabama has a pretty big talent advantage against LSU.
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