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re: Deep dive into baseball postseason (what is best for LSU)

Posted on 5/24/18 at 8:13 pm to
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59615 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 8:13 pm to
I think we are close to a lock but we should still keep an eye on a few games.

Arizona vs Oregon 9pm (Need Oregon to win)
Stunford vs Washington 9pm (Need Stunford to win)
Purdue 4 vs Michigan 3 top 7 (Michigan needs to lose)
Illinois vs Minnesota after above game (Illinois is close to us in RPI and a bubble team)
Clemson 1 Miami 0 3rd (Miami is potential bid stealer)
Jacksonville 2 North Florida 2 5th (Jacksonville or Stetson needs to win)
Coastal Carolina 6 South Alabama 2 4th (coastal Carolina is an at large if they don't win.)

Posted by oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
26411 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

I think we are close to a lock but we should still keep an eye on a few games


Its locked up bud.

The committee counts conference tournament games as conference record. LSU now has 17 wins. It is a wrap.
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23085 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 9:45 pm to
Yea, I have no doubts we are in now.
Posted by oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
26411 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 9:50 pm to
I'll catch up on games, and update RPIs in the morning. I'm still on high from the LSU marathon game.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87204 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 9:50 pm to
Agreed. Got the two wins I think we needed. Awesome game.
Posted by meldawg399
nola
Member since Oct 2008
1177 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 9:53 pm to
OU at RPI #35 to OSU at RPI #42 are separated by 14 RPI points...win or loss of any of those teams could swing that many spots.
This post was edited on 5/24/18 at 10:23 pm
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83737 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:16 pm to
Clemson eliminates Miami.
Posted by CBP3110
Member since Aug 2012
6599 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 10:41 pm to
Oh hey the negative bitch is back. What a negative life you live.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22245 posts
Posted on 5/24/18 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

Clemson eliminates Miami.


And likely ends Jim Morris' coaching career
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59615 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 8:13 am to
not that it really matters but for some reason we dropped to 41 last night and USCe went up 1 to 38. The RPI is so crazy.

So basically we beat South Carolina and go down 1 in the RPI while their loss costs them 3 spots.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22245 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 9:00 am to
The only late game that really would have much of an effect on us was ULL losing.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59615 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 9:09 am to
quote:

And likely ends Jim Morris' coaching career


Just realized that Miami has had two coaches since 1963. Talk about some long tenures.

Some teams go through two coaches in one year, so that is pretty impressive.
Posted by oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
26411 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 9:13 am to
Started working on the updates. Just not quite finished. 2 seed isn't out of the question. Our resume is very compareable to many projected 2 seeds. Not that being a 2 or 3 seed matters that much, but still.
Posted by meldawg399
nola
Member since Oct 2008
1177 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 9:38 am to
Big 10/12 tourney games could have affected the RPI's of OU, Okie St, Ohio State, etc. if USC played Clemson, they might have gotten a bump there.

Does anyone know who advances in the ACC tourney if a pod is a 3-way tie at 1-1? Asking for the UVA/NC State/FSU pod.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22245 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 9:55 am to
quote:

Does anyone know who advances in the ACC tourney if a pod is a 3-way tie at 1-1? Asking for the UVA/NC State/FSU pod.


I believe the highest seeded team adavnces
Posted by BallHog
Member since Oct 2009
224 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:06 am to
Thanks for your work on this, oOoLsUtIgErSoOo! This thread makes it way easier to view all these permutations of bubbledom at a glance.

Hopefully the SCAR win was enough to stamp our ticket. Beating a Top 5 team next with few pitching options left is quite a hill to climb but if they do that, it'll be a lock.
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23085 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:16 am to
Texas going 2 and Q probably didn’t help us RPI wise.
Posted by oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
26411 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:55 am to
Alright guys, everything is now updated as of games that finished yesterday.

Not to put anybody in panic mode, but there are a lot of bubble teams making a strong case for themselves. There are also some conference tournaments that are looking strong for having a team steal a bid. Looking back at it now, winning the game last night for LSU was HUGE. I am pretty certain that they are safely in at this point, but when this is all said and done LSU still may be one of the last couple of teams that make it in.

Here are some conference tournaments that seem like a bid steal is possible.

ACC - Clemson and Duke/Louisville will be in the semi-final round. That's a good thing. NC State has a chance to make it into the semi-final round also, but FSU and Virginia also have a chance. Pitt is already in. So, possibly half of the teams in the semi-finals could be bid stealing teams.

Big 12 - Nothing about this tournament is going good, as far as bubble teams are concerned. Baylor (a bubble team) is 2-0. TCU (not even a bubble team, but a straight bid stealer) is also 2-0. Texas is gone. It's all up to Oklahoma and Texas Tech to try to come back and take this tournament. Each of those teams are facing bid stealers as well in WVU and Kansas.

Colonial - Northeastern is a possible at-large, if they do not win. Nobody else in this conference is even close. Northeastern lost its first game, and is havng to battle through the losers bracket.

Southland - Sam Houston is a possible at-large, but not very likely. They are no threat to LSU for sure. However, someone may steal a bid here with Sam Houston dropping a game early. It's also possible that the Southland is a 1 bid league.

Big East, Atlantic Sun, CUSA, Sunbelt, Big 10 - all have some bubble teams still making a case for themselves. The clear favorites are doing well in these tournaments so far though. Stolen bids are possible, but not likely.

Pac-12 is not playing in a tournament, but the bubble teams are doing well so far. Washington and Arizona both won last night, with Washington's win coming over Stanford.

Posted by meldawg399
nola
Member since Oct 2008
1177 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 11:12 am to
If we can confirm that the highest seed advances in the ACC tourney, UVA is eliminated at 1-1. NC State (0-1) faces FSU (1-0) today. If FSU wins, they advance at 2-0. If NC State wins and highest seed advances, UVA is out. If they use run differential as the tiebreaker, we need to pull for NC State to win big if they win.

I couldn't find info on how they handle a 1-1 tie on their tourney site after a quick glance.
Posted by oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
26411 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 11:15 am to
I don't know either.

Seems that just sending the highest seed is pretty weak, but maybe they set it up that way to protect their bubble teams and fringe national seeds.
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