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re: 2% chance LSU wins the sec west

Posted on 7/19/21 at 11:42 pm to
Posted by The Hurricane
Gulf of Mexico
Member since Aug 2011
9629 posts
Posted on 7/19/21 at 11:42 pm to
quote:

Also the talent gap with Bama created by their guys returning to win a championship while ours left after doing so has corrected itself.

Don’t think that matters. It’s not like we’re playing them in Week 1. By week 9, they’re normally hitting on all cylinders. Would take something catastrophic for them not to be.
Posted by Jugular Joe
Member since Jan 2020
5167 posts
Posted on 7/19/21 at 11:57 pm to
O will never beat Saban again.

Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 12:17 am to
I will take that bet. We are always much better as underdog.

Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22771 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 2:35 am to
I don't think we beat Alabama, but I think we'll give them a game they'll remember. And I think Johnson beats them in his second start against them... whether that's '22 or '23. Despite defense not being as important, I think we're going to need an experienced guy at QB to pull it off.

I do think we'll beat Auburn and A&M this year, and Florida's a distinct possibility.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
65996 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 2:47 am to
SEC Network = day old rat shite
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
51744 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 6:04 am to
quote:

Bout right. Causes there's a 98% chance we don't beat bama

Want to bet on those odds? You really think we only beat Bama twice if we play them 100 times?
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
51744 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 6:07 am to
Delete
This post was edited on 7/20/21 at 6:08 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
51744 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 6:13 am to
quote:


98 percent? Let me see your metrics there hoss. Show your work. Exactly, how did you arrive at that 98 percent?


I think 98% is ridiculous, but so is your request for metrics. You clearly disagree with him, so show your metrics. There are none. Even if you used historical evidence, that doesn't take into consideration what these teams are this year.

In my opinion, LSU has about a 1 in 3 chance of beating Bama this year. We have the more experienced QB and an all around better QB situation. Almost everyone else on offense is back. Our defensive line appears to be the best we've had since 2011. Our defensive backfield appears to be one of our best ever. And wlthough our LBs get disparaged on here, we return some studs and added two studs.
Posted by elcid
Band Camp
Member since Mar 2007
3036 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 7:04 am to
I think we win the WEST in a crazy year of upsets. LSU will lose one they are supposed to win but will beat Bama.
Posted by how333
Member since Dec 2020
3940 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 8:29 am to
We coming
Posted by the4thgen
Dallas, tx
Member since Sep 2010
1849 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 9:00 am to
I saw this as a stat posted on the screen for a good 10 minutes last night on SEC network. I loved it. Leave it up there all summer. Our guys are gonna see it, its gonna chap their arse a whole lot more than me, and its gonna be fun to watch!
Posted by 1badboy
In space
Member since Jul 2014
8103 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 9:14 am to
Despite all the new coaches, I think we will surprise a lot of teams.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
19707 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 9:16 am to
quote:

2% chance LSU wins the sec west
no one knows anything, at this point. It's all clickbait and fluff - ignore it all.

Play the games, then we'll know.
Posted by Gus007
TN
Member since Jul 2018
14019 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 10:14 am to
Those folks aren't coaches nor talent scouts.
They just follow the herd.
How many predicted us a top team last season.
Posted by LSUinMA
Commerce, Texas
Member since Nov 2008
4912 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 10:40 am to
quote:

And Bama with Saban didn’t exist.


Well, Bama existed, since they won the goddamn national championship that year.
Posted by Big EZ Tiger
Member since Jul 2010
26152 posts
Posted on 7/20/21 at 11:07 am to
Do they have another team with a higher % because LSU has had 3 top-5 recruiting classes in a row and they have a lot of experienced talent returning? And when most of your highly receuited players are Louisiana guys, that usually means you are loaded with legit talent. Last year LSU had major opt-outs and were playing tons of guys with no expereince.

A lot depends on the new coordinators and the O-line. You really can't get worse than Pelini was last year, so I expect a big jump there (plus LSU has some great talent on every level of the D this year). Ensminger's running game was extremely predictable, so if Peetz mixes things up with running plays, then LSU's running game could be a lot better even if the O-line has some issues. I think LSU has the talent returning to compete with anyone this year. We'll see how the coaches are though.
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