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Dawgsontop34
Georgia Fan
Member since Jun 2014
22550 posts

Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Thursday, March 8 - Sunday, March 11
Purse: $6.5 million
Winner's Share: $1,170,000
Defending Champion: Adam Hadwin

PGATour Live
Leaderboard

Notables In Field
Tiger Woods
Jordan Spieth
Rory McIlroy
Sergio Garcia
Henrik Stenson
Justin Rose
Patrick Reed
Matt Kuchar
Jason Dufner
Adam Scott
Steve Stricker
Paul Casey
Charl Schwartzel
Zach Johnson
Jim Furyk
Davis Love III
Bryson Dechambeau
Adam Hadwin
Tony Finau
Brandt Snedeker
Sam Burns
Smylie Kaufman

Notable Tee Times (All Times EST)
Rd 1
*6:50am - JB Holmes, Chesson Hadley, Louis Oosthuizen
7:23am - Ryan Moore, Davis Love III, Charles Howell III
*7:45am - Justin Rose, Gary Woodland, Rory McIlroy (PGATour Live)
7:45am - Patrick Reed, Chris Kirk, Grayson Murray
*7:56am - Sergio Garcia, Adam Scott, Matt Kuchar (PGATour Live)
8:07am - Charley Hoffman, Webb Simpson, Steve Stricker
*8:40am - Steven Jaeger, Seamus Power, Sam Burns
*12:02pm - Matthew Fitzpatrick, Bill Haas, Geoff Ogilvy
12:13pm - Cameron Smith, Padraig Harrington, Smylie Kaufman
12:35pm - Adam Hadwin, Tony Finau, Charl Schwartzel
*12:35pm - Branden Grace, Brandt Snedeker, Jim Furyk
12:46pm - Tiger Woods, Jordan Spieth, Henrik Stenson

Rd 4
1:00pm - Corey Connors (-9), Justin Rose (-8)
12:50pm - Tiger Woods (-8), Brandt Snedeker (-8)
12:40pm - Sam Burns (-6), Patrick Reed (-6)

TV Coverage (All Times Central)
Thursday: 1:00pm - 5:00pm (Golf Channel)
Friday: 1:00pm - 5:00pm (Golf Channel)
Saturday: 1:00pm - 3:00pm (Golf Channel); 3:00pm - 6:00pm (NBC)
Sunday: 1:00pm - 3:00pm (Golf Channel); 3:00pm - 6:00pm (NBC)

Betting Odds (oddshark):
Spieth +850, McIlroy +1400, Garcia +1600, Rose +1800, Stenson +2000, Casey +2500, Woods +2500, Hadwin +2800, Finau +2800
This post was edited on 3/11 at 5:11 pm


TyOconner
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Nov 2009
10520 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Got a really solid card going this weekend and I’m feeling reallllll good. Still way up on the year and this is the best I’ve felt going into a weekend yet. Hell, if the big cat goes on a run it’ll be even better.


Dawgsontop34
Georgia Fan
Member since Jun 2014
22550 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
quote:

TyOconner


Who do you like this weekend? I wouldn't be surprised to see Finau finally break into the winner's circle in a main field event.


TyOconner
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Nov 2009
10520 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Finau has been hot lately and I agree. I pick five outrights each week and cover them with a lot of high percentage bets in the matchups to get me to even in case I hit a winner. This week I have Woods, Finau, Simpson, Casey and Hadley. Had the outright in my five the last two weeks with Thomas and Mickelson so I’m hoping to hit again this weekend. I really like the Finau bet and got plus two k payout on him. Simpson has looked good as well and could make a run. Oddly enough I have been staying away from Fowler, Spieth, DJ, the usual top suspects. They could always hit but they have just been playing like crap lately.
This post was edited on 3/6 at 9:12 pm


DriverWedge3putt
LSU Fan
Fairways
Member since Jul 2017
198 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
About time the PGA Tour/Golf Channel lined up coverage with Tiger's round. Honda was brutal not being able to watch live coverage of his round which is all I have and ever will care about.

Lets go Tiger


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24
Front9Bandit
LSU Fan
LaTour GC
Member since Dec 2013
12288 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Smylie is a notable? He shot 83 a couple weeks ago


Dawgsontop34
Georgia Fan
Member since Jun 2014
22550 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
quote:

Smylie is a notable? He shot 83 a couple weeks ago


I caught some flak last time for leaving him off, and it's an LSU-based site, so I figured I'd include the LSU players.


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10
Dawgsontop34
Georgia Fan
Member since Jun 2014
22550 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
quote:

Oddly enough I have been staying away from Fowler, Spieth, DJ, the usual top suspects.


Plus it's so hard to get good odds with them. I kind of like Justin Rose this week as well. Good course history, and he's been playing well for the last few months.


TyOconner
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Nov 2009
10520 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Rose has been a “good” pick for the last month and I jumped on him. Always under performs so I’m laying off of him. Unfortunately that’s usually when they hit lol.


Dawgsontop34
Georgia Fan
Member since Jun 2014
22550 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
It's just tough when you see a lot of players you like. I like Sergio this week as well, but there's no way every player I think will play well ends up in the top 10-15. The fields are just too talented.


BCMCubs
Chicago Cubs Fan
Colorado
Member since Nov 2011
19176 posts
 Online 

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
After the last couple weekends, Ive got preliminary wood just reading about the Pro-Am today


agreenway6
LSU Fan
SE Texas
Member since Aug 2017
263 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
I think List contends again this week.

I also like Finau, An, Cameron Smith, and Chez


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00
TyOconner
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Nov 2009
10520 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Yep that’s the hard thing about betting golf. Also typically why I stay away from over under on place finish bets. Matchups are seemingly easier to predict and it doesn’t matter where they end up placing.


GRTiger
USA Fan
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
42095 posts
 Online 

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Someone needs to tell Spieth what subhuman means. He keeps calling Tiger that in his presser. I don't think that's what he's wanting to say (though it would be awesome if it was).


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20
Dawgsontop34
Georgia Fan
Member since Jun 2014
22550 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
quote:

Yep that’s the hard thing about betting golf. Also typically why I stay away from over under on place finish bets. Matchups are seemingly easier to predict and it doesn’t matter where they end up placing.


Completely agree. I always like match-ups better. But my fantasy league still requires me to pick someone, and I feel like I always like 5 different guys.

For my one-and-done league, I've went from Na to Rose to Finau to Rose to Ollie to Chesson. I'm a mess. Someone needs to teach me how to do this
This post was edited on 3/7 at 1:50 pm


TyOconner
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Nov 2009
10520 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Right, that’s why I shy away from getting in the leagues. Have gotten a bunch of offers from people I play with or friends but I it’s pretty narrow like you’re saying. I’ve got a much better shot at winning some money betting Vegas lines and props. Plus my new strategy has gotten me much tighter this year than previous ones. I really have to quit saying that though or karma is going to pop me lol.


Dawgsontop34
Georgia Fan
Member since Jun 2014
22550 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
I’ve already figured out that whoever I pick ends up missing the cut while the other 4 end up with top 10 finishes


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KillTheGophers
Texas Fan
Nawtheastlouisiana
Member since Jan 2016
2756 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)

Money plays

Stenson
Cam Smith
Fitzpatrick - will win
Simpson
Grace
Cantalay


All good value bets

I sorta like Rose - but not trusting him yet


Bonkers119
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
NOLA
Member since Dec 2015
2563 posts

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Let’s go! Tiger going low today. I’m calling a 67-68.


texastiger38
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Sep 2007
19767 posts
 Online 

re: Valspar Championship Thread (Paul Casey wins @ -10; Tiger Woods, Patrick Reed finish @ -9)
Tiger and Jordan birdied the first, Tiger almost flopped one in for eagle

ETA: also hit the longest drive on #1 today
This post was edited on 3/8 at 12:06 pm


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