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Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:49 pm to RummelTiger
I wonder if there is a point where they temporarily shut down unnecessary commercial traffic for wake concerns.
If they are saying it will hit 19.5 feet with the BC fully open and the levees only protect till 20 feet....
:omg:
Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:50 pm to When in Rome
Right. As far as my understanding goes, they don't correct for whatever effects spillways may have other than NO.
So BR probably won't get as high as they are saying it will now, because Morganza will take it down some.
So BR probably won't get as high as they are saying it will now, because Morganza will take it down some.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:51 pm to Geauxtiga
Taken from the levee at Skip Bertman Dr. and River Road
MAY 2
MAY 3
MAY 4
MAY 5
---------------------
A different angle
MAY 4
MAY 5
MAY 5
MAY 2
MAY 3
MAY 4
MAY 5
---------------------
A different angle
MAY 4
MAY 5
MAY 5
This post was edited on 5/5/11 at 9:02 pm
Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:52 pm to Volvagia
quote:
I wonder if there is a point where they temporarily shut down unnecessary commercial traffic for wake concerns.
I do business with all the barge line companies from Darrow all the way south to Davant. They are all making major preperations. It looks like barge traffic could be shut down.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:55 pm to Volvagia
Yeah, I went out to the (BR) levee by the flag poles today to take a look and I don't see how it's going to get high enough to top the levees. Projections only have it rising another 10 or so feet before the crest and it has more to go than that.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:58 pm to When in Rome
quote:I dont think anyone was saying it would get high enough to top it. 47.5 feet is still contained within the levee
I don't see how it's going to get high enough to top the levees.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:59 pm to When in Rome
quote:
Yeah, I went out to the (BR) levee by the flag poles today to take a look and I don't see how it's going to get high enough to top the levees. Projections only have it rising another 10 or so feet before the crest and it has more to go than that.
So when all of the professionals and experts say that it will crest at 47.5' and the levee tops out at 48', then they are all wrong because you gave it the 'eyeball test'?
Oh, okay.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:01 pm to Volvagia
Just saw the 19.5 projection doesn't consider Morganza being opened.
:whew:
Makes you feel for the folks in MC.
No matter what happens, they are getting fricked.
Its only a question to what degree.
:whew:
Makes you feel for the folks in MC.
No matter what happens, they are getting fricked.
Its only a question to what degree.
This post was edited on 5/5/11 at 9:02 pm
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:01 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
gave it the 'eyeball test'?
I am sure everyone who looks at the levee has the latest laser surveying equipment in the trunk of their car. I know I do.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:01 pm to RummelTiger
The level today was at 37.5. There are definitely more than 10 feet to go and yeah.....37.5<48 so...
And I never claimed to be an expert. Just making an observation
And I never claimed to be an expert. Just making an observation
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:02 pm to Volvagia
Be cool bitches
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:03 pm to hombreman9
Oh Im not panicking, I just get a kick following shite like this.
This post was edited on 5/5/11 at 9:04 pm
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:04 pm to When in Rome
quote:
The level today was at 37.5. There are definitely more than 10 feet to go and yeah.....37.5<48 so...
Yes, but it's supposed to crest at 47.5, so...
Besides, the levee system isn't at a uniform height - there are high spots and low spots. Maybe you were at a high spot?
I know what you're saying, but there are too many experts saying that, as of now, we're going to be about 6" from the river topping the levee.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:05 pm to Volvagia
From the National Weather Service:
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 54.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 65.5 FEET BY
MONDAY MAY 23RD.* IMPACT...AT 64.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING IS IN PROGRESS. ANGOLA
LANDING WILL REMAIN UNDER WATER AND FERRY SERVICE WILL BE
TERMINATED. ALL RIVER ISLANDS, RECREATIONAL CAMPS, AND RIVER BOTTOM
FARM LAND WILL BE UNDER WATER.
* FORECAST ASSUMES OPERATION OF BONNET CARRE...BUT NOT MORGANZA.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 47.5 FEET BY
MONDAY MAY 23RD.* IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...SHIPPING AND INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITIES ARE
SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED. UNPROTECTED LOW-LYING AREAS WILL BE FLOODED
AND AGRICULTURAL OPERATIONS WILL BE IMPACTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE RIVER. THE CITY OF BATON ROUGE IS PROTECTED BY LEVEES AT THIS
LEVEL.* FORECAST ASSUMES OPERATION OF BONNET CARRE...BUT NOT MORGANZA.
Both of those warnings effect East Baton Rouge Parish.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 54.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 65.5 FEET BY
MONDAY MAY 23RD.* IMPACT...AT 64.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING IS IN PROGRESS. ANGOLA
LANDING WILL REMAIN UNDER WATER AND FERRY SERVICE WILL BE
TERMINATED. ALL RIVER ISLANDS, RECREATIONAL CAMPS, AND RIVER BOTTOM
FARM LAND WILL BE UNDER WATER.
* FORECAST ASSUMES OPERATION OF BONNET CARRE...BUT NOT MORGANZA.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 47.5 FEET BY
MONDAY MAY 23RD.* IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...SHIPPING AND INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITIES ARE
SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED. UNPROTECTED LOW-LYING AREAS WILL BE FLOODED
AND AGRICULTURAL OPERATIONS WILL BE IMPACTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE RIVER. THE CITY OF BATON ROUGE IS PROTECTED BY LEVEES AT THIS
LEVEL.* FORECAST ASSUMES OPERATION OF BONNET CARRE...BUT NOT MORGANZA.
Both of those warnings effect East Baton Rouge Parish.
This post was edited on 5/5/11 at 9:08 pm
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:06 pm to RummelTiger
Typo on my part! Meant to say 47.5<48. But I know, you're right. Was probably at a high spot and it will be cutting it extremely close. I guess with a number that close they really will have to keep a close eye on rainfall then.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:06 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
the river topping the levee.
The issue IMO is these levees haven't ever had this type of pressure on them. A breach is much worse than a topping.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:07 pm to glassman
quote:
A breach is much worse than a topping.
Well, duh!!
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:08 pm to RummelTiger
For the love of God I hope a low point doesn't coincide with a lower income community.
I can see it now
West: Barack Obama doesn't care about black people.
I can see it now
West: Barack Obama doesn't care about black people.
Posted on 5/5/11 at 9:08 pm to glassman
quote:
A breach is much worse than a topping.
Toppings=entertaining to talk about/ponder.
Breachings=
don't want to think about.
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